Post preview The Korea crash already happened. KOSPI fell 9.99% on June 23. Circuit breakers triggered. KOSDAQ down 8%. Foreign investors sold for 21 consecutive sessions. Forced liquidations hit ₩91.7B in a single session. This wasn't a prediction. It was a confirmation. Global margin debt is at or near record levels across six major markets: 🇺🇸 US: $1.42T — up 53.7% YoY. Net credit balance near record low of -$871B. 🇨🇳 China: $412B — a fresh record. Regulators are watching. 🇰🇷 Korea: Strict margin $23–26B. Total retail leverage potentially up to $68.5B. Samsung + SK Hynix = ~50% of KOSPI. 🇹🇼 Taiwan: +160% YoY surge. Defaults rising. Near dot-com era highs. The level matters. The rate of growth matters more. And the concentration risk underneath both is what turns a correction into a cas
(Part 4 of 4) News and my investing muse (06Jul2026)
News and my thoughts from the past week (06Jul2026) The ability to innovate does not always translate to the ability to lead or manage. It can be a lapse or a flaw. Knowing the difference is important. Meta employees consumed 73.7 trillion AI tokens in a single month. That costs roughly $221 million a month, or $2.65 billion a year. The median Meta employee makes $388,200. At that rate, the token spend alone could pay for about 6,800 engineers for a full year. - X user Hedgie Half of investors have reduced their portfolio risk, while 62% expect a recession and 71% worry market volatility will hurt their finances. Gen Z is the most concerned, citing job security and weaker savings, per Allianz. - X user Unusual Whales Google reportedly doesn't have enough AI capacity to meet demand - Z user
Market Outlook of S&P500 (06Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend, and a reversal can be in the works. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.04, indicating the market has more selling momentum than buying. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average
(Part 2 of 4): Earnings Calendar (06Jul2026) - Delta soaring to new heights?
Earnings Calendar (06Jul2026) I am interested in the earnings announcements of Levi’s, Kura and Delta Airlines. Let us look at Delta Airlines. Why are Delta Airlines’ earnings important? Delta Air Lines serves as a strong bellwether for the U.S. airline industry and broader economy due to its scale, consistent profitability, and detailed reporting. Its quarterly earnings offer key insights through metrics like revenue growth, TRASM (Total Revenue per Available Seat Mile), premium versus main cabin performance, corporate and leisure demand breakdowns, capacity trends, and operating margins. For the industry, strong TRASM and premium revenue growth signal healthy demand and pricing power, while capacity discipline and margin trends indicate supply conditions and cost efficiency. Delta’s resu
(Part 1 of 4) - Economic Calendar of the week starting 06Jul2026
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 06Jul2026) Services Sector Indicators S&P Global Services PMI: The June forecast is 51.3, suggesting continued growth compared with the previous reading. ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices: The June release is expected in the coming week. The previous reading of 71.3 pointed to elevated inflationary pressures across the non-manufacturing sector, with higher costs likely filtering through to consumers. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: The June forecast is 54.2, indicating expansion in the non-manufacturing sector. Energy Market Signals Crude oil inventories previously recorded a drawdown of more than 3.7 million barrels, suggesting producers may be responding to stronger expected consumer demand. This is a bullish indicator, and the upcomi
(Full article) Preview of the week starting 06Jul2026
Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 06Jul2026) Services Sector Indicators S&P Global Services PMI: The June forecast is 51.3, suggesting continued growth compared with the previous reading. ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices: The June release is expected in the coming week. The previous reading of 71.3 pointed to elevated inflationary pressures across the non-manufacturing sector, with higher costs likely filtering through to consumers. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: The June forecast is 54.2, indicating expansion in the non-manufacturing sector. Energy Market Signals Crude oil inventories previously recorded a drawdown of more than 3.7 million barrels, suggesting producers may be responding to stronger expected consumer demand. This is a bullish indicator, and the upcoming release shou
My Investing Muse (29Jun2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies The software and cloud computing firm says it had around 141,000 full-time employees as of 31 May 2026, down from about 162,000 workers at the same time last year. The "deployment of AI technologies across our operations has resulted, and may continue to result, in reductions to our workforce," the report says. - BBC Summary of layoffs by Gemini The final week of June 2026 saw major workforce reductions driven by aggressive shifts toward AI automation and cooling global consumer demand. Automotive: Volkswagen is planning an overhaul that could cut up to 100,000 global jobs. Porsche raised its planned cuts to 3,900 due to crashing margins in China, and Lucid Motors shed 18% (~1,500 roles) to matc
(Part 4 of 5) - News and my thoughts from the past week (29Jun2026)
News and my thoughts from the past week (29Jun2026) On June 25 data: BlackRock IBIT ~$266M outflow, but Fidelity FBTC had even larger ~$275M outflow same day. Total US BTC ETF net outflow exceeded $690M. GBTC flat. Broader June has seen heavy redemptions overall. Institutions appear cautious, but BTC has shown resilience so far. Context: macro factors + typical summer dynamics at play. - Grok CNBC just admitted AI demand is falling and that's why SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI are rushing to go public. - X user Financelot @TigerStars$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
(Part 3 of 5) - Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Jun2026)
Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Jun2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at -0.13, indicating the market has more selling momentum than buying. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows the last candlestick has been above the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200). This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have begun to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bearish o