To The Moon

On the eve of the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Bauer, Federal Reserve officials "put eagles", market sentiment clouds, US Treasury interest rates rose, the main US stock market index opened higher and lower on Thursday, even if the "AI giant" Nvidia's amazing earnings report was difficult to pull off the tide, AI concept stocks generally killed.

Political and economic news, Federal Reserve Chairman Bauer will speak at the annual central bank meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday, investors will be parsed, looking for clues about the interest rate outlook, the Fed's voice Nick Timiraos wrote on the 21st. He speculates that rising productivity and rising U.S. deficits may allow the Federal Reserve to raise the "neutral rate," limiting the Fed's ability to cut interest rates.

At a time of market sensitivity, Fed officials sounded a hawkish note on Thursday, with Boston Fed President Susan Collins saying the U.S. central bank is probably in a position where it can keep policy rates steady, hasn't really seen a significant slowdown in economic growth yet, and further rate hikes are possible. It is too early to give a firm signal on the timing of a rate cut.

James Bullard, a former Fed hawk now in academic circles, said a pickup in the U.S. economy could put upward pressure on inflation, hamper the slowdown we are seeing and delay the central bank's plans to change policy.

In response to Nvidia's weak stock price, Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore believes that AI spending will play a real driving force for a number of companies he tracks, whether it is AMD, Marvell or Intel, all have a good AI vision, "but the AI advantages of these enterprises, Will be offset by budget squeeze and fragmentation."

Big options orders show bearish sentiment:

buy $NVDA 20231020 305.0 PUT$

sell $NVDA 20231020 525.0 CALL$

sell $NVDA 20230825 487.5 CALL$

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0 DTE option

0 DTE options surged in response to Thursday's sell-off.

The highest single transaction volume: $KVUE 20230825 23.0 PUT$ $BAC 20230825 28.0 PUT$

Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Highlight order:

Buy TOP T/O: $SPLK 20250117 140.0 CALL$ $ADI 20250117 200.0 CALL$

Buy TOP Vol: $FTCH 20251219 1.5 PUT$ $DIS 20230929 75.0 PUT$

$Splunk(SPLK)$ , the data analytics software company, reported Q2 earnings of $0.71 per share on a 14.0% year-over-year increase in revenue to $9,105.9 million (beating consensus estimates of $8,892.9 million). The company also issued slightly better-than-expected guidance as Q3 revenue is expected to be in the range of $102 - $103.5 million (exceeding expectations of $9823,900) and FY24 revenue is expected to be in the range of $392.5 - $395 million (exceeding consensus estimates of $3.91 billion).

$Farfetch Ltd(FTCH)$ announced financial results on August 17, announcing that the company's net profit in the second fiscal quarter of 2023 was -272 million US dollars, a decrease of 485.93% compared with the same period last year; Operating income was $572 million, down 1.21%, and basic earnings per share was negative $0.68.

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ Investors are selling Disney amid concerns about CEO Bob Iger's turnaround plan, and the stock closed down 3.9% at $82.47 on Thursday, its lowest close since October 2014. The company's transformation plan includes raising streaming prices, increasing advertising and cutting costs. In July, Iger revealed that Disney may spin off parts of its TV empire because some of them "may not be core to the company."

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Highlight order:

Sell TOP T/O: $AAPL 20230825 195.0 PUT$ $XOM 20250117 110.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol: $BAC 20231006 26.0 PUT$ $RBLX 20240621 35.0 CALL$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.