To The Moon

How to qualify a business? Here's a framework for evaluating a company's financial performance: Income Statement Revenue (or Sales): Evaluation: Look for trends in revenue growth or decline over time. Consistent growth can indicate market demand and business expansion, while erratic or declining revenue might signal market or operational issues. Metric: Year-over-year growth rate. Gross Margin (Gross Profit / Revenue): Evaluation: This shows how much money is left after covering the cost of goods sold (COGS). A stable or increasing gross margin suggests good cost control or pricing power. Metric: Percentage change in gross margin. Net Income: Evaluation: The bottom line shows overall profitability. It's important to understand what drives changes in net income, whether it's operational eff

congrats to my fellow tiger authors. thank you for your invaluable contributions. congrats to all.

Top companies in Hong Kong by dividend yield I am invested in Hong Kong and some companies are great for dividend yield. Are you planning to include some Hong Kong stocks in your 2025 portfolio? Source: Companiesmarketcap.com $NWS HOLDINGS(00659)$ $GIORDANO INT'L(00709)$

I came across this good post by Brian Feroldi that highlights 10 KPIs that investors should know. I do not know all of them, but I use some to qualify my long-term holdings.

My Investing Muse (09Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Intel's biggest revenue decline in five quarters to hit amid broad layoffs and missed AI boom - Calcalitech.com UK-based wealth manager St James’s Place is planning to cut about 500 jobs in an attempt to reduce costs under chief executive Mark FitzPatrick. - FT Cargill plans to cut around 5% of global employees, internal memo says - Yahoo Finance Layoffs could be companies trimming their fats or their efforts to stay afloat. This may not always be bad news. Image US restaurant bankruptcies are accelerating: There have now been 14 bankruptcies in restaurant chains with $20+ million in revenue this year, the highest number since 2020. This is up 133% compared to 2022 when 6 large chains with at least $20 million in annual revenue went ba

News and my thoughts from last week (09Dec24) Image Image 67 $SPX companies have issued negative EPS guidance for Q4 2024, which is above the 5-year average of 56 and above the 10-year average of 62 - X user FactSet Image FOMO (Fear of missing out) can be a crippling emotion that can drive us to buying too late & selling too early. Emotional management is key to long-term success. I have exited some of my positions as weakening fundamentals or overvaluation provide opportunities to take profits & stop losses. Let us take stock of our 2024 lessons, adding refinement and better controls to our investing strategy for 2025. Image The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.4% in October 2024 to 99.5 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in September (revi

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 09Dec24 Observations: The MACD indicator is showing an uptrend. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. Both MA50 and MA200 lines are below the last candle. Thus, it could be read as bullish for both the mid and the long term. The 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are on an uptrend. Chaikin’s Monetary flow (CMF) shows an uptrend. However, there seems to be more selling momentum than buying. This can lead to a potential trend change. From the 20 indicators, all are pointing to a “Strong Buy” rating for the S&P500 (for Daily interval). 21 indicators recommend a “Buy” and none recommend a “Sell”. From the candlestick pattern, the latest seems to point to a more “bearish” outlook. From the above, the S&P500 s

Earnings Calendar (09Dec24) There are a few earnings of interest namely C3.AI, Oracle, Adobe, Costco, Broadcom and GameStop. It is interesting to know what are the financial performance of the AI companies. Let us look at C3.AI C3 is an enterprise AI software company with a suite of solutions. Investing dot com has recommended a “Strong Buy” rating based on technical analysis and a “Neutral” rating based on Analysts Sentiment. The price target is $25.55 which implies a downside of 36.94% based on the latest price. Observations: Revenue grew from $92M (2019) to $311M (2024). Gross profit grew from $61M (2019) to $179M (2024). Earnings per Share (EPS) continued in the negative and grew with more losses from -$0.45 (2019) to -$2.34 (2024). Operating profit continues to be negative (in losses)

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (09Dec24) Notable Highlights The most watched macro data will be the Core CPI and CPI data. This is one of the references for inflation. This would be closely watched data as the Federal Reserve is likely to have this as part of the consideration for the coming interest rate decision in Dec 2024. The next important economic data will be PPI. This represents the inflation that hit producers/manufacturers - an amount that is likely to translate into inflation for the consumers when their products hit the shelves. This can be seen as a prelude to CPI (inflation). If there is an increase in PPI, the impact will also be seen in CPI. The 1

Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (09Dec24) Notable Highlights The most watched macro data will be the Core CPI and CPI data. This is one of the references for inflation. This would be closely watched data as the Federal Reserve is likely to have this as part of the consideration for the coming interest rate decision in Dec 2024. The next important economic data will be PPI. This represents the inflation that hit producers/manufacturers - an amount that is likely to translate into inflation for the consumers when their products hit the shelves. This can be seen as a prelude to CPI (inflation). If there is an increase in PPI, the impact will also be seen in CPI. The 10-year Note auction will be a