π’ Hi Tigers, Time to Roar! Vote on the May CPI Impact π―
π Attention Tigers!
The moment of truth is almost here with the upcoming May CPI release on 8:30 pm, 12 June.
JPMorgan has given us a game plan for the US stock market. It's time to cast your vote on the market's reaction to the CPI data.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let's find out together!"
The Scenarios:
A. Below 0.2% CPI Increase: π "A 2.5% chance of a significant market gain between 1.75% to 2.50%."
B. 0.20% to 0.25% CPI Increase: π "A 12.5% chance of a moderate gain between 1.25% to 1.75%."
C. 0.25% to 0.3% CPI Increase: π "A 25% chance of a slight gain between 0.75% to 1.25%."
D. 0.3% to 0.35% CPI Increase: π "A 40% chance of a minimal move, either down 0.75% or up to a 0.75% gain."
E. 0.35% to 0.4% CPI Increase: π "A 15% chance of a decline between 1% to 1.25%."
F. Above 0.4% CPI Increase: π "A 5% chance of a substantial drop between 1.5% to 2.5%."
Voting and Discussion:
π³οΈ Cast your vote below for the scenario you think is most likely. Share your insights and predictions in the comments. How do you think the CPI data will affect the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ?
π€ Join the discussion on the accuracy of JPMorgan's predictions and how they align with your own market analysis. What indicators are you watching most closely?
πΌ How are you planning to adjust your portfolio in response to the CPI data? Share your strategies and let's help each other navigate the potential market movements.
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CPI inflation was flat month-over-month and both CPI and core CPI were BELOW expectations
CPI MoM: 0.0% vs. 0.1% est. (0.3% prior)
Core CPI MoM: 0.2% vs. 0.3% est. (0.3% prior)
I choose A: A. Below 0.2% CPI Increase: π "A 2.5% chance of a significant market gain between 1.75% to 2.50%."