To The Moon

The 10-year Treasury yield topped 4.54 percent, a 16-year high, but energy stocks led the way, Amazon surged and the S&P 500 rebounded to close higher on Monday.

Goldman estimates that each week of the U.S. government shutdown will shave about 0.2 percentage points off GDP, and it also expects the resumption of student loan payments to shave 0.5 percentage points off U.S. economic growth. The threat of inflation has re-emerged, and soaring oil prices and large fiscal deficits are spurring losses on government debt while hurting market sentiment. The Fed last week left its benchmark interest rate on hold, with expectations that rates will remain high for a long time and its hawkish stance unchanged.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee noted that inflation persistently above the Fed's 2 percent target remains a bigger risk than Fed tightening because rate hikes cause the economy to slow more than needed to control price increases.

The market is closely watching a number of Fed speakers and personal consumption expenditures price index data due on Friday. Fed Chair Janet Bauer is scheduled to speak on Thursday, while New York Fed President John Williams is scheduled to speak on Friday.

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Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Buy TOP T/O:

$TSLA 20260116 190.0 PUT$ $SE 20240621 60.0 CALL$

Buy TOP Vol:

$COIN 20230929 77.0 CALL$ $SE 20240621 60.0 CALL$

Other tech stocks:

$PDD 20231117 95.0 PUT$ $MSFT 20230929 345.0 PUT$

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Indonesia may issue a regulation on the use of social media to sell goods in the country on Tuesday, in a move aimed at quelling threats to offline markets in Southeast Asia. This is good for Sea. Meanwhile, the company's game "Free Fire India" re-entered the Indian market on September 5 after being banned for a year and a half.

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Sell TOP T/O:

$AAPL 20231020 195.0 PUT$ $AAPL 20230929 190.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol:：

$INVZ 20231117 2.0 CALL$ $PANW 20231215 180.0 PUT$

Other tech stocks:

$NIO 20231006 9.0 CALL$ $AI 20231013 24.0 PUT$ $LI 20231215 30.0 PUT$

$Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ Citigroup raised its price target on PANW shares to $285

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.