AfraSimon

    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-28 11:05

      Rare earths supply is still the #1 national security priority

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      Rare earths supply is still the #1 national security priority
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-28 10:54

      AI Cloud vs Bare Metal vs Colocation

      图像 AI requires fundamentally different infrastructure than general-purpose cloud infrastructure. Simply put, AI data centers use a higher number of powerful $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ GPUs that eat a lot of electricity, requiring meaningful grid upgrades. Additionally, these GPUs generate more heat than a conventional data center, demanding improved cooling systems. This means that, unfortunately, using existing general-purpose data centers for AI workloads is just not economically viable. This is why we are witnessing this extreme data center buildout boom! In a colocation model, a company such as Cipher Digital builds the data center, secures energy, and equips it with cooling, networking, and other equipment. Then they secure a customer who signs a long-te
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      AI Cloud vs Bare Metal vs Colocation
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-28 10:50

      7 Non-US, High-Quality, Strong Moat Stocks

      7 Non-US, High-Quality, Strong Moat Stocks 1. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Country: Netherlands Industry: Semiconductor Equipment Ticker: $ASML Market Cap: $555B FCF Margin: 26.6% ROIC: 20.7% FWD P/E: 37 2028 Revenue CAGR: 16.5% 2028 EPS CAGR: 22% 2. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Country: Taiwan Industry: Semiconductor Foundries Ticker: $TSM Market Cap: $2T FCF Margin: 25.7% ROIC: 45.5% FWD P/E: 21 2028 Revenue CAGR: 16.5% 2028 EPS CAGR: 29% 3. $Adyen N.V.(ADYEY)$ Country: Netherlands Industry: Payments Ticker: $ADYEN Market Cap: $36B EBITDA Margin: 52.7% ROE: 22% FWD P/E: 25 2028 Revenue CAGR: 20% 2028 EPS CAGR: 19% 4.
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      7 Non-US, High-Quality, Strong Moat Stocks
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-27 06:16

      From $INTC to $NOK to $CRCL: Spotting the Next “Obvious” Trade

      The biggest trade opportunities tend to have the most obvious catalysts. I've even struggled in the past taking trades that seem "too obvious"... But came to the conclusion that the best trade ideas always have the biggest catalysts. period full stop. Here are recent examples of "obvious" trade + what I see next: 1) space trade - in dec '25, elon confirmed spaceX would go public > the "too obvious" trade was to go long anything even remotely related to space ...results? every space name running 100%+ 2) the $Intel(INTC)$ trade - in august '25, the us gov't took a 10% stake in intel > the "too obvious" trade was to load the boat on $intc ...results? +400% in less than a year 3) the $Nokia Oyj(NOK)$ tr
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      From $INTC to $NOK to $CRCL: Spotting the Next “Obvious” Trade
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-27 06:13

      Nebius Deep Dive: AWS of AI or a Bubble?

      We are currently in the midst of an AI boom, with many predicting that it will have a bigger impact on the economy and the stock market than electricity did! $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has been the poster child of this new AI revolution, as AI start-ups and cloud hyperscalers are spending hundreds of billions of dollars on GPUs. While Nvidia became rich by selling AI picks and shovels, $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ aims to become rich by being an AI refinery and processor. In gold mining, after miners have used picks and shovels, before gold can be of any use, it must be refined and processed. Similarly, raw GPU power (picks and shovels) is not enough. To deliver great AI services, companies need to refine AI to make it faster, m
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      Nebius Deep Dive: AWS of AI or a Bubble?
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-26 15:43

      Scaling Into Size: A Smarter Way to Build Concentrated Positions

      You don't have to go 100% "all in" a single stock, but concentration is how you make silly amounts of money. How to build really big positions *safely*: I like to build exposure in different ways, even through different vehicles...while also allowing myself to comfortably hold through volatility. 1) scale in via shares (earn your size) - take days/weeks/months to build a position - add on weakness inside strength (pullbacks, consolidations, higher lows) - avoid urgency...slow & steady is fine 2) trade around a core - establish a core position (exmpl: 1000 shares) - actively trade a smaller portion (100–300 shares)...lowers cost basis, generates cash flow - don't touch the core unless thesis breaks 3) include adjacent exposure across vehicles - via other equities in the same theme - via
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      Scaling Into Size: A Smarter Way to Build Concentrated Positions
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-26 13:33

      6 Highest-Moat Businesses - GOOGL, META, MSFT, MA, AMZN & MELI

      6 Highest-Moat Businesses 1. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Industry: Tech Ticker: $GOOGL Market Cap: $4.1T FWD P/E: 29 2028 Revenue CAGR: 15.5% 2028 EPS CAGR: 12.7% Growth Areas: - AI Cloud - AI Services - YouTube - Subscriptions 2. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Industry: Social Media Ticker: $META Market Cap: $1.7T FWD P/E: 23 2028 Revenue CAGR: 20% 2028 EPS CAGR: 19% Growth Areas: - WhatsApp Monetization - AI Content - AI Services - User Growth 3. $MasterCard(MA)$ Industry: Payments Ticker: $MA Market Cap: $465B FWD P/E: 26 2028 Revenue CAGR: 12.5% 2028 EPS CAGR: 17% Growth Areas: - E-commerce - Emerging Markets - Value-added Services 4.
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      6 Highest-Moat Businesses - GOOGL, META, MSFT, MA, AMZN & MELI
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-24

      Top-Down Map: $XLK $SOXX $XLRE Signal Leadership

      List of ETFs I monitor for sector strength...my first step in finding more concentrated thematic strength. Basically a top down approach. Putting all of their charts side-by-side gives you an interesting perspective. Energy, $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ * oil, gas, energy production * exxon, chevron type names * moves with oil prices + macro supply/demand Financials, $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ * banks, insurance, asset managers * jpmorgan, goldman, berkshire * sensitive to interest rates + credit cycles Technology, $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ * software, semiconductors, hardware * apple, microsoft, nvidia * growth engine of the m
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      Top-Down Map: $XLK $SOXX $XLRE Signal Leadership
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-24

      $GME: Cash War Chest + Treasury Hire = Strategic Pivot Ahead

      $GameStop(GME)$ just quietly posted 2 executive roles at HQ this week. One in legal, the other in treasury...after a very quiet hiring stretch. What does this tell me? Welp, "global Treasury" = capital allocation shift. This is the interesting one. That role usually handles cash management, investments, M&A funding, capital structure (buybacks, debt, etc.). Meaning that they are prob prepp'ing to do something more sophisticated with cash. This CAN (and typically does) include acquisitions. Ryan Cohen's comments about "a very, very, very big" acquisition have me watching this change closely. Pair this with massive, unusual insider buying + a huge company cash position. I'm not saying an acquisition is guaranteed, but using my elementary school c
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      $GME: Cash War Chest + Treasury Hire = Strategic Pivot Ahead
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·04-24

      NU, PGY, TMDX, DLO, MELI, INTU - 6 Undervalued High-Quality Businesses

      6 Undervalued High-Quality Businesses 1. $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Industry: Fintech Ticker: $NU Market Cap: $71.8B FWD P/E: 16 2028 Revenue CAGR: 28.4% 2028 EPS CAGR: 34.2% Growth Areas: - US Expansion - Latin American Expansion - SMB Banking - Lending 2. $Pagaya Technologies Ltd.(PGY)$ Industry: Fintech Ticker: $PGY Market Cap: $1.2B FWD P/E: 10 2028 Revenue CAGR: 13.1% 2028 EPS CAGR: 56.2% Growth Areas: - AI Credit Assessment - Second Look AI Loans - AI ABS Creation 3. $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Industry: Medical Devices Ticker: $TMDX Market Cap: $3.9B FWD P/E: 41 2028 Revenue CAGR: 17.9% 2028 FCF CAGR: 18% Growth Areas: - Liver - Heart - EU Expansion 4.
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      NU, PGY, TMDX, DLO, MELI, INTU - 6 Undervalued High-Quality Businesses
     
     
     
     

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