To The Moon

I have bad news and good news about the recent pullback in the market.The bad news is that big orders have been put in and institutions have really started shorting.The good news is to put the spread bearish, but the downside is limited.Institutional short strategies have generally been less aggressive this year than last, with the exception of banks. In the strategy design belongs to the relaxed state, the price drop is the best, if the price does not fall, there is no loss. So while there's very little upside right now, there's not a lot of downside, especially in the heavily weighted tech stocks.Personally, I think we can give up small-cap stocks to some extent this year. Comparing $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ to $Micr

The saying "Sell in May and Go Away" is a well-known phrase in the US stock market, which implies that the performance of the US stock market from November to April, during the half-year period, tends to be better than the performance from May to October during the other half-year period. Some people attribute this calendar effect to the impact of the mid-April deadline for US individual income tax filing, while others believe it is because most fund managers tend to be more aggressive in investing at year-end and year-beginning, and prefer to take vacations during the middle of the year. So, is this saying really true? Let's look at the objective data.1. Is the "Sell in May" true in US stock market? The chart below shows historical data from nearly 40 years (1985-2022) of the three major

Yesterday, Microsoft options change appeared consecutively several groups quite interesting strategy, once again gave a very clear guide to the recent trend of technology stocks is very instructive.There's good news and bad news for Microsoft's price action.Good news: Several institutions are somewhat bullish on Microsoft.Bad news: One institution is heavily bearish on Microsoft.You may be in a hurry to see why the opposite conclusion would be interesting, but hold on. The general split view is not enough for me to analyze. For example, some institutions have bought calls and some have bought puts. This divergence means that the institutions are split on the fundamentals, or that some of them know something they don't know. If that happens to be the case during earnings season, then for in

It’s a key week in Earnings Season as many companies released their reports. Some companies experienced roller coaster ride after the earnings release. You can find the stocks that rose or fell most in "Movers & Shakers" on Tiger Trade app.In this article, we gonna brief three companies that beat expectations and one company fell short. $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ $Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Western Alliance(WAL)$ $LM Ericsson Telephone(ERIC)$ 1. $Lockhe

Please find and follow my YT channel (nerdbull1669) for Daily SG and US Stock Watchlist. Do follow me as I share quality stock pick for Daily Watchlist. With $Netflix(NFLX)$ disallowing password sharing, it will boost the increase of subscribers per household. Reason is because there are more and more quality contents being produced jointly by Netflix and their partners. There are some quality variety show and documentary which is really worth watching. Price seem to be trading downwards. Netflix Subscriber Count by Quarter Netflix reported its first-quarter 2023 earnings Tuesday. Netflix added 1.75 million net new subscribers in Q1 2023, compared to 7.66 million in Q4 2022, where the increase is really significant. The Q4 2022 is also the perio

It’s a key week in Earnings Season as many companies released their reports. Some companies experienced roller coaster ride after the earnings release. You can find the stocks that rose or fell most in "Movers & Shakers" on Tiger Trade app.In this article, we gonna brief three companies that beat expectations and one company fell short. $Lockheed Martin(LMT)$ $Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ $Western Alliance(WAL)$ $LM Ericsson Telephone(ERIC)$ 1. $Lockhe

Here's how this bizarre option strategy was discovered: $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ soared last week on bank earnings, but I didn't see a significant move in JPM options, which I shouldn't have. Then I checked the move in the $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ :$XLF 20230421 33.5 CALL$ Institutions placed 10, 000 lots of near-term options expiring next week on the day before the JPM's earnings report, closed the next day and doubled the price at a rough estimate. It's a list you can't find unless you keep an eye on it.It can be seen that in some significant volatility on the institutions prefer to use ETF options trading. W

1.Major Indexes ReturnsThe major US indexes traded in a narrow range for the second week in a row. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ both added around 1% to record their fourth positive week out of the past five and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ generated a fractional gain.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ that measures investors’ expectations of short-term U.S. stock market volatility fell for the 4 week in a row.As of last Friday, the$Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ gained 1.28% last week and

My investing muse - CPI, bank and AI The earnings of the Big 3 banks (JP Morgan, Citibank & Wells Fargo) came out to be better than expected. It gave a strong start to the earnings season. However, the Big 3 banks have benefited as consumers moved their deposits out of smaller/regional banks. Most of these have ended up with the Big 4 (including Bank of America). The banking crisis is yet over. With the latest interest rate hike, the banking sector would have incurred more unrealized losses to their long-term assets like bonds and treasuries. Though these could be held on till maturity but these would also be one of the first assets to be liquidated in event of a bank run. CPI came out to be much lesser than anticipated. The market breathed a sigh of relief with YoY falling from 6.0% l

Public Holidays Nil Economic Calendar (17 Apr 2023) This was the update from the week ending 14 Apr 2023: The biggest good news is CPI dropped YoY from 6.0% previous month to 5.0% (much lesser than the 5.2% estimate) PPI came out to be -0.5% compared to 0.1%. This is the inflation that hits producers first (before being passed downstream to the consumers seen in CPI). This implies that there is a chance for some components of CPI to be lowered in the coming update. Crude Oil Inventories ended with an excess of 0.597M compared to an expected drawdown of 0.583M. This implies that the demand looks to be weaker than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came out higher (239K compared to the expected 232K). There is more unemployment than expected. Retail Sales came out to be more disappointing t