To The Moon

As we approach the end of September, the stock market has experienced its share of turbulence and uncertainty. US stock futures have edged lower, influenced by factors such as rising interest rates, surging oil prices, and the ongoing budget stand-off in Washington. It's natural for investors to feel cautious in such an environment, but I want to share my view as we move forward.

Investors have encountered challenges and uncertainties throughout September, but it's important to remember that resilience is the hallmark of successful investors. We should weather market fluctuations with determination and a long-term perspective.

SPY Seasonal Returns Previous 30 Years

Historical patterns often provide valuable insights into market behavior, and one such pattern suggests a shift in fortune as we move from September into October. $Apple(AAPL)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ , for example, has shown a seasonal pattern of weakness in September, followed by strength in October. While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, this historical trend reminds us that markets can be cyclical, and downturns can be followed by upswings.

The ongoing budget stand-off in the US adds another layer of uncertainty to the mix. However, it's important to note that negotiations are ongoing, and there is still hope that a resolution can be reached to avoid a government shutdown. These types of situations often create short-term market jitters, but they can also lead to opportunities for those who remain patient and stay informed.

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ 's recent announcement of a significant investment in artificial intelligence group Anthropic highlights the continued interest and focus on emerging technologies. This move signifies the ever-evolving landscape of innovation and competition in the tech sector, which can have ripple effects throughout the market.

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ , after a negative week, are rebounding as attention returns to the prospect of tighter supplies. The extension of supply cuts by major oil-producing nations points to potential support for oil prices in the coming months. This is a reminder that market dynamics can change, and supply-demand factors can influence commodity prices.

As we step into October, it's important for investors not to be overly pessimistic despite recent market fluctuations. The world of investing is filled with opportunities and challenges, and maintaining a balanced perspective is key. October may bring a renewed sense of optimism, and historical patterns suggest a potential turnaround.

Remember, some of the most successful investors faced adversity but emerged stronger and wealthier. Persistence, discipline, and a focus on long-term goals are essential. Markets have a way of finding equilibrium, and opportunities arise when we stay committed to our financial journey.

In conclusion, let's approach the final week of September with optimism and resilience. Keep a watchful eye on market developments, stay informed, and be prepared to seize opportunities as they arise. October may well be a month of positive change, and with the right mindset, we can navigate the markets successfully. Wishing you a rewarding and prosperous journey ahead.

Disclaimer: The views expressed here are for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always conduct your research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. 

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