⚠️ SUMMARY OF US APRIL CPI REPORT

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SUMMARY OF US APRIL CPI REPORT:

  • Much to the satisfaction of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, CPI comes in cooler than expected.

  • US CPI rose 0.3% on the month, below estimates for a gain of 0.4%.

  • Headline CPI inflation increased 3.4% Y/Y, matching expectations and slowing from 3.5% in March.

  • U.S. core CPI rose 0.3% M/M, meeting estimates.

  • Headline core CPI was up 3.6% Y/Y, decelerating from an increase of 3.8% in March. That is the lowest since April 2021.

Instant Reaction:

Key Takeaway:

  • The April CPI Inflation report could give the Fed the confidence to begin laying out the carpet for rate cuts in the months ahead.

  • It’s going to take a minimum of three or four soft inflation prints before I think they’re ready to cut rates, but this would be a start.

  • Taking that into consideration, the Fed is stuck in that holding pattern as they await more data and try to figure out what to do next.

# .DJI Hits New High! Go Higher or Pullback Next?

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  • MIe
    ·05-16
    Deflation trend good for rate cuts this year and market upside
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