S&P500 Weekly Look - Not bearish until 420 (or MA50) gives way!


Price action

- 2 consecutive weeks of hammer candle and support off 421

- At confluence with uptrend channel too

- MA50 on weekly chart has been a guiding one ===> It is confluence at support of 421 to 417 too


Macro View

On a macro view perspective, quite simple, once price action goes below MA50 which would be about SPY 420 or 417, I would lean bearish. 


Just like how Friday action has shown, market makers like to do what it likes to do, which is bull and bear traps and past week was a bear trap. 


Good luck, all!

S&P500 Weekly Analysis - 7 Oct 2023

@LMSunshine  @macroB  @melson  @CaptainTiger  @Deposit  @TigerStars  

# More dip after SPX falls below 4300?

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Comment40

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  • LeilaLynch
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    I believe it's apt to consider whether we could have a firm rally in Q4 this year or if we should anticipate further downside toward lower valuation levels before bottoming out.

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    • Asphen
      it is all in the levels. there are squeeze candles that are possible coming days.
      2023-10-07
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  • BorisBack
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    I am inclined to think a bear market is on the way but a relief rally can be a powerful thing.I may combine inverse etfs with longs

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    • Asphen
      am with you on that too.
      2023-10-07
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  • CatherineGunter
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    I urge investors not to read too much into Cook's intentions (as we will never know), but focus on AAPL's price action.

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    • Asphen
      exactly. price action is key. what we read are just analyst views which are not connected.
      2023-10-07
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  • Lionel8383
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    On Tuesday, the old Einstein trader appeared on the news as the Dow plunged 430 points
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    • AsphenReplying toLionel8383
      haha..  yup. most ppl do not know market is 6 to 9 months ahead of news.
      2023-10-07
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    • Lionel8383Replying toAsphen
      Yes just take the news as entertainment
      2023-10-07
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    • Asphen
      haha... Good one. as one Ytuber influencer always say... if u see sad and shock faces... near term bottom is happening ...haha
      2023-10-07
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  • melson
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    market makers like to do what it likes to do, indeed
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    • Asphen
      yup. such job numbers n they rally big green candle.  😀
      2023-10-07
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  • Lionel8383
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    Will you exit your profitable positions?
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    • Asphen
      and also cut loss on my long term losing positions from 2022
      2023-10-07
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    • Asphen
      yes. I will liquidate my long positions once it gets rejected at MA20 on daily Chart.
      2023-10-07
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-10-07
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    Thanks buddy for the update🥰
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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  • macroB
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    WILD night! 😶‍🌫️
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    • AsphenReplying tomacroB
      you welcome!
      2023-10-07
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    • macroBReplying toAsphen
      yes! 2 important levels to watch. thank you for sharing your views.
      2023-10-07
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    • AsphenReplying tomacroB
      haha..  yes. looks like a big bull trap forming next. I suspect it will go further up to daily Chart MA20 or even test MA50.
      2023-10-07
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  • CyrilDavy
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    The steep pullback in the S&P 500 from its July 2023 highs represents another opportunity for investors who missed buying its late 2022 or early 2023 lows.

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  • MyrnaNorth
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    While the risk of further downside volatility cannot be ruled out, its price action and valuation are still reasonable

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  • BadgeLeh
    ·2023-10-08
    Thanks for the sharing, Bro Asphen. My position in deep green thanks to your post 👍
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    • AsphenReplying toBadgeLeh
      in theory....but just look at the chart from 24 Feb 2022 and you will have your answer. 😀
      2023-10-10
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    • BadgeLehReplying toAsphen
      I'm thinking to short though in view of the latest war.. oil n gold prices are rising. That's bad for the market, correct?
      2023-10-10
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    • AsphenReplying toBadgeLeh
      that's nice! watch for pullbacks usually after a big green candle.
      2023-10-09
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  • Star Piece
    ·2023-10-08
    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-09
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  • Aqa
    ·2023-10-07
    Thanks gir sharing. Liked and shared. 👍🏻
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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  • KSR
    ·2023-10-08
    👍
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  • Tom Chow
    ·2023-10-08
    good
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  • YueShan
    ·2023-10-07
    Good ⭐⭐⭐
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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