$Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ hit ~80% above its 200 day MA in early June. A number surpassed only once in history. At the peak of the Dot Com Bubble in early 2000. On that note, SOX has moved +/- 3% in 15 of the last 30 trading days. Last happened in 2000. "Short term volatility is greatest at turning points and diminishes as a trend becomes established." - George Soros
We are about to enter the best seasonal period of the year for US stocks. Historically, the 1H of July is the best 2-week stretch on the calendar. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$has finished positive in 17 of the last 18 July’s.
$SPX is currently ~4% CHEAPER than it was at the start of 2026
On a forward earnings basis, the $SPX $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is currently ~4% CHEAPER than it was at the start of 2026. This rally has been entirely driven by earnings growth. Multiples haven’t even started expanding yet. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins? Now's your chance. 🎁 We’ve selected 4 high-demand items across practial, lifestyle, and learning, now with a lower redemption threshold! Hot Merch Returns · Up to 43% Off
Earnings Over Headlines: Why the Indices Keep Recovering
Despite the Macro volatility this year, the earnings picture keeps getting stronger. EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 are both +5% higher today than they were before the Iran War even started. If you were wondering why the indices are back at highs already, this is your answer. 👇