Ibotta: Walmart's Golden Goose or lose gamble?

On Thu, 18 Apr 2024, IPO shares of digital marketing firm Ibotta soared +33% on their debut on the NYSE.

This gave the $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ -backed company a market valuation of $3.55 billion.

$Ibotta Inc.(IBTA)$ sold 6.6 million shares at $88 apiece, raising $577.3 million.

Earlier its estimated price range was $76-$84 apiece.

In 2024, it looks like Tech offerings are leading the charge as the US IPO market rebounds, after a sluggish two years, fueled by hopes of a soft landing in the economy.

Ibotta's stellar listing follows recent successful debuts by:

Background.

  • Is an American mobile technology company, founded in 2011.

  • It offers cash back rewards on various purchases through its proprietory network, consumer properties, including mobile app, website, and browser extension and in-person shopping.

  • It operates solely in the US, offering rewards on categories such as groceries, online shopping, general merchandise, and more…

  • Its Rewards-as-a-service (Raas) offering went live in 2021.

  • In August 2019, Ibotta received a $1 billion valuation after its Series D funding.

  • In 2023, the company surpassed $1.5 billion cash rewards paid to over 50 million consumers since the company's founding.

Post IPO.

In an interview with Reuters, Ibotta CEO Bryan Leach said:

  • Proceeds from its Initial Public Offer (IPO) will be used to enhance its existing service platform, infusing it with AI technology to bring about a more sophisticated way to promote its products in the digital world.

  • At the same time provide advertisers a richer set of capabilities, reaching to larger audiences.

  • Leach will hold about 69.7% of the total voting power in the company post-IPO.

Financials.

  • Walmart owns about 8.3% stake (approx. 2.7 million shares) in Ibotta, and did not sell in the offering.

  • Ibotta generated net profit of $38 million vs -$55 million loss in 2022.

For Q1 2024,

  • Net profit is expected to be between $7.30 to -$9.30 million vs -$4.30 million loss YoY.

  • Revenue is expected to be between $80.80 to -$82.30 million, a +40% YoY gain.

Stock Performance.

  • 2 days into listing, the stock price had its fair share of ups & downs.

  • It bottomed on Fri, 19 Apr 2024 at $96.20 per share.

  • It peaked on Thu, 23 Apr 2024 at $109.90 per share.

  • It had a 2nd peak just last Fri, 26 Apr 2024 at $108.17 per share.

  • Closing off May Day at $99.5 per share, it is still spotting a +13.07% gain over its $88 IPO price.

My viewpoints: (mine & mine only)

  • I like to learn about new stocks debuting on US exchanges.

  • They may one-day grow to become the giant company of today.

  • Like any newly listed company, Ibotta will speculated by punters out to make a quick buck.

  • At face value, this company’s profile remains firmly rooted in the US.

  • With implication that its growth potential centres firmly in the US as well.

  • Making its potential as a global player rather limiting (as of now).

I may keep it under purview, but it is volatile for my liking at the moment.

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  • Do you think you will be interested in a Reward as a Service type of company?

  • Do you think it is a “sure-win” given Walmart’s support of Ibotta?

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# 💰 Stocks to watch today?(19 Dec)

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    ·05-04
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      05-05
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  • AGIS FAUZI
    ·05-02
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    • JC888
      Hi, tks for reading my post....
      05-05
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  • JC888
    ·05-02
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  • blinky
    ·05-02
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      Hi, tks for reading my post....
      05-08
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  • Nggimseng
    ·05-03
    Nice
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  • Tom Chow
    ·05-03
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      Hi, tks for reading my post
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