@我要睡觉了 再见:
Apple is going against astounding year-over-year comps from 2021's free-money/YOLO economy. But as the economy softens, are people really going to go out of their way to upgrade their iPhones? 2021 was "peak everything" for consumers, with spending on consumer goods like Apple's products being a key bellwether. Apple's U-turn on its planned iPhone production ramp is a clear early warning signal for earnings to decline, but few investors are listening. Apple has also been a prime beneficiary of tax cuts, QE, and stimulus, while the underlying net income of its business looks more sluggish and cyclical. While Apple is a decent business, you should not get sucked into paying high PE ratios for popular stocks with earnings at cyclical peaks, or your portfolio will likely suffer the consequence