To The Moon

🌟🌟🌟This week Ratings Agency Moody cut its outlook on China's credit rating to negative from stable saying that the country faces an economic slowdown.  However other global ratings agencies Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings made no changes.  Fitch affirmed China's A+ rating with a stable outlook in August while S&P Global said on Wednesday December 6 that it has retained China's A+ rating with a stable outlook.

Chinese EV stocks fell after the news of Moody's rating.  However according to Reuters, foreign capital recorded a net inflow via the northbound trading link on Wednesday December 8 2023.  

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$  

fell 1.4% on Friday. However Nio's share price bounced  up 4% on Tuesday after reporting narrower than expected losses in its Q3 2023 earnings report.  Investors are focusing on Nio's ability to be more disciplined in its expenses  as it charts its path to profitability.   

This year, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   started a price war which has put other EV makers under pressure to  cut prices as well to stay competitive.   Tesla has just reported that its Model Y is sold out in China this week.  Tesla also plans to restart the 3rd phase of Giga Shanghai focusing on the production of the USD 25,000 model it will launch in the future.  This will be the key to Tesla's goal of reaching 20 million annual sales by 2030 according to a report in local media outlet Late Post on December 6 2023.

In Q3 2023 Nio reported RMB 19.1 billion or USD 2.7 billion versus RMB 19.4 billion.  Loss per share was RMB 2.67 versus RMB 2.91 expected.  This is smaller than the RMB 3.7 loss recorded in 2Q 2023. 

Nio's CEO William Li has reemphasized Nio focus on being more efficient.  Nio has also cut 10% of its workforce in October. 

Nio is currently down 23% year todate and has lost 41% in its share price in the past year.  However Wall Street Analysts are bullish on Nio with a Buy rating, Target price of USD 12.30, a huge upside potential of 64%.

The latest good news on Nio is that Nio has gained car manufacturing qualification and will be able to produce cars under its own name.  Nio is re filing all its models on sale, changing the name of the manufacturer from its  manufacturing partner Anhui Jianghuai Automobile Group (JAC) to Nio. 

Nio has also filed to a Lithium Iron Phosphate or LFP battery option to its vehicles which could bring down costs further. 

$XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$  

Share price fell 5% on Friday but is up 48% year todate.   XPeng has launched the P7i model in China in March and on November 6 has rolled out 2 lower priced versions of the model with LFP battery packs.  XPeng has delivered a record 20,041 vehicles in November and its  year todate deliveries has reached 121,486 units, up 11% year on year. 

XPeng has also signed an agreement with Volkswagen to develop 2 models in July 2023. Volkswagen is investing USD 700 million in XPeng which equates to 5% stake in XPeng. 

Analysts are bullish on XPeng with a Buy rating, Target price of USD 17.61, an upside potential of 16%.

$Li Auto(LI)$  

Share price fell 1.7% on Friday but is up 66% year todate. Li Auto has delivered a record of 41,030 vehicles in November and met its full year target ahead of schedule.  Li Auto's cumulative deliveries for the year to end November 2023 were 325,677 vehicles, achieving its target of 300,000 units ahead of schedule. 

In the latest news on Li Auto, it plans to start tapping overseas markets in 2024 with the first stop to be Middle East.  The first model to be sold in the Middle East would be Li L9 and the first countries in Middle East would be UAE and Saudi Arabia. 

Li Auto has been profitable for 4 consecutive quarters due to its record deliveries.   It maintained its momentum in 3Q 2023 reporting RMB 2.81 billion or USD 385.5 million. 

Wall Street Analysts are bullish on Li Auto with a Buy rating, Target price of USD 51.74, an upside potential of 48%.

Of the 3 Chinese EV companies, Li Auto is the only profitable one but Nio and XPeng are also showing good signs of future profitability.  

China is the world's largest EV market.  Chinese New Energy Vehicle (NEV) sales reached a record high in November 2023 with 841,000 units, surpassing the 800,000 unit mark for the first time.  This is up a massive 40% from the previous year and up 9% from October.  

So it's Bargain Hunting Time for Chinese EV stocks as they have exponential growth ahead!

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