To The Moon

The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed mouthpiece", wrote on Tuesday (22) that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is moving toward the last mile of the fight against inflation, and there may be three directions for future interest rate policy, but this is still full of variables, just like inflation data.

The annual meeting of global central banks starts on the 24th, and the focus is on a speech by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Power on Friday, where central bank chairmen are likely to discuss how to meet the task of fighting inflation. Fed Chair Jerome Power will speak on Friday.

Timiraos noted that the Fed's most aggressive cycle of rate hikes in four decades since March last year has reduced U.S. inflation from 9.1 percent to 3.2 percent, but the good news raises a new thorny question for the Fed about how aggressively it should tighten policy to reach 2 percent inflation. And that could have huge and potentially painful consequences for consumers, markets, and the economy.

Some on Wall Street maintained their bullish year-end price targets for the S&P 500, but as rising Treasury rates continued to weigh on risky assets, some strategists cut their year-end targets to 4,200.

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Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Highlight order:

Buy TOP T/O: $AAPL 20230915 200.0 PUT$ $U 20231117 37.0 CALL$

Buy TOP Vol: $AGNC 20230922 10.0 CALL$ $VLY 20240315 8.0 PUT$

AGNC Investment Corporation is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests primarily in agency backed mortgage securities (agency MBS). The company was founded in 2008 and invests primarily in single-family residential mortgages and collateralized mortgage obligations, financed primarily through mortgages in the form of repurchase agreements.

$Valley National(VLY)$ U.S. bank stocks and regional bank stocks fell across the board on Tuesday after S&P Global Ratings downgraded five smaller banks following a review of funding, liquidity and asset quality-related risks, with a focus on office commercial real estate. To add insult to injury, Nasdaq announced on Wednesday that FRBK would be delisted after the company failed to file its annual report on time. Its shares have since plunged 39 per cent.

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Highlight order:

Sell TOP T/O: $AAPL 20230825 195.0 PUT$ $BABA 20240621 95.0 CALL$

Sell TOP Vol: $COF 20231020 120.0 CALL$ $TAL 20231020 6.0 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.