The path of the $.SPX(.SPX)$ after the 1st Fed cut is determined by whether the economy ends up in recession or not. This time around, the SPX has been closely mirroring the Soft Landing path.Image
December is the month of the year most likely to finish in the green
December is the month of the year most likely to finish in the green. Going back to 1928, the $.SPX(.SPX)$ has finished December positive 74% of the time. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Image2024 is pacing for the biggest annual outperformance of the US over Europe in 48 years.Image
Market sentiment is SKY HIGH right now. Goldman’s Sentiment Indicator hit +2.3 last week, its highest reading since Feb ‘18 and 4th highest in history (dates back to 2010). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImageIt measures stock positioning across retail, institutional, and foreign investors vs the past 12 months. A reading above +1.0 indicates extreme positions.The Small Cap outperformance is just beginning. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Image