$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2306(ESmain)$ Are we seeing the bearish ascending triangle already? As with NQ, tendency to take rotational trades has diminished. Scenario Planning: 1) Rejection short at 4175 / 4068 2) If market decides to spring a surprise, long on test of break of 4198 and finds support Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: High vol narrow spread S>D bar = weakness Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4198 4068 3928 3788 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week.
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2306(YMmain)$ Test and reject of 34275 for first week of May: Entry: 34105 | Risk 100pts (reduced size) | Exit 33674 | Profit 430pts Now that YM has exited rotation, and tested boundary, we may see the likelihood of a rejection trade from 33670. Set your alarm there. Possible scenarios: 1) Test and reject of 33670 = short Volume Analysis: Daily: High volume breakdown from rotation, followed by lower vol up bar close off high = confirmation of supply overcoming demand H4: Lower vol up bar close off high = weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 &nb
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 MAY 08 $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ NQ scenario 4, rotational trade yielded 470pts from 3 trades. Test and Reject/Accept setups consistently offers low risk trades. NQ was in rotation for a month now. Friday saw a low volume mark up, and could be trapping longs. Previous scenario planning remains. Given the rotation has progressed thus far, inexperienced traders should just wait. CAPS FOR EMPHASIS-MY TENDENCY TO TRADE SCENARIO4 WILL NOW BE DIMINISHED. Possible scenarios: 1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved Then: 2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range 3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejecti
$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 MAY 01 NQ remains in rotation. The week yielded 400pts profit based on discretionary trade taken on 24 April and Scenario4 trade taken on 27 April. (Refer to analysis provided for week of 24 April for Scenario4). Next, wait for price reaction to 13350. Possible scenarios: 1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved Then: 2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range 3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejection of 12950 4) If you can't live without trading, you may look for long on support between 12950-13040 | Short on rejection between 13350-13212 Volume Analysis: Daily: Supply
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2306(YMmain)$ YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEK Discretionary trade at the 34275 rejection yielded 350pts. With price failing to reach previous supply level 34605, could market be indicating that demand at higher levels have been exhausted? If so, we may be looking at further distribution (i.e. selling) Possible scenarios: 1) With weakness observed, wait to short at rejection at 34605 // 34275 2) Possibility of rotation between 33670 - 34275 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Daily: Possibility of buying climax. Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605
$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 24 WEEK Last week Nasdaq was easy right? Why? - Cos no trades per scenario1 lol. NQ continued to rotate. Weaknesses have manifested, so if you are holding long, may be a good time to take profit during this toppish structure. Possible scenarios: 1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved Then: 2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range 3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejection of 12950 4) If you can't live without trading, you may look for long on support between 12950-13040 | Short on rejection between 13350-13212 Volume Analysis: Daily: With the increase in supply
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2306(YMmain)$ YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 17 WEEK Previous long scenario2 at 32595 // 33590 worked well. Potential weakness observed. Market now is approx. 500pts away from 34605. Possible scenarios: 1) Trade to be guided by channel 2) With weakness observed, wait to short at channel's supply line or rejection at 35228 // or 34605 previous rejection area Volume Analysis: Weekly: higher volume up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: Higher vol mark up to close lower, and a close below middle of bar = potential weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605
$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2306(ESmain)$ ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 17 WEEK Friday's bar closed below 4175 and showed a rejection of higher prices. Scenario Planning: 1) Rejection short at 4175 2) Market rotation continues = trade at boundary of range (grey box, 80pt range) 3) Rotation breakout long at support of 4175 Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: High vol narrow spread S>D bar = weakness Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4175 4096 3928 &nb
$E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 17 WEEK 12950 was supporting the market well despite increase in distribution effort. Market participation was low though, and shortening of thrust from high to high observed = waning upward momentum. Possible scenarios: 1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved Then: 2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range 3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejection of 12950 Volume Analysis: Weekly = Ave vol narrow spread up bar close off high = Minor weakness Daily: Higher vol narrow spread down bar close away from low = minor demand Price reaction
$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2306(ESmain)$ ES1! SPX500USD 2023 APR 04 WEEK Market may be continued to be marked up. However, exercise caution as weekly bar may be showing a bull trap. Scenario Planning: 1) Possible short if 4175 is rejected 2) Continuation Long if 4082 // 4175 are supported Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close toward high = no commitment to higher prices, possible trapping longs Daily: Ave vol up bar close toward high = non-trend changing Price reaction levels: Short = Test and Reject | Long = Test and Accept 4303 4175 4082 3928