AI and Semiconductor 💻📱☁️ Trend

AI stock performance varied in Q1 earnings. Several AI-related stocks experienced significant declines in their share prices after releasing earnings reports. Some notable examples include ASML, TSM, and SMCI.

Some investors interpret these declines as a potential indication that the AI sector may have reached its peak. However, others maintain a long-term bullish outlook on AI, viewing the recent downturn as a temporary pullback.


NVIDIA

Nvidia makes graphics-processing units, or GPUs, which play a crucial role in AI. The company's shares have tripled over the past year, giving it a market capitalization of $2.27 trillion. Nvidia shares took a hit earlier this week when the billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller said that he'd slashed his big bet in the chipmaker earlier this year. He said the swift AI boom could be overdone in the short run.

NVDA daily chart

By looking at NVIDIA chart, it is still among the most bullish AI stocks. Last Friday, the share price breaks beyond the Orange coloured downtrend line. This week, the share price slightly consolidated but stood well above its EMA10 trend line. All these indicate that the stock price is still very bullish and I strongly believe $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  will soon be engaged into another round of rallies, therefore a bullish vote for NVIDIA.


AMD

Chip giant AMD reported its first quarter earnings early May, beating analysts' expectations on the top and bottom lines, but lighter-than-anticipated guidance for the current quarter sent the stock lower.

CEO Lisa Su told analysts that the company now sees full-year data center GPU revenue exceeding 4 billion USD, ahead of its prior forecast of 3.5 billion USD, but significantly below some analysts' estimates.

AMD daily chart

As compared to NVIDIA, AMD has a much worse chart. We can observe a clear downtrend line in Orange. An interesting thing that we could notice here is, the share price is currently very very close to EMA200 trend line, in which AMD rebounds strongly after touching it, for at least 2 times as highlighted in the Figure above. I believe history will just keep repeat and we should expect a rebound in $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   next week.


PLTR

Early this week, Palantir reported stronger-than-expected revenue and EPS in line with analyst estimates, but issued weaker-than-expected full-year guidance.

As a result, Palantir fell 15%, their worst day since May 2022. Market worried about slowing momentum at Palantir, as revenue growth from U.S. government contracts has shown signs of cooling. 

PLTR daily chart

Technically, PLTR is another stock that reaches its triple bottom support, as highlighted in Orange circles. Each time the share price hits this level at around 20.30 USD, PLTR will rebound for over 20%. I believe history will usually repeat and I expect $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$   to rebound strongly pretty soon.


INTEL

The U.S. government has withdrawn select export licenses from Intel and Qualcomm, effectively preventing them from supplying processors to Huawei. As a result of the Huawei export license revocation, Intel now expects its second quarter revenue to fall below the midpoint of its guidance.

Intel daily chart

I remain my bearish view on $Intel(INTC)$  . The share price had a super bearish indicator end of April, when a death cross was formed between EMA50 and EMA200! A downtrend arrow drawn in the chart indicates a high potential movement of Intel stock for incoming weeks. Never underestimate the bearish ness in stock once the stock price stays below EMA200. 


SOXL

SOXL, consistently among the most actively-traded ETFs, seeks three times daily exposure from an index of 30 of the largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, including manufacturers and providers of equipment and services focused on the industry. The fund's index uses market cap-weighting, with the top five securities capped at 8% and the remaining securities at 4%. 

SOXL daily chart

This index trend is not bad actually and worth to be saved in your watchlist. Since the technical rebound in mid April nearby EMA200, the share price begins to turn bullish by forming a higher low. And now, as we zoom in to the Orange highlighted circle, it shows that EMA10 stays extremely close to EMA25 and EMA50 right now. I expect a double golden crosses will happen pretty soon, and send the index $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$  towards a target price around 55 USD.


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# Semiconductor Companies & Industry DIG

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  • TigerAI
    ·2024-05-11
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    ASML Holding NV(ASML)

    商業和工業:ASML控股公司是一家荷蘭公司,專門爲半導體行業開發和生產先進的光刻系統。他們的系統被芯片製造商用來生產集成電路和微芯片。在電子設備需求不斷增長以及人工智能和雲計算等技術進步的推動下,半導體行業預計將在未來繼續增長。

    盈利分析:ASML報告Q1 2024年每股收益爲3.11,淨利潤率爲23.13%。該公司提供了未來的盈利預測,預計2024財年每股收益爲19.14英鎊,2025財年爲29.86英鎊。這些預測顯示了公司盈利的預期增長。

    趨勢分析:ASML的股價一直呈上升趨勢,目前價格爲930.29美元。該股在896.14美元顯示支撐,在942.14美元顯示阻力。該股的平均成本爲932.92美元。最近的資本流動數據顯示正流入659萬美元。

    估值分析:分析師爲ASML提供了目標價估計,平均目標價爲1067.12美元。低目標估計值和高目標估計值分別爲761.18美元和1213.00美元。分析師對該股的建議是積極的,4位分析師建議,5位分析師評級爲買入。

    臺積電(TSM)

    商業和工業:臺積電是一家專門從事半導體制造的臺灣公司。他們爲世界各地的芯片設計者和製造商提供代工服務。在電子設備需求不斷增長以及人工智能和5G等新興技術的推動下,半導體行業預計將在未來增長。

    盈利分析:TSM報告Q1 2024年每股收益爲8.70,淨利潤率爲38.05%。該公司提供了未來的盈利預測,預計2024財年和2025財年的每股收益分別爲6.26和7.86。這些預測表明2024財年的收益略有下降,但2025財年將有所回升。

    趨勢分析:TSM的股價一直呈上升趨勢,目前價格爲149.26美元。該股在130.6美元顯示支撐,在145.3美元顯示阻力。該股的平均成本爲139.58美元。最近的資本流動數據顯示,正流入2.5248億美元。

    估值分析:分析師已經爲TSM提供了目標價估計,平均目標價爲151.97美元。低目標估計值和高目標估計值分別爲113.00美元和183.00美元。分析師對該股的建議是積極的,7位分析師建議,7位分析師評級爲買入。

    超級微型計算機公司

    商業和工業:超級微型計算機公司是一家設計和製造高性能服務器解決方案的美國公司。他們爲企業客戶提供服務器硬件、存儲解決方案和網絡產品。在不斷增長的數據存儲和處理需求的推動下,未來對服務器解決方案的需求預計將會增長。

    盈利分析:SMCI報告2024年第三季度每股收益爲7.13,淨利潤率爲10.45%。該公司提供了未來的盈利預測,預計2024財年和2025財年的每股收益分別爲23.60和34.07。這些預測顯示了公司盈利的預期增長。

    趨勢分析:SMCI的股價目前爲798.50美元。該股在693.00美元顯示支撐,在802.00美元顯示阻力。該股的平均成本爲848.53美元。最近的資本流動數據顯示,結果喜憂參半,過去幾天既有流入也有流出。

    估值分析:分析師爲SMCI提供了目標價估計,平均目標價爲1057.47美元。低目標估計值和高目標估計值分別爲285.00美元和1500美元。分析師對該股的建議喜憂參半,3位分析師建議,10位分析師評級爲買入,4位分析師評級爲持有,1位分析師評級爲表現不佳。

    請注意,上述分析基於現有數據,不應被視爲投資建議。在做出任何投資決定之前,進行徹底的研究和分析是很重要的。

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    • TigerAIReplying toShyon

      根據所提供的信息,以下人工智能股票被認爲是最佳選擇:

      英偉達公司(NVDA):英偉達是人工智能領域的領先公司,以其在人工智能中發揮關鍵作用的圖形處理單元(GPU)而聞名。該公司經歷了顯著的增長,其股票在過去一年中增長了兩倍。該股顯示出看漲趨勢,最近突破了下降趨勢線,表明有進一步反彈的潛力。

      ASML控股公司(ASML):ASML是一家荷蘭公司,專門爲半導體行業提供先進的光刻系統。該公司的系統對於芯片製造商生產集成電路和微芯片至關重要,而集成電路和微芯片對人工智能技術至關重要。ASML報告了強勁的收益,並對未來的增長前景持積極態度。

      臺積電(TSM):TSM是一家臺灣公司,爲全球芯片設計師和製造商提供代工服務。在人工智能和新興技術的推動下,半導體需求持續增長,TSM處於有利地位,可以從這一趨勢中受益。該股顯示出看漲趨勢,並報告了穩定的收益。

      需要注意的是,投資股票有風險,在做出任何投資決定之前進行徹底的研究和分析至關重要。股票的表現會受到各種因素的影響,包括市場條件和公司特定的因素。建議諮詢財務顧問或做進一步的研究,以做出明智的投資決定。

      2024-05-11
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    • Shyon
      如果首選,哪些AI股票?
      2024-05-11
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  • GoodLife99
    ·2024-05-12
    very good sharing, great efforts!!
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  • icycrystal
    ·2024-05-13
    thanks for sharing
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  • Sonsonkok
    ·2024-05-12

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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  • Misterio6
    ·2024-05-12

    Great article, would you like to share it?

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    • Shyon
      Thanks Misterio for your like and support
      2024-05-12
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