S&P500 Weekly Look - Not bearish until 420 (or MA50) gives way!


Price action

- 2 consecutive weeks of hammer candle and support off 421

- At confluence with uptrend channel too

- MA50 on weekly chart has been a guiding one ===> It is confluence at support of 421 to 417 too


Macro View

On a macro view perspective, quite simple, once price action goes below MA50 which would be about SPY 420 or 417, I would lean bearish. 


Just like how Friday action has shown, market makers like to do what it likes to do, which is bull and bear traps and past week was a bear trap. 


Good luck, all!

S&P500 Weekly Analysis - 7 Oct 2023

@LMSunshine  @macroB  @melson  @CaptainTiger  @Deposit  @TigerStars  

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • LeilaLynch
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    I believe it's apt to consider whether we could have a firm rally in Q4 this year or if we should anticipate further downside toward lower valuation levels before bottoming out.

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    • Asphen
      it is all in the levels. there are squeeze candles that are possible coming days.
      2023-10-07
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  • BorisBack
    ·2023-10-07
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    I am inclined to think a bear market is on the way but a relief rally can be a powerful thing.I may combine inverse etfs with longs

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    • Asphen
      am with you on that too.
      2023-10-07
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  • CatherineGunter
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    I urge investors not to read too much into Cook's intentions (as we will never know), but focus on AAPL's price action.

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    • Asphen
      exactly. price action is key. what we read are just analyst views which are not connected.
      2023-10-07
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  • Lionel8383
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    On Tuesday, the old Einstein trader appeared on the news as the Dow plunged 430 points
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    • AsphenReplying toLionel8383
      haha..  yup. most ppl do not know market is 6 to 9 months ahead of news.
      2023-10-07
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    • Lionel8383Replying toAsphen
      Yes just take the news as entertainment
      2023-10-07
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    • Asphen
      haha... Good one. as one Ytuber influencer always say... if u see sad and shock faces... near term bottom is happening ...haha
      2023-10-07
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  • melson
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    market makers like to do what it likes to do, indeed
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    • Asphen
      yup. such job numbers n they rally big green candle.  😀
      2023-10-07
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  • Lionel8383
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    Will you exit your profitable positions?
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    • Asphen
      and also cut loss on my long term losing positions from 2022
      2023-10-07
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    • Asphen
      yes. I will liquidate my long positions once it gets rejected at MA20 on daily Chart.
      2023-10-07
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  • LMSunshine
    ·2023-10-07
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    Thanks buddy for the update🥰
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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  • macroB
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP
    WILD night! 😶‍🌫️
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    • AsphenReplying tomacroB
      you welcome!
      2023-10-07
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    • macroBReplying toAsphen
      yes! 2 important levels to watch. thank you for sharing your views.
      2023-10-07
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    • AsphenReplying tomacroB
      haha..  yes. looks like a big bull trap forming next. I suspect it will go further up to daily Chart MA20 or even test MA50.
      2023-10-07
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  • CyrilDavy
    ·2023-10-07
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    The steep pullback in the S&P 500 from its July 2023 highs represents another opportunity for investors who missed buying its late 2022 or early 2023 lows.

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  • MyrnaNorth
    ·2023-10-07
    TOP

    While the risk of further downside volatility cannot be ruled out, its price action and valuation are still reasonable

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  • BadgeLeh
    ·2023-10-08
    Thanks for the sharing, Bro Asphen. My position in deep green thanks to your post 👍
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    • AsphenReplying toBadgeLeh
      in theory....but just look at the chart from 24 Feb 2022 and you will have your answer. 😀
      2023-10-10
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    • BadgeLehReplying toAsphen
      I'm thinking to short though in view of the latest war.. oil n gold prices are rising. That's bad for the market, correct?
      2023-10-10
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    • AsphenReplying toBadgeLeh
      that's nice! watch for pullbacks usually after a big green candle.
      2023-10-09
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  • Star Piece
    ·2023-10-08
    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-09
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  • Aqa
    ·2023-10-07
    Thanks gir sharing. Liked and shared. 👍🏻
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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  • KSR
    ·2023-10-08
    👍
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  • Tom Chow
    ·2023-10-08
    good
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  • YueShan
    ·2023-10-07
    Good ⭐⭐⭐
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    • Asphen
      thank you
      2023-10-07
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