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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2022-05-24
Good
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-07-15
Good
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-06-21
I trust in Cathie wood
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-06-10
Can buy coin?
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-05-28
Buy arkk
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-05-27
Ignore the noise.
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cenziwei
cenziwei
·
2021-05-27
My top holding is Tesla. Not going to sell it in the next five years. People misunderstand the potential of the company
[Change] The new car-making force "returns of the king"! Li Auto rose more than 13%
5月26日,造车新势力“王者归来”,$理想汽车(LI)$涨超13%,$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$涨超7%,$蔚来(NIO)$涨超3%。 $理想汽车(LI)$今日发布财报,第一季度营收超出市场预期。财报显示:第一季度营收35.8亿元,市场预期33.55亿元. 其他电动汽车概念股方面:Workhorse涨超8%,固态电池生产商QuantumScape涨超10%,$福特汽车(F)$涨超8%,Nikola涨超3%,$特斯拉(TSLA)$涨超2%。 此前中金发布研报表示,随着大宗商品价格涨价进入尾声,且二季度芯片影响边际减弱,2021下半年汽车产业链利润有望磨底回升。
[Change] The new car-making force "returns of the king"! Li Auto rose more than 13%
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cenziwei
cenziwei
·
2021-05-26
Time in the market beat timing the market. Ignore all the noise
The short-selling ratio of S&P 500 ETF rose to the highest level this year! Will U.S. stocks pull back?
投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周,而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据,
The short-selling ratio of S&P 500 ETF rose to the highest level this year! Will U.S. stocks pull back?
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cenziwei
cenziwei
·
2021-05-26
100k soon
Bitcoin returned to $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to more than 4%
5月26日讯,比特币上破40000美元/枚,日内涨幅扩大至4.32%。 以太坊上破2900美元/枚,刷新日高,日内涨幅扩大至7.24%。
Bitcoin returned to $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to more than 4%
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cenziwei
cenziwei
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2021-05-26
Haha retail investors in trouble
What does the A-share shocking Yang line mean: the dangerous moment has passed, and the "double bull" is coming
挑战四千点,这只是开始。
What does the A-share shocking Yang line mean: the dangerous moment has passed, and the "double bull" is coming
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","listText":"Ignore the noise. ","text":"Ignore the noise.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132943642","repostId":"2138519408","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1921,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132957300,"gmtCreate":1622069028100,"gmtModify":1704178675727,"author":{"id":"3577217047850333","authorId":"3577217047850333","name":"cenziwei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1eab50d8786d65bb7111b763c451e41","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577217047850333","idStr":"3577217047850333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My top holding is Tesla. Not going to sell it in the next five years. People misunderstand the potential of the company ","listText":"My top holding is Tesla. Not going to sell it in the next five years. People misunderstand the potential of the company ","text":"My top holding is Tesla. Not going to sell it in the next five years. People misunderstand the potential of the company","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132957300","repostId":"1199955569","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1199955569","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622041764,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1199955569?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 23:09","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"[Change] The new car-making force \"returns of the king\"! Li Auto rose more than 13%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1199955569","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月26日,造车新势力“王者归来”,$理想汽车(LI)$涨超13%,$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$涨超7%,$蔚来(NIO)$涨超3%。\n\n$理想汽车(LI)$今日发布财报,第一季度营收超出市场预期。财报显示:第一季度营收35.8亿元,市场预期33.55亿元.\n\n其他电动汽车概念股方面:Workhorse涨超8%,固态电池生产商QuantumScape涨超10%,$福特汽车(F)$涨超8%,Nikola涨超3%,$特斯拉(TSLA)$涨超2%。\n\n此前中金发布研报表示,随着大宗商品价格涨价进入尾声,且二季度芯片影响边际减弱,2021下半年汽车产业链利润有望磨底回升。","content":"<p>On May 26, the new car-making force \"returned the king\".<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>The financial report was released today, and the first quarter revenue exceeded market expectations. The financial report shows that revenue in the first quarter was 3.58 billion yuan, compared with market expectations of 3.355 billion yuan.</p><p>In terms of other electric vehicle concept stocks: Workhorse rose more than 8%, solid-state battery manufacturer QuantumScape rose more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Rose more than 8%, Nikola rose more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up more than 2%.</p><p>Previously, CICC released a research report stating that as the rise in commodity prices comes to an end and the impact of chips weakens in the second quarter, the profits of the automotive industry chain are expected to bottom out and rebound in the second half of 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a699e70ef796344451ad8d78df88c3d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>[Change] The new car-making force \"returns of the king\"! Li Auto rose more than 13%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n[Change] The new car-making force \"returns of the king\"! Li Auto rose more than 13%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-26 23:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On May 26, the new car-making force \"returned the king\".<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Rose more than 13%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng vehicles</a>Rose more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Up more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>The financial report was released today, and the first quarter revenue exceeded market expectations. The financial report shows that revenue in the first quarter was 3.58 billion yuan, compared with market expectations of 3.355 billion yuan.</p><p>In terms of other electric vehicle concept stocks: Workhorse rose more than 8%, solid-state battery manufacturer QuantumScape rose more than 10%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>Rose more than 8%, Nikola rose more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up more than 2%.</p><p>Previously, CICC released a research report stating that as the rise in commodity prices comes to an end and the impact of chips weakens in the second quarter, the profits of the automotive industry chain are expected to bottom out and rebound in the second half of 2021.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5a699e70ef796344451ad8d78df88c3d\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c0ab7d3f5d89bb403311ca0a8e68f8e","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","02015":"理想汽车-W"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1199955569","content_text":"5月26日,造车新势力“王者归来”,理想汽车涨超13%,小鹏汽车涨超7%,蔚来涨超3%。理想汽车今日发布财报,第一季度营收超出市场预期。财报显示:第一季度营收35.8亿元,市场预期33.55亿元.其他电动汽车概念股方面:Workhorse涨超8%,固态电池生产商QuantumScape涨超10%,福特汽车涨超8%,Nikola涨超3%,特斯拉涨超2%。此前中金发布研报表示,随着大宗商品价格涨价进入尾声,且二季度芯片影响边际减弱,2021下半年汽车产业链利润有望磨底回升。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":0.9,"02015":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2284,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136517082,"gmtCreate":1622028003046,"gmtModify":1704178090810,"author":{"id":"3577217047850333","authorId":"3577217047850333","name":"cenziwei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1eab50d8786d65bb7111b763c451e41","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577217047850333","idStr":"3577217047850333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Time in the market beat timing the market. Ignore all the noise","listText":"Time in the market beat timing the market. Ignore all the noise","text":"Time in the market beat timing the market. Ignore all the noise","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136517082","repostId":"1168555747","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168555747","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622001153,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168555747?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 11:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The short-selling ratio of S&P 500 ETF rose to the highest level this year! Will U.S. stocks pull back?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168555747","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周,而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据,","content":"<p>Investors are increasing their bearish bets on the S&P 500 by shorting the world's largest ETF. The proportion of short interest in the S&P 500 ETF has been growing steadily for two weeks, while the S&P 500 has been hovering near record highs recently.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9c429cfbd71233ddb95e4179bed17c3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Short interest in the $357 billion S&P 500 ETF has jumped to its highest level this year as the S&P 500 oscillated near all-time highs, according to IHS Markit Ltd.</p><p>The data shows that about 4.8% of the fund's shares are currently on loan. This compares to only 2% two months ago and 1.7% at the start of the year.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/230a91c11ccf12210ff0a5ba7adf9e82\" tg-width=\"1156\" tg-height=\"656\"><span>S&P 500ETE Short Ratio</span></p><p>While this metric remains well below its highs over the past two years, rising above 7% more than once in 2020, the bearish pivot came at a time of market fragility.</p><p>Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, said: \"The share of short interest in the S&P 500 is surging in part due to doubts that the rally can continue, or at least that the market should pull back.\" \"While we see no danger of a bull market ending prematurely, with the market averaging at least 10% pullback every two years (at least since 1980), we do think a pullback of that magnitude is possible this year.\"</p><p>Investors have been turning to cyclical stocks, but the volatility blow has arrived as they are also worried about rising inflation and the outlook for rate hike. At the same time, the most speculative segments of the market, such as cryptocurrencies, have exacerbated concerns about excessive market optimism.</p><p>Strategists led by Tobias Levkovic said in a note on Friday that Citigroup's indicators remain \"in a state of excitement\" and that this will also lead to \"a 100% historical probability of a stock market decline in the coming year based on current levels.\"</p><p>Meanwhile, Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group, pointed out on Tuesday that the real Dividend ratio and real yield of the S&P 500 have both turned negative recently.</p><p>He said that this is a fairly rare phenomenon, and generally speaking, the S&P 500 doesn't return high when yields turn negative in the short term or long term.</p><p>However, the Susquehanna team also said they expect any pullback to be short-lived. They also pointed out that by historical standards, the proportion of short selling in U.S. stocks remains low.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The short-selling ratio of S&P 500 ETF rose to the highest level this year! Will U.S. stocks pull back?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe short-selling ratio of S&P 500 ETF rose to the highest level this year! Will U.S. stocks pull back?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-26 11:52</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors are increasing their bearish bets on the S&P 500 by shorting the world's largest ETF. The proportion of short interest in the S&P 500 ETF has been growing steadily for two weeks, while the S&P 500 has been hovering near record highs recently.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9c429cfbd71233ddb95e4179bed17c3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Short interest in the $357 billion S&P 500 ETF has jumped to its highest level this year as the S&P 500 oscillated near all-time highs, according to IHS Markit Ltd.</p><p>The data shows that about 4.8% of the fund's shares are currently on loan. This compares to only 2% two months ago and 1.7% at the start of the year.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/230a91c11ccf12210ff0a5ba7adf9e82\" tg-width=\"1156\" tg-height=\"656\"><span>S&P 500ETE Short Ratio</span></p><p>While this metric remains well below its highs over the past two years, rising above 7% more than once in 2020, the bearish pivot came at a time of market fragility.</p><p>Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance, said: \"The share of short interest in the S&P 500 is surging in part due to doubts that the rally can continue, or at least that the market should pull back.\" \"While we see no danger of a bull market ending prematurely, with the market averaging at least 10% pullback every two years (at least since 1980), we do think a pullback of that magnitude is possible this year.\"</p><p>Investors have been turning to cyclical stocks, but the volatility blow has arrived as they are also worried about rising inflation and the outlook for rate hike. At the same time, the most speculative segments of the market, such as cryptocurrencies, have exacerbated concerns about excessive market optimism.</p><p>Strategists led by Tobias Levkovic said in a note on Friday that Citigroup's indicators remain \"in a state of excitement\" and that this will also lead to \"a 100% historical probability of a stock market decline in the coming year based on current levels.\"</p><p>Meanwhile, Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group, pointed out on Tuesday that the real Dividend ratio and real yield of the S&P 500 have both turned negative recently.</p><p>He said that this is a fairly rare phenomenon, and generally speaking, the S&P 500 doesn't return high when yields turn negative in the short term or long term.</p><p>However, the Susquehanna team also said they expect any pullback to be short-lived. They also pointed out that by historical standards, the proportion of short selling in U.S. stocks remains low.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80f4ce6db7a7760033683c1536b161e8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168555747","content_text":"投资者正在通过做空全球最大的ETF来增加对标普500指数的看空赌注。标普500ETF的空头比例已经稳定增长了两周,而标普500指数最近一直徘徊在记录高点附近。根据IHS Markit Ltd.的数据,随着标普500指数在历史高点附近震荡,规模达3570亿美元的标普500 ETF的空头比例已跃升至今年最高水平。数据显示,该基金目前约有4.8%的股份已借出。相比之下,两个月前只有2%,而今年年初时为1.7%。标普500ETE空头比例尽管这一指标仍远低于过去两年的高点,2020年曾不止一次升至7%以上,但看跌转向是在市场脆弱时期出现的。Independent Advisor Alliance首席投资官Chris Zaccarelli表示:“标普500指数的空头比例激增,部分原因是人们怀疑涨势能否继续,或者至少市场应该回调。”“虽然我们认为牛市没有过早结束的危险,但由于市场平均每两年一次至少有10%的回调(至少自1980年以来),我们确实认为今年有可能出现这种程度的回落。”投资者一直在转向周期股,但波动性的打击已经到来,因为他们还担心通胀上升和加息的前景。同时,市场中投机性最强的部分(如加密货币)加剧了对市场过度乐观的担忧。以托比亚斯·列夫科维奇为首的策略师周五在一份报告中称,花旗集团的各项指标仍处于“兴奋状态”,而这也将导致“基于目前水平,未来一年股市下跌的历史概率为100%”。与此同时,Susquehanna国际集团衍生品策略联席主管克里斯•墨菲(Chris Murphy)周二指出,标普500指数的实际股息率和实际收益率最近均转为负值。他表示,这是一个相当罕见的现象,一般来说,无论是在短期还是在长期内收益率转为负时,标普500的回报率都不高。不过,Susquehanna团队也表示,他们预计任何回调都是短暂的。他们还指出,以历史标准衡量,对美股的做空比例仍然很低。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136608031,"gmtCreate":1622010950423,"gmtModify":1704366019827,"author":{"id":"3577217047850333","authorId":"3577217047850333","name":"cenziwei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1eab50d8786d65bb7111b763c451e41","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577217047850333","idStr":"3577217047850333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"100k soon","listText":"100k soon","text":"100k soon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136608031","repostId":"1163761139","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163761139","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622010446,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163761139?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 14:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Bitcoin returned to $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to more than 4%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163761139","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"5月26日讯,比特币上破40000美元/枚,日内涨幅扩大至4.32%。\n\n以太坊上破2900美元/枚,刷新日高,日内涨幅扩大至7.24%。","content":"<p>On May 26, Bitcoin broke through US $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to 4.32%.</p><p>Ethereum broke through $2,900 per coin, setting a new daily high, and the intraday increase expanded to 7.24%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63374d8609fa0ca764be76a39e5b1ada\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin returned to $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to more than 4%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin returned to $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to more than 4%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-26 14:27</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On May 26, Bitcoin broke through US $40,000 per coin, and the intraday increase expanded to 4.32%.</p><p>Ethereum broke through $2,900 per coin, setting a new daily high, and the intraday increase expanded to 7.24%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63374d8609fa0ca764be76a39e5b1ada\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/822c9eb58d8760a04d809fa31d9c0f34","relate_stocks":{"CAN":"嘉楠科技","EBON":"亿邦国际"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163761139","content_text":"5月26日讯,比特币上破40000美元/枚,日内涨幅扩大至4.32%。以太坊上破2900美元/枚,刷新日高,日内涨幅扩大至7.24%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"XBTmain":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9,"CAN":0.9,"EBON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2886,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136891144,"gmtCreate":1622003550888,"gmtModify":1704365894964,"author":{"id":"3577217047850333","authorId":"3577217047850333","name":"cenziwei","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1eab50d8786d65bb7111b763c451e41","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3577217047850333","idStr":"3577217047850333"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Haha retail investors in trouble ","listText":"Haha retail investors in trouble ","text":"Haha retail investors in trouble","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/136891144","repostId":"2138194497","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138194497","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1621993598,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138194497?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 09:46","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"What does the A-share shocking Yang line mean: the dangerous moment has passed, and the \"double bull\" is coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138194497","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"挑战四千点,这只是开始。","content":"<p>On May 25, A-shares ushered in a long-lost surge, the big financial sector broke out, brokerage stocks continued to rise, and liquor stocks drove the consumer sector to strengthen. The three major indexes of Shanghai and Shenzhen all rose by more than 2%, and the net purchase of northbound funds was 21.723 billion yuan, a new record high.</p><p>A big positive line changed investors' beliefs, and the focus of market discussion turned to: Is the bull market coming? In this regard, the Guojun strategy team, which shouted \"Challenge 4,000 points\" some time ago, once again shouted: \"Challenge 4,000 points, this is just the beginning.\" The Guojun fixed income team clearly stated that in the next stage, the market will usher in stocks and bonds. Double bulls.</p><p>When commenting on yesterday's market, analysts such as Chen Xianshun, Fang Yi and Huang Weichi of Guojun Strategy Team said that as the macro and external environment moves from uncertainty to certainty, the risk assessment will decline, thus driving the market from shock to rise:</p><p>On May 25th, the market rose sharply and the trading volume enlarged. Our logic is constantly being fulfilled, and the trend of mid-cap blue chips leading and large-cap blue chips following is also being fulfilled. In this regard, we believe that: sideways trading will not last long, challenging 4,000 points, brokerage stocks will take the lead, mid-cap blue chips will lead, large-cap blue chips will follow, and small demon tickets will not have a big drama. The above analysts pointed out that the core driving force of the pull-up comes from the denominator side:</p><p>First, the risk assessment decreased. Economic policy uncertainty and macro risk expectations are declining rapidly, including the steepest stage of bulk price increases and credit tightening expectations. It is easy to loosen but difficult to tighten policies during the year. Second, the risk-free rate of return is difficult to go up and easy to go down. Overseas, inflation expectations implied by U.S. debt have reached historical highs; Domestically, the ten-year Treasury Bond interest rate continues to fall back to 3.08%. With the strengthening of the RMB exchange rate, the liquidity advantage is expected to continue. Third, the current risk appetite remains basically stable. Risk appetite is still in the middle and low position, the superimposed valuation profit has moved from divergence to convergence, and the micro-trading structure has moved from collapse to optimization, and the blue-chip upward channel has opened again. Guojun's strategy suggests choosing stocks with the largest marginal change from uncertain performance to certain performance. It is expected that there will be a general rise pattern of blue-chip stocks in the market. The difference is that mid-cap blue-chips lead and large-cap blue-chips follow.</p><p>Qin Han and Shi Lingling, the monarch's fixed income team, said in another report that the \"downward expectation\" of the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate between China and the United States has strengthened, and the Nasdaq and A-shares have rebounded strongly, indicating that the downward view of \"risk-free interest rate expectations\" has been widely recognized, thus promoting the continuous recovery of the equity market.</p><p>Guojun's fixed income team compared the current stock market conditions to the market conditions during June-July 2020:</p><p>The risk-free interest rate (wealth management and goods-based yield) in investors' minds continues to decline, the yield of money funds exceeds 1.5%, and the opportunity cost of buying stocks drops sharply. The continuous entry of incremental funds strengthens the \"wave\" rising market of undervalued sectors, forming a logical closed loop of \"undervalued sectors rising-Shanghai Composite Index rising-economic recovery expectations strengthening-bond market falling-net-value wealth management losing money-risk-free interest rates falling-undervalued sectors rising\". Guojun's fixed income team reiterated the view that stocks and bonds are both bullish, believing that in the bond market, as inflation expectations have peaked, multiple departments have introduced policies to \"ensure supply and stabilize prices\" of commodities, and the \"most dangerous\" time for inflation has passed. The expectation of long-term stable funds is relatively clear, and the judgment that the domestic bond market is in a \"bull market\" is increasingly recognized.</p><p>According to the team, referring to the law that the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate fell by 50 basis points on average in a \"bull market\", it is expected that the first target of the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate of 3.0% will not be the end of this round of market, and the next stage will look towards the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate of 2.8%.</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What does the A-share shocking Yang line mean: the dangerous moment has passed, and the \"double bull\" is coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat does the A-share shocking Yang line mean: the dangerous moment has passed, and the \"double bull\" is coming\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 09:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On May 25, A-shares ushered in a long-lost surge, the big financial sector broke out, brokerage stocks continued to rise, and liquor stocks drove the consumer sector to strengthen. The three major indexes of Shanghai and Shenzhen all rose by more than 2%, and the net purchase of northbound funds was 21.723 billion yuan, a new record high.</p><p>A big positive line changed investors' beliefs, and the focus of market discussion turned to: Is the bull market coming? In this regard, the Guojun strategy team, which shouted \"Challenge 4,000 points\" some time ago, once again shouted: \"Challenge 4,000 points, this is just the beginning.\" The Guojun fixed income team clearly stated that in the next stage, the market will usher in stocks and bonds. Double bulls.</p><p>When commenting on yesterday's market, analysts such as Chen Xianshun, Fang Yi and Huang Weichi of Guojun Strategy Team said that as the macro and external environment moves from uncertainty to certainty, the risk assessment will decline, thus driving the market from shock to rise:</p><p>On May 25th, the market rose sharply and the trading volume enlarged. Our logic is constantly being fulfilled, and the trend of mid-cap blue chips leading and large-cap blue chips following is also being fulfilled. In this regard, we believe that: sideways trading will not last long, challenging 4,000 points, brokerage stocks will take the lead, mid-cap blue chips will lead, large-cap blue chips will follow, and small demon tickets will not have a big drama. The above analysts pointed out that the core driving force of the pull-up comes from the denominator side:</p><p>First, the risk assessment decreased. Economic policy uncertainty and macro risk expectations are declining rapidly, including the steepest stage of bulk price increases and credit tightening expectations. It is easy to loosen but difficult to tighten policies during the year. Second, the risk-free rate of return is difficult to go up and easy to go down. Overseas, inflation expectations implied by U.S. debt have reached historical highs; Domestically, the ten-year Treasury Bond interest rate continues to fall back to 3.08%. With the strengthening of the RMB exchange rate, the liquidity advantage is expected to continue. Third, the current risk appetite remains basically stable. Risk appetite is still in the middle and low position, the superimposed valuation profit has moved from divergence to convergence, and the micro-trading structure has moved from collapse to optimization, and the blue-chip upward channel has opened again. Guojun's strategy suggests choosing stocks with the largest marginal change from uncertain performance to certain performance. It is expected that there will be a general rise pattern of blue-chip stocks in the market. The difference is that mid-cap blue-chips lead and large-cap blue-chips follow.</p><p>Qin Han and Shi Lingling, the monarch's fixed income team, said in another report that the \"downward expectation\" of the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate between China and the United States has strengthened, and the Nasdaq and A-shares have rebounded strongly, indicating that the downward view of \"risk-free interest rate expectations\" has been widely recognized, thus promoting the continuous recovery of the equity market.</p><p>Guojun's fixed income team compared the current stock market conditions to the market conditions during June-July 2020:</p><p>The risk-free interest rate (wealth management and goods-based yield) in investors' minds continues to decline, the yield of money funds exceeds 1.5%, and the opportunity cost of buying stocks drops sharply. The continuous entry of incremental funds strengthens the \"wave\" rising market of undervalued sectors, forming a logical closed loop of \"undervalued sectors rising-Shanghai Composite Index rising-economic recovery expectations strengthening-bond market falling-net-value wealth management losing money-risk-free interest rates falling-undervalued sectors rising\". Guojun's fixed income team reiterated the view that stocks and bonds are both bullish, believing that in the bond market, as inflation expectations have peaked, multiple departments have introduced policies to \"ensure supply and stabilize prices\" of commodities, and the \"most dangerous\" time for inflation has passed. The expectation of long-term stable funds is relatively clear, and the judgment that the domestic bond market is in a \"bull market\" is increasingly recognized.</p><p>According to the team, referring to the law that the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate fell by 50 basis points on average in a \"bull market\", it is expected that the first target of the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate of 3.0% will not be the end of this round of market, and the next stage will look towards the 10-year Treasury Bond interest rate of 2.8%.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631262\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb146d9df27844cb787ad545c50986d","relate_stocks":{"09141":"华夏亚投债-U"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631262","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138194497","content_text":"5月25日,A股迎来久违的大涨,大金融板块爆发,券商股持续拉升,白酒股带动消费板块走强,沪深创三大指数均上涨超2%,北向资金净买入217.23亿元,刷新历史新高。一根大阳线改变了投资者信仰,市场讨论焦点转向:牛市是否来了?对此,前段时间喊出“挑战四千点”的国君策略团队再次高呼:“挑战四千点,这只是开始。“ 国君固收团队更是旗帜鲜明地表示,下一阶段,市场将迎来股债双牛。国君策略团队陈显顺、方奕、黄维驰等分析师在点评昨日行情时表示,随着宏观与外围环境由不确定走向确定,风险评价将会下降,由此驱动行情从震荡走向拉升:5月25日市场大涨,成交量放大,我们的逻辑正在不断地被兑现之中,中盘蓝筹领跑、大盘蓝筹跟随的趋势也在兑现之下。就此,我们认为:横盘不长久,挑战四千点,券商股打头阵,中盘蓝筹领跑,大盘蓝筹跟随,小妖票没大戏。上述分析师指出,拉升的核心驱动力来自分母端:第一,风险评价下降。经济政策不确定性与宏观风险预期正在快速下行,包括大宗涨价以及信用收紧预期斜率最为陡峭的阶段已经过去,年内政策端易松难紧。第二,无风险收益率上行难、下行易。海外方面,美债隐含的通胀预期已处历史高点;国内方面,十年期国债利率继续回落至3.08%,伴随人民币汇率走强,流动性优势有望延续。第三,当前风险偏好基本保持稳定。风险偏好仍处中低位置,叠加估值盈利从背离走向收敛,以及微观交易结构从崩塌走向优化,蓝筹上行通道再度打开。国君策略建议选择业绩从不确定走向确定边际变化最大的股票,预计市场将出现蓝筹股普涨格局,差异在于中盘蓝筹领跑,大盘蓝筹跟随。国君固收团队覃汉、石玲玲在另一份报告中表示,中美十年期国债利率“下行预期”加强,纳指和A股强势反弹,说明“无风险利率预期”下行的观点已经得到广泛认可,从而推动了权益市场持续修复。国君固收团队将眼下的股市行情类比 2020年6-7月期间的行情:投资者心中的无风险利率(理财、货基收益率)持续下降,货币基金收益率破 1.5%,买股票的机会成本大幅下降,部分抱团资金切换至低估值板块成为行情发动者,增量资金持续进场强化了低估值板块的“一波流”上涨行情,形成了“低估值板块上涨—上证综指上涨—经济复苏预期强化—债市下跌—净值型理财亏钱—投资者心中的无风险利率下行—低估值板块上涨”的逻辑闭环。国君固收团队重申了股债双牛的看法,认为债市方面,随着通胀预期见顶,多部门出台政策做好大宗商品“保供稳价”,通胀“最危险”的时候已经过去,而资金面长期平稳的预期较为明确,国内债市处于“小牛市”的判断越来越受认可。该团队表示,参考一轮“小牛市”10年国债利率平均下行50个基点的规律,预计10 年国债利率第一目标位3.0%不会是本轮行情的终点,下一阶段看向10年国债利率2.8%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TNmain":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"09141":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2460,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}