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๐๐ Silver & Gold Setups โ Spotlight on FSMโs 100% Upside ๐๐
Kia ora Tiger traders!
The marketโs post-election playbook is unfolding, and Gold ($GLD) and Silver ($SLV) are starting to light up with familiar post-election setups. Fortuna Silver Mines ($FSM) has joined the spotlight with a chart pattern suggesting 100% upside potential! Hereโs the deep dive into whatโs looking like an epic setup.
๐ช Gold ($GLD): Reversal Setup in Play?
The GLD chart is following a classic post-election path: a short-term dip, which often signals an entry point as inflation worries start simmering. GLDโs channel breakdown positions it right near support, aligning with the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern โ a bullish indicator for the weeks ahead.
โข Current Price: $240.05
โข 50-Day Moving Average: $241.81 โ This is a key trigger for a bullish reversal.
โข Support Level: $235 โ Buyers may pile in here.
โข Resistance Target: $255 โ Breaking this could signal further upside.
๐ Pattern Insight: GLD is teetering at its pivot zone. If the inverse head-and-shoulders completes, weโre looking at a potential swing opportunity to capture some gains.
๐ข Buy: 5 analysts ๐ก Hold: 3 analysts ๐ด Sell: 2 analysts
๐ฅ Silver ($SLV) & AGQ: Ready to Rally?
SLV is moving within a rising wedge near support at $28, while AGQ, the leveraged silver play, has established a parabolic curve thatโs primed for an aggressive breakout. The structure of these charts hints at powerful upside if silver continues its upward momentum.
โข SLV Price: $28.07
โข Support: $27.50
โข Resistance: $30.00 โ A breakout here could ignite a major rally.
โข AGQ Price: $38.78
โข Support: $37.50
โข Resistance: $44.00 โ This level is pivotal for confirming the bullish path.
๐ Pattern Insight: SLVโs ascending triangle and AGQโs parabolic formation suggest the possibility of fast gains if silver pushes past resistance.
๐ Fortuna Silver Mines (FSM): 100% Upside in Sight
FSM is showing a rounded bottom pattern, pointing to potential accumulation and a move toward $10. This is a textbook setup that screams โupside,โ especially if silverโs resurgence takes hold. The FSM chart aligns with historical moves that often signal breakout potential in mining stocks when silver starts gaining traction.
โข Current Price: $5.15
โข Upside Target: $10.00 โ Doubling potential if the pattern completes.
๐ Pattern Insight: FSMโs rounded bottom is a classic sign of an uptrend in the making, with possible institutional backing. If this level breaks, we could be in for a sharp move to the upside.
๐ Broader Market Context โ Metals Moving Up
Historically, precious metals, especially gold and silver, have rallied after U.S. elections. Following the 2016 elections, these metals saw 15% gains, a trend that could repeat if economic conditions favor inflation hedges. With silverโs dual role as both an industrial and precious metal, and the global push for renewable energy, fundamentals support this technical setup.
๐ข๏ธ Crude Oil & Copper: Weak but Watching
Crude oil and copper remain weak, a seasonal pattern in post-election cycles. Crudeโs trading at multi-month lows, showing limited buying interest, while copper demand is steady but uninspiring. This underperformance could bolster the appeal for silver as both a safe-haven and industrial asset.
OPEC lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 due to weaker demand revisions in China and other Asian markets.
This marks the fourth consecutive month of downward revisions by OPEC, reflecting concerns about a slowdown in China's economic growth.
OPEC's reduced demand forecast may impact its production cut decisions and lead to a weaker oil market outlook.
For a fourth consecutive month, OPEC slashed on Tuesday its estimate of global oil demand growth for both this year and next, citing downward revisions in China and other Asian markets after seeing actual consumption data year to date.
OPEC now expects global oil demand to grow by 1.82 million barrels per day (bpd) this year, down by 107,000 bpd from last monthโs assessment, the cartel said in its closely-watched Monthly Oil Market Report.
Total world oil demand is anticipated to reach 104.0 million bpd in 2024, bolstered by strong transportation fuel demand and ongoing healthy economic growth, particularly in a number of non-OECD countries, said OPEC.
However, the organization made today its fourth downward adjustment of demand growth estimates for the world and China for the fourth consecutive month.
OPECโs latest downward revision of demand forecasts follows its decision from earlier this month to delay the beginning of the reversal of the production cuts to January 2025 from December 2024.
The downward revision of global demand growth forecasts reflected yet another reduction in OPECโs expectations of Chinese oil demand growth.
OPEC cut Chinaโs demand growth forecast to 450,000 bpd this year, down from 580,000 bpd growth expected last month. The assessment of Chinese oil demand growth in 2025 was also cut by around 100,000 bpd and OPEC now sees Chinese demand growing by just 310,000 bpd in 2025, down from a previous projection of 410,000 bpd growth.
The cartel also lowered by 103,000 bpd its projection of global oil demand growth for 2025 and now expects it at 1.54 million bpd year-over-year, down from 1.64 million bpd growth projected in the October report.
๐ค Fun Fact
Silver is essential for solar panel production, making it more than just a precious metal. With demand for renewable energy increasing, silverโs industrial value only adds to its allure in the current market environment.
Hey Tiger Traders, are you ready to take advantage of these setups? Are you as bullish on FSMโs upside as I am?
TigerGPT: What indicators would you suggest to confirm breakout potential in FSM and AGQ? How would you structure a risk-balanced entry in a mining stock like FSM?
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC ๐๐๐
@Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @TigerObserver @TigerPM @TigerPicks @TigerStars @TigerGPT
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Fortuna Silver Mines (FSM) and AGQ Analysis
Fortuna Silver Mines operates as a silver and gold mining company. The mining industry is expected to grow in the future due to increasing demand for precious metals and the expanding global economy.
Here are the key details for FSM:
Current Stock Price: $4.59 USD
Support Level: $4.50 USD
Resistance Level: $4.85 USD
Average Cost: $4.77 USD
Earnings Forecast for FSM:
2024FY Earnings Forecast: Earnings per share (EPS) of $0.55 USD, forecast gross income of $1.04 billion USD, and forecasting EBIT of $235.50 million USD.
2025FY Earnings Forecast: EPS of $0.65 USD, forecast gross income of $906.44 million USD, and forecasting EBIT of $242.00 million USD.
2026FY Earnings Forecast: EPS of $0.45 USD, forecast gross income of $649.55 million USD, and forecasting EBIT of $81.00 million USD.
Capital Flow Data for FSM:
In the past 5 days, there has been a mix of both inflows and outflows, with the most recent day showing outflows of -1942.53 thousand units.
Analyst Recommendation for FSM:
1 "buy" recommendation and 4 "hold" recommendations.
Now, moving on to AGQ:
Current Stock Price: $38.78 USD
Support Level: $37.06 USD
Resistance Level: $43.36 USD
Average Cost: $41.04 USD
Capital Flow Data for AGQ:
In the past 5 days, there has been a mix of inflows and outflows, with the most recent day showing outflows of -827.14 thousand units.
Analyst Recommendation for AGQ: No specific recommendation information is available.
It's important to note that fluctuations in stock prices are common, and there are inherent risks in the stock market. Therefore, it is crucial for investors to think independently and consider their own risk tolerance and investment objectives before making any investment decisions.
Please note that the above analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Great article, would you like to share it?
Great article, would you like to share it?