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D45
D45
·
03-19 02:54
$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$
(ProShares UltraPro QQQ)與其底層指數ETF——QQQ(Invesco QQQ Trust)比較時的關鍵盲點,並探討此一現象對散戶投資者的啟示。 一、 核心謬誤:名義價格比較的嚴重失真 坊間普遍存在一個現象:投資者直接將TQQQ與QQQ的即時價格或歷史價格圖表進行疊加比較,試圖解讀兩者的倍數關係或估值高低。然而,這種比較方法存在根本性的缺陷。 QQQ的價格軌跡: QQQ自2000年進行唯一一次2:1分割後,二十餘年來再無任何分割記錄。其名義價格的增長,直接且真實地反映了其底層資產價值的長期累積。 TQQQ的價格幻覺: 相反的,TQQQ自2010年成立以來,為維持交易流動性,已進行至少8次股票分割。每一次2:1或3:1的分割,都將其名義價格人為地「砍半」或「砍至三分之一」。 結論一:若直接比較兩者名義價格,如同使用刻度完全不同的兩把尺進行丈量。TQQQ的名義價格因頻繁分割而被系統性地「壓低」,創造出一種「價格低廉」或「波動溫和」的幻覺,這完全掩蓋了其真實的資產增長軌跡與驚人的波動本質。任何基於此種比較得出的「TQQQ較便宜」或「兩者波動區間相近」的結論,都是具有誤導性的。 二、 真相還原:必須依靠「還原股價」 要進行有意義的比較,唯一的科學方法是採用經過回溯調整的 「還原股價 (Adjusted Close Price)」。此數據已將所有歷史上的股票分割、配息等因素納入計算,使所有價格點立於同一基礎之上。 真實的長期報酬:使用還原股價後,TQQQ過去十多年的累積報酬將呈現出近乎垂直的增長曲線,其驚人的倍數效果遠非名義價格圖表所能比擬。 真實的波動風險:** 還原股價也將揭露TQQQ真實的波動區間,其
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D45
D45
·
03-18
$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$
與昨晚差不多
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D45
D45
·
03-18
$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
特斯拉近期比較淡靜,先吐現 ,再部署吸納 。
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D45
D45
·
03-17
$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$
趁調整入貨
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D45
D45
·
03-17
$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL)$
趁調整入貨
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D45
D45
·
03-17
$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$
加注入貨
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D45
D45
·
03-16
$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL)$
趁回落買入一些
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D45
D45
·
03-06
$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$
Sqqq to tqqq
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D45
D45
·
2025-12-10
$Netflix(NFLX)$
持續買進
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D45
·
2025-12-09
$Netflix(NFLX)$
有得博
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ </a>(ProShares UltraPro QQQ)與其底層指數ETF——QQQ(Invesco QQQ Trust)比較時的關鍵盲點,並探討此一現象對散戶投資者的啟示。 一、 核心謬誤:名義價格比較的嚴重失真 坊間普遍存在一個現象:投資者直接將TQQQ與QQQ的即時價格或歷史價格圖表進行疊加比較,試圖解讀兩者的倍數關係或估值高低。然而,這種比較方法存在根本性的缺陷。 QQQ的價格軌跡: QQQ自2000年進行唯一一次2:1分割後,二十餘年來再無任何分割記錄。其名義價格的增長,直接且真實地反映了其底層資產價值的長期累積。 TQQQ的價格幻覺: 相反的,TQQQ自2010年成立以來,為維持交易流動性,已進行至少8次股票分割。每一次2:1或3:1的分割,都將其名義價格人為地「砍半」或「砍至三分之一」。 結論一:若直接比較兩者名義價格,如同使用刻度完全不同的兩把尺進行丈量。TQQQ的名義價格因頻繁分割而被系統性地「壓低」,創造出一種「價格低廉」或「波動溫和」的幻覺,這完全掩蓋了其真實的資產增長軌跡與驚人的波動本質。任何基於此種比較得出的「TQQQ較便宜」或「兩者波動區間相近」的結論,都是具有誤導性的。 二、 真相還原:必須依靠「還原股價」 要進行有意義的比較,唯一的科學方法是採用經過回溯調整的 「還原股價 (Adjusted Close Price)」。此數據已將所有歷史上的股票分割、配息等因素納入計算,使所有價格點立於同一基礎之上。 真實的長期報酬:使用還原股價後,TQQQ過去十多年的累積報酬將呈現出近乎垂直的增長曲線,其驚人的倍數效果遠非名義價格圖表所能比擬。 真實的波動風險:** 還原股價也將揭露TQQQ真實的波動區間,其","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TQQQ\">$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ </a>(ProShares UltraPro QQQ)與其底層指數ETF——QQQ(Invesco QQQ Trust)比較時的關鍵盲點,並探討此一現象對散戶投資者的啟示。 一、 核心謬誤:名義價格比較的嚴重失真 坊間普遍存在一個現象:投資者直接將TQQQ與QQQ的即時價格或歷史價格圖表進行疊加比較,試圖解讀兩者的倍數關係或估值高低。然而,這種比較方法存在根本性的缺陷。 QQQ的價格軌跡: QQQ自2000年進行唯一一次2:1分割後,二十餘年來再無任何分割記錄。其名義價格的增長,直接且真實地反映了其底層資產價值的長期累積。 TQQQ的價格幻覺: 相反的,TQQQ自2010年成立以來,為維持交易流動性,已進行至少8次股票分割。每一次2:1或3:1的分割,都將其名義價格人為地「砍半」或「砍至三分之一」。 結論一:若直接比較兩者名義價格,如同使用刻度完全不同的兩把尺進行丈量。TQQQ的名義價格因頻繁分割而被系統性地「壓低」,創造出一種「價格低廉」或「波動溫和」的幻覺,這完全掩蓋了其真實的資產增長軌跡與驚人的波動本質。任何基於此種比較得出的「TQQQ較便宜」或「兩者波動區間相近」的結論,都是具有誤導性的。 二、 真相還原:必須依靠「還原股價」 要進行有意義的比較,唯一的科學方法是採用經過回溯調整的 「還原股價 (Adjusted Close Price)」。此數據已將所有歷史上的股票分割、配息等因素納入計算,使所有價格點立於同一基礎之上。 真實的長期報酬:使用還原股價後,TQQQ過去十多年的累積報酬將呈現出近乎垂直的增長曲線,其驚人的倍數效果遠非名義價格圖表所能比擬。 真實的波動風險:** 還原股價也將揭露TQQQ真實的波動區間,其","text":"$ProShares UltraPro QQQ(TQQQ)$ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ)與其底層指數ETF——QQQ(Invesco QQQ Trust)比較時的關鍵盲點,並探討此一現象對散戶投資者的啟示。 一、 核心謬誤:名義價格比較的嚴重失真 坊間普遍存在一個現象:投資者直接將TQQQ與QQQ的即時價格或歷史價格圖表進行疊加比較,試圖解讀兩者的倍數關係或估值高低。然而,這種比較方法存在根本性的缺陷。 QQQ的價格軌跡: QQQ自2000年進行唯一一次2:1分割後,二十餘年來再無任何分割記錄。其名義價格的增長,直接且真實地反映了其底層資產價值的長期累積。 TQQQ的價格幻覺: 相反的,TQQQ自2010年成立以來,為維持交易流動性,已進行至少8次股票分割。每一次2:1或3:1的分割,都將其名義價格人為地「砍半」或「砍至三分之一」。 結論一:若直接比較兩者名義價格,如同使用刻度完全不同的兩把尺進行丈量。TQQQ的名義價格因頻繁分割而被系統性地「壓低」,創造出一種「價格低廉」或「波動溫和」的幻覺,這完全掩蓋了其真實的資產增長軌跡與驚人的波動本質。任何基於此種比較得出的「TQQQ較便宜」或「兩者波動區間相近」的結論,都是具有誤導性的。 二、 真相還原:必須依靠「還原股價」 要進行有意義的比較,唯一的科學方法是採用經過回溯調整的 「還原股價 (Adjusted Close Price)」。此數據已將所有歷史上的股票分割、配息等因素納入計算,使所有價格點立於同一基礎之上。 真實的長期報酬:使用還原股價後,TQQQ過去十多年的累積報酬將呈現出近乎垂直的增長曲線,其驚人的倍數效果遠非名義價格圖表所能比擬。 真實的波動風險:** 還原股價也將揭露TQQQ真實的波動區間,其","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544097682477296","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3479274781436276","authorId":"3479274781436276","name":"snixee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab7a887f7d1ab09c9b3f648ad7c56ad4","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3479274781436276","idStr":"3479274781436276"},"content":"It turns out that TQQQ has been split so many times, and the nominal price will deceive people, and the fluctuation is really scary!","text":"It turns out that TQQQ has been split so many times, and the nominal price will deceive people, and the fluctuation is really scary!","html":"It turns out that TQQQ has been split so many times, and the nominal price will deceive people, and the fluctuation is really scary!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":544018061218032,"gmtCreate":1773840609931,"gmtModify":1774055336565,"author":{"id":"4146794110585152","authorId":"4146794110585152","name":"D45","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c090de1630ce1270c865d3a6852f070","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4146794110585152","idStr":"4146794110585152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>與昨晚差不多","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>與昨晚差不多","text":"$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ 與昨晚差不多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/544018061218032","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":103,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":543855858995440,"gmtCreate":1773801009779,"gmtModify":1773801243264,"author":{"id":"4146794110585152","authorId":"4146794110585152","name":"D45","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c090de1630ce1270c865d3a6852f070","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4146794110585152","idStr":"4146794110585152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLL\">$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ </a>特斯拉近期比較淡靜,先吐現 ,再部署吸納 。","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLL\">$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ </a>特斯拉近期比較淡靜,先吐現 ,再部署吸納 。","text":"$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ 特斯拉近期比較淡靜,先吐現 ,再部署吸納 。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543855858995440","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":183,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":543695125577968,"gmtCreate":1773761768222,"gmtModify":1774055336610,"author":{"id":"4146794110585152","authorId":"4146794110585152","name":"D45","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c090de1630ce1270c865d3a6852f070","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4146794110585152","idStr":"4146794110585152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>趁調整入貨","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>趁調整入貨","text":"$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ 趁調整入貨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543695125577968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":543690698936560,"gmtCreate":1773760687499,"gmtModify":1773841042491,"author":{"id":"4146794110585152","authorId":"4146794110585152","name":"D45","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c090de1630ce1270c865d3a6852f070","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4146794110585152","idStr":"4146794110585152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOIL\">$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL)$ </a>趁調整入貨","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/BOIL\">$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL)$ </a>趁調整入貨","text":"$ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas(BOIL)$ 趁調整入貨","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/543690698936560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":543555042500848,"gmtCreate":1773727568252,"gmtModify":1774055336476,"author":{"id":"4146794110585152","authorId":"4146794110585152","name":"D45","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4c090de1630ce1270c865d3a6852f070","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4146794110585152","idStr":"4146794110585152"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>加注入貨","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/RGTI\">$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ </a>加注入貨","text":"$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ 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