🧘 Tesla: From Panic to Perspective – Where Could the Bottom Be?
It's easy to get shaken when the headlines scream “From Bad to Worse.” But let's step back. $TSLA is down 18% YTD, yes—but context matters.
📉 The Pain Is Real:
Revenue: $22.5B (-12% YoY), but still a $400M beat
Free cash flow: Down due to Model 3/Y retooling and AI infra ramp
Margins: Gross 17%, Op margin 4%—under pressure from price cuts, FX, and tariff noise
But here's what's not priced in fully:
🔮 What Comes Next?
Model Y L launch this fall = potential ASP boost and demand reset
Dojo buildout + AI/robotaxi narrative could return on any autonomy update
Q3 comps will look much easier after this low base
🧠 Technical Outlook:
Strong support near $310–315
If that fails, psychological level at $300 (gap fill from early June)
Resistance now at $338–345, which could be retested on any Fed tailwind or Musk catalyst
📌 My View:
No need to bottom-fish aggressively. But panic selling here may be shortsighted. TSLA is transitioning—again—not collapsing.
I'd accumulate slowly, sell puts around $290–$310, and re-evaluate once the dust settles. With Musk, the narrative can flip very fast.
Stay calm. Stay strategic.
I'm not a financial advisor. Trade wisely, Comrades!
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- moonbop·07-25Stay calm1Report