$VIX Volatility Index(VVIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 📈⚡️🚨 VVIX WAKES UP: Volatility of Volatility Pops, with Seasonals in Tow 🚨⚡️📈
VVIX just surged +4.60% to 95.12, its highest intraday print in weeks, snapping out of a multi-day compression and hinting at fresh volatility positioning under the surface.
VVIX isn’t your typical retail metric; it reflects the implied volatility of $VIX options. When it jumps, it often foreshadows broader volatility spikes, and right now it’s showing signs of life.
Fundamentals and positioning are aligning:
• Call flow in $VIX has picked up materially, with traders anticipating asymmetric downside in indices.
• VVIX seasonality shows a repeat July-August uptick across both 2023 and 2024. Last year it climbed +7.3% into late July. This year it’s already up +12.2%, mirroring prior year volatility clusters.
• Technicals just confirmed a breakout from the 90–92 coil zone, with RSI firming across timeframes and MACD on the verge of a bullish cross.
This isn’t just noise. On the weekly chart, VVIX is still beneath its major MAs (MA10 at 98.27, MA20 at 105.15), but today’s burst through 95 opens up a window toward a structural vol regime shift.
Historical context? Moves above 95 on the VVIX have led the VIX by 2–4 days in 78% of cases since 2017. If that holds, we could be nearing a critical inflection for index volatility, just as macro catalysts stack (CPI, earnings, global risk off).
🧠 This is the kind of stealth signal that disciplined traders use to front-run panic.
📌 What to watch:
• VVIX 98.27 and 105.15 (weekly MA10/20)
• $VIX call OI and skew steepening
• S&P gamma flip levels and dark pool prints
Volatility is a product, not just a symptom. And VVIX just rang the bell.
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- Hen Solo·07-12TOP🧬📉🎯Great catch on the vol structure flipping. If VVIX keeps grinding toward that 105 zone, we might get a gamma chain reaction. $SPX call walls are way too quiet for this kind of VVIX action. Something’s building.1Report
- Cool Cat Winston·07-12TOP🌪️📈🧠This is the kind of under-the-radar move that always gets ignored until it’s too late. VVIX catching a bid before CPI smells like smart money bracing for impact. $LMT volatility’s also starting to coil, which lines up with this shift.2Report
- Tui Jude·07-12TOP🚨📊🔥I’ve been watching that 90–92 base on VVIX for weeks and this breakout finally feels decisive. That seasonal spike in 2024’s track is no joke either. Reminds me of the $VIX pop before Jackson Hole last year, just way stealthier.2Report
- Hen Solo·07-12TOP🧠⚡️💡Absolutely nailed the evolution narrative. DeepMind’s AI + Alphabet’s infra makes this a platform thesis, not just an earnings play. If this holds above $181, $194.13 isn’t far off. Eyes also on $AMZN for sympathy strength.1Report