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$Par Pacific(PARR)$ $Occidental(OXY)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2507(CLmain)$ $RTX Corp(RTX)$ 🛢️📈🅱️ U͛ L͛ L͛ I͛ S͛ H͛🔺🛢️

💥🛢️🚀 Geopolitical Firestorm: $PARR, $OXY, and $RTX Ignite as Global Power Pivots on the Strait of Hormuz 🚀🛢️💥

🌏🌎🌎 The world is holding its breath as Tehran and Tel Aviv escalate a conflict that’s no longer a regional squabble but a fulcrum for global markets. I’m watching capital shift in real time, away from speculative growth and into the tangible, wartime pillars of energy and defence. This isn’t a transient shock, it’s the genesis of a structural reordering, driven by geopolitical brinkmanship, AI-enhanced militarisation, and the fragility of supply chains threading through the Strait of Hormuz. Oil futures are coiled to surge when trading resumes on Monday in 🇺🇸 USA (Tuesday, 17 June 2025 🇳🇿NZST) following Israeli airstrikes on Iran’s South Pars Gas Field and missile sites. Iran’s threat to close the Hormuz, a conduit for 20 percent of global oil, looms large, while rerouted flights to Moscow hint at deeper alliances forming. Below, I dissect $PARR, $OXY, and $RTX, three stocks already pulsing with breakout potential, blending technical precision, macro forces, and fresh catalysts into a roadmap for what’s next.

🛢️ $PARR: Refining the Edge of Chaos

Current Price: $24.49 (+2.17%, 13Jun25 🇳🇿NZST)

Fundamentals: P/S 0.16, P/B 1.14, Forward EPS $1.173, Market Cap $1.26B

$PARR has surged 84% since April and is consolidating just under $24.76 resistance. Moving averages stack bullishly (MA5 $22.01, MA10 $18.36, MA20 $16.56) with RSI at 60.12, poised but not overbought. Volume confirms accumulation.

Macro Context: A Hormuz closure would spike crude, supercharging refiners like Par Pacific. Its Hawaii exposure insulates it from mainland oversupply. During the 1990 Gulf War, refiners doubled margins, a historical echo. With Fed policy still loose (4.25 percent), energy stocks remain one of the best inflation hedges.

You may have already noticed the strength in oil refiners this quarter, with $CRAK surging on margin expansion. But now the entire energy complex is surging. According to EarningsWhispers, 90 percent of the stocks in the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration ETF ($XOP) are outperforming the $SPY since last earnings, all but one are in the green. This includes $PARR, $CVI, $GPRE, $DK, $OXY and others. That’s not sector noise, that’s a full-blown rotation into energy dominance!

Flow & Sentiment: Hedge funds like Citadel boosted $PARR in Q1. Short float just 3.8%. Analysts (Barclays, 10Jun) target $28 to $32.

🎯 Targets:

Breakout: $24.76

Near-term: $26.31

Mid-term: $30+ on Hormuz escalation

Support: $22.50 (volume base)

🌊 $OXY: Riding the Third Wave of a Multi-Year Cycle

Current Price: $47.12 (+3.45%, 13Jun25 🇳🇿NZST)

Fundamentals: P/E 12.5, EV/EBITDA 5.2, D/E 0.65, Market Cap $42.3B

$OXY is in a textbook Elliott Wave 3 of 3 formation. The previous leg (2020 to 2023) defined wave (1), and the 2023 to 2024 consolidation was wave (2). RSI is 55.12, safely mid-range. Price sits above its 50-day MA at $45.20.

Macro Context: 🇨🇳 China’s May PMI at 51.2 signals firm demand. Iran risks plus OPEC+ hesitation equals oil scarcity. Buffett’s 28 percent stake in $OXY gives it stability in volatility.

Recent Events: 14Jun OPEC+ confirmed no output increase. Goldman lifted $OXY target to $65, Morgan Stanley to $90.

Flow: Short float 6.2 percent, options OI up 22 percent week over week at $50 strike. Vanguard increased stake in Q2.

🎯Targets:

Gap fill: $49

Mid-term: $60

Long-term: $94.75 and $161.25 (Fibonacci)

💣 $RTX: Defence Rewired for a New Era

Current Price: $147.00 (ATH, +21.98% YTD, 13Jun25 🇳🇿NZST)

Fundamentals: P/E 22.3, Dividend Yield 1.93 percent, FCF Yield 4.5%, Market Cap $195.4B

$RTX is cleanly breaking out, riding missile defence demand and dividend appeal. RSI is 58.23, well supported above its 50-day MA of $142.15. Call OI surging at $150 and $160.

Macro Context: With the US defence budget topping $900B, $RTX is in prime position. Real yields at 1.2 percent make its yield attractive.

Events: 13Jun strikes on Iranian missile facilities spotlight $RTX’s Patriot and AMRAAM systems. Congressmen Westerman (Mar and Apr) and Gottheimer (Apr) bought $RTX pre-crisis, insider foresight is obvious.

🚨🇺🇸 As of 15Jun25, U.S. military bases have been placed on high alert nationwide. According to Northern Command, the order was issued not on the basis of a specific threat, but due to escalating global instability stemming from the Israel-Iran conflict. Visitors to installations are facing enhanced screening and heightened security protocols. The Pentagon’s posture is shifting from reactive to preemptive, and defence stocks like $RTX are trading accordingly.

Flow & Sentiment: JPMorgan upgraded to $165 on 12Jun. Options confirm institutional conviction.

🎯 Targets:

Immediate: $150

Mid-term: $158 to $170

Extended: $185+ if conflict escalates

[Eye] 🤖🧠 AI Meets the Battlefield

14Jun: Meta, OpenAI, and Palantir CTOs were sworn into the US Army Reserve’s Executive Innovation Corps. This isn’t ceremonial, it’s a structural evolution. $PLTR and $AVAV stand to benefit as AI moves from labs to launchpads.

“Iran was days away from having a nuclear bomb. If we don’t act now, we’ll face a much larger war in the future, and Iran will be armed.” ~ IDF Spokesperson

This rhetoric signals that this war isn’t a flash, it’s a longer arc.

📊 Flow & Watchlist

Options + Volume:

$PARR: block trades at $24, short float under 4%

$OXY: bull spreads $50 to $55

$RTX: sweep buys at $150, OI up 34 percent week over week

🚀 Catalysts to Watch:

Hormuz closure decision

Iranian retaliation

Brent-WTI divergence

AI-military integration acceleration

Oil futures open

🧨 Conclusion: Capital’s New Calculus

This weekend is a structural inflection, not a tactical rotation. Oil could breach $100. Defence stocks could re-rate to new growth bands. $PARR, $OXY, and $RTX are not just trades, they are hedges, pivots, and pillars for the next macro era. The charts agree. The flow confirms it. The world is catching up!

Action Steps:

$PARR: Buy on breakout above $24.76

$OXY: Add above $47, target $60 to $94.75

$RTX: Hold or enter above $150

Hedge via $UCO

Track Hormuz, AI-military fusion, defence contract wins

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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