To The Moon

With less than four days to go before the government shutdown, upbeat economic data has pushed U.S. bond rates back up, a sharp rise in oil prices has weighed on the broader market, tech giants like Apple are teetering, and Meta shares are lower after the launch of its Quest 3 headset.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose about 6 basis points to its highest level since 2007. On the data front, U.S. Commerce Department data showed on Wednesday that orders for durable goods rose 0.2 percent in August, well above market expectations of -0.5 percent, buoyed by a rebound in factory equipment orders, underscoring the strength of business investment despite policy rates remaining elevated.

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said in an interview on Wednesday that it was unclear whether the Fed would end its interest rate hikes even if there was ample evidence of continued strength in the economy, and that the Fed was expected to hold rates steady next year and could raise rates once more before the end of this year.

The US Senate has introduced a "bipartisan bill" to fund the government through November 17, 2023, in what could be the last chance to avoid a government shutdown, while the House of Representatives seeks to introduce another bill backed only by the Republican bloc. U.S. President Joe Biden is calling on Republicans in the House of Representatives to approve a government funding plan.

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Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Buy TOP T/O:

$NVDA 20230929 460.0 PUT$ $AAPL 20230929 185.0 PUT$

Buy TOP Vol:

$CHPT 20230929 5.5 CALL$ $XP 20231020 20.0 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Sell TOP T/O:

$AAPL 20231020 195.0 PUT$ $MSFT 20231020 345.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol:

$TAL 20231020 9.5 CALL$ $PM 20231215 82.5 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.