In a word, this week's earnings preview

Based on support levels, ATM option prices for the week expiring and impact orders, I briefly share my views on this week's key earnings reports. The FOMC does not have to think too much, it will certainly not cut interest rates, and it may even skew eagle, the focus is still on the impact of financial reports.

Wednesday.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ : The market is forecasting a move of about 2.5% with support at 360, so the stock will either continue to go up or pull back 360. At present, the probability of the latter is not large, but the upward opening will not be higher than 5%. A conservative strategy would give you a sell of $MSFT 20240419 350.0 PUT$ . Aggressive strategies can sell at-the-money puts. $MSFT 20240209 400.0 PUT$

I made a call $MSFT 20240621 495.0 CALL$ two weeks ago from Microsoft, so I won't do other operations for the time being.

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ : Earnings are also expected to fluctuate little, about 2%, support 140. The Doomsday option is biased to call 157, but I still recommend a conservative sell of $GOOGL 20240419 135.0 PUT$

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ : One of the most angry US stock reports, the rise and fall of the financial report is not very important, the fall can also rise back, the rise can also fall back, the most convenient suggestion is to pay attention to $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ options on Tuesday night, there is a big put order is bearish, there is a call large order is bullish. Judging from the current information, the market is not confident enough to open high after the announcement of financial results. Volatility is also expected to be low, 4.5%, because of January's 19% gain. Pullback support 150, so there's a lot of sell put in there.

$Boeing(BA)$ : Support at 188, pressure at 217 above. If Nvidia is "what surprises do you have that I don't know about", then Boeing is "what surprises do you have that I don't know about". When the accident happened on January 8, the DSLR should have been a call to sell 220, which proved that the security problem was not easy to solve in the short term. I suggest we wait for the financial report to consider.

$Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ : At the same price, you can choose to sell NVO put options, and diet drugs are still needed in the next year. The stock breaks the 105 resistance level to sell put $NVO 20240202 105.0 PUT$

Thursday.

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ : support level 138, earnings volatility is expected to 3%, there is a big single bet earnings volatility of more than 3% to buy $QCOM 20240202 150.0 CALL$bullish. I think it is simple to look at the $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ options transaction on Wednesday night, put the big single bearish, call the big single bullish.

Friday.

$Apple(AAPL)$ : Implied volatility is extremely low, with an expected move of 1.5% and almost no earnings premium. In fact, monopoly companies can trade normally, considering that 181 support level should not fall to this week, do a $AAPL 20240202 185.0 PUT$ sell put.

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ : Expected to move 3%, 0DTE ATM calls are active $AMZN 20240202 160.0 CALL$ , I choose to sell ATM puts $AMZN 20240202 160.0 PUT$$with large orders

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ : We need to watch doomsday options change for two more days, why? Last week, some institutions bought snap's put single $SNAP 20260116 15.0 PUT$ , which can be interpreted as snap's financial report is not good, and it can also be interpreted as a share price decline affected by peers, who will this peer be? However, META has fallen, there must be many people willing to take over, and this is not what it used to be, after tiktok was sanctioned, META belongs to the global monopoly level social platform.

# Options Hub

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment4

  • Top
  • Latest
  • Cookester
    ·01-31

    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?

    Reply
    Report
  • Boazie
    ·01-30
    Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
    Reply
    Report
  • River0
    ·01-30
    Agreed, interesting analysis.
    Reply
    Report
  • [Strong][Strong][Strong][Strong][Strong][Strong]
    Reply
    Report