To The Moon

Treasury rates were volatile after a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, with the 10-year rate approaching 5%. Powell spoke at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday. Data in recent months suggest the central bank is making progress toward its twin goals of full employment and price stability, but inflation remains too high and more data pointing to sustained above-trend growth or an end to cooling in the labor market could pose risks to progress against inflation and lead to further tightening, he said.Powell said there is no evidence that policy is too tight, but given the uncertainties and risks, and the progress the central bank has made so far, the Fed will be careful to determine the extent of additional policy tightening and how long to maintain restrictive policy b

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Markets are watching Fed officials talk for insight into the outlook for interest rates. Whether the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates this year is still uncertain, the Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos, who is known as the "Fed mouthpiece," wrote on Wednesday (18). Philadelphia Fed President Patric Harker, who has a vote on the Federal Open Market Committee this year, said the Fed should remain on hold until early next year because monetary policy has a lag effect and higher borrowing costs will drag on the economy despite recent data pointing to renewed strength in the jobs and consumer markets.Mr. Harker said the Fed is likely to wait until early next year to determine whether its rapid rate hikes over the past 20 months have been enough to tame inflation. "