To The Moon

Middle East Updates (14Mar2026) Several Asian nations are hit hardest by the Hormuz disruptions & LNG/oil supply crunch: - Japan & South Korea: Major LNG importers for electricity; facing price spikes & potential shortages. - India & Pakistan: High Qatar reliance; risk of industrial rationing, reduced demand. - Europe: Italy & Belgium most exposed to Qatari LNG cuts. Global oil >$100/bbl ripples to all importers. Taiwan officials say short-term LNG secured (no 10-day crisis), but summer risks remain. This does spotlight supply chain fragility—redrawing trade ties (more US/Aus LNG, nuclear ramps, renewables) is underway, like musical chairs amid rerouting. The above is from Grok. The energy crisis is going to spread globally. This is something that most of us are not

Summary of Financial Institutions Restricting Withdrawals in Private Credit As of March 13, 2026, several major players in the $1.8-2 trillion private credit industry have imposed restrictions on investor redemptions or related lending amid surging withdrawal requests, driven by concerns over liquidity mismatches, credit quality in sectors like software, and market dislocation. These measures primarily affect private credit funds rather than standard bank accounts, with no widespread bank run confirmed.  Key institutions include: BlackRock: Capped withdrawals at 5% for its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after requests reached 9.3% ($1.2 billion), fulfilling only $620 million. bloomberg.com Morgan Stanley: Limited redemptions to 5% for its $7.6-8 billion North Haven Private Inc

Summary of the US-Israel War with Iran (as of March 9, 2026, ~Day 10-11) Overview: Conflict began Feb 28, 2026, with US-Israel airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and senior officials, targeting nuclear/missile sites and leadership. Iran retaliated with missiles/drones on Israel, US bases, and Gulf states. War remains active with no ceasefire; Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei (son) as the new supreme leader on March 8-9, defying US/Israel warnings. Current Status: US-Israel maintain air superiority, striking Iranian missile infrastructure, oil depots, Tehran targets, Beirut (Hezbollah), and other sites at a record pace. Iran launched multiple fresh missile/drone waves (including 5+ on March 9) targeting Israel (Tel Aviv, etc.) and Gulf states; Hezbollah is active in Lebanon

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies U.S. layoffs are now at numbers worse than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. - X user The Patriotic Blonde South Korean battery maker SK On lays off 958 US employees - Reuters 92,000 people just lost their jobs in one month in The US. Just a regular Tuesday in 2026. And Anthropic released a report this morning saying the jobs AI can't kill are plumbers, farmers, and electricians. Your office job is not safe. The economy is confirming what AI companies already told you. The guy who learned to fix pipes in 6 months has more job security than you. - X user Tuki Morgan Stanley laying off 2,500 employees across all divisions amid economic challenges - MacroEdge Amazon cuts jobs in robotics division - MacroEdge Kuehne+Nagel to layoff 2,000 wor

News and my thoughts from the past week (09Mar2026) Two of the world's largest funds are limiting the amount you can withdraw. BlackRock froze requests for withdrawals of $1.2 billion from its private credit fund. Investors in the BlackRock fund with assets of $26 billion requested the withdrawal of 9.3% of their funds. BlackRock refused, limiting the withdrawal to 5%. The Blackstone fund with assets of $82 billion recorded a record number of requests for withdrawals in the same week. Blackstone had to invest $400 million of its own funds to cover the costs of withdrawals. Similar problems exist with the Blue Owl OBDC II fund, where withdrawals have been suspended. - X user Cha Bowes Kuwait Petroleum declares force majeure on oil sales - MacroEdge Insider sales continue Deutsche warns the

Market Outlook of S&P500 (09Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated below the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bearish trend in the short term, and a bullish long-term outlook. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. The 3 lines have converged, and we may see a trend change. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently registers at 0.23

Earnings Calendar (09Mar2026) In the coming week, several notable companies are scheduled to report their earnings. Among the most anticipated are ZIM Shipping Line, Hewlett-Packard, NIO, Oracle, and Adobe. Each of these companies is expected to provide valuable insights into its respective sectors and the broader market. Spotlight on Oracle Oracle stands out as a major player in the artificial intelligence ecosystem, collaborating and competing with industry leaders such as Nvidia, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Softbank. The company’s performance and strategic direction are closely watched due to its integral role in advancing AI technologies. Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment Over the past year, Oracle’s stock price has declined by 0.4%. Technical analysis currently offers a neutral recom

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,

Summary of Recent Developments in Private Credit In early March 2026, Blackstone's BCRED (Blackstone Private Credit Fund), the largest private credit fund with around $82 billion in assets, reported record redemption requests totaling 7.9% of shares for Q1 — equivalent to roughly $3.7 billion at current valuations. This exceeded the fund's standard quarterly repurchase limit of 5%. Blackstone $Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ addressed the situation by: Increasing the tender offer to 7% of the fund. Covering the remaining 0.9% (about $400 million) through investments from the firm and its employees. Fulfilling all requests this quarter, consistent with its practice since inception. The fund had over $8 billion in liquidity at the end of 2025 and received ab