To The Moon

💡🚀📊 NVDA’s layered momentum: equity and calls working in tandem 📊🚀💡

🙏 Acknowledgements and fuel for the next leg

I really appreciate 1PC’s @1PC congratulations, and a big thank you to Millionaire Tiger @MillionaireTiger for the 100-coin award ❣️, taking my Tiger Coin total to 87,410. I’m long NVDA shares and calls, and I’m putting the reward straight back into disciplined execution.

🧾 My positioning and live P&L context

I’m long NVDA equity with +$5,513.14 unrealised at a current price of 181.81 versus a cost of 176.32. I’m also long the NVDA 170.0 calls expiring 18Sep26, up 17.24 percent at 40.25 versus a 34.33 cost. The dual engine of stock plus LEAPs lets me capture trend while smoothing near-term noise.

📈 Order flow that matters right now

Today’s tape shows institutional intent. A $4.4M buy in $185 calls for 12Sep25 printed, alongside a $3.0M ITM sweep in $190 puts expiring 29Aug25. Across the session, more than $22M of single-leg calls within 90 DTE were sold against $13M+ in puts, which reads as premium harvesting into resistance with protective hedging below. That is classic two-way conviction in a crowded leadership name.

🧭 Technical map and momentum ignition levels

On the 4H chart, NVDA is riding the mid-Keltner with EMA13 and EMA21 compressed under the 184.50 supply shelf. Lower timeframes show a band ping: early slip toward lower Keltner, reclaim into 181.80 to 182.20, then fade. The battlegrounds are clear. Hold 180 and the path opens to 184.50 then 187. Lose 180 and 177.50 to 175 comes into play quickly. I’m managing around those pivots.

🌐 Macro that is now embedded in the revenue story

Policy is in the price. Reuters reports the administration’s proposal to allow versions of restricted AI chips to ship to China with a 15 percent revenue share to the U.S., while enforcement tightens with secret trackers on targeted server shipments containing NVDA and AMD chips. Beijing has cautioned domestic tech firms over H20 purchases and urged avoidance in government-linked work. These cross-currents raise headline risk, yet they also formalise channels that can stabilise forward visibility if terms persist.

🏗️ Supply, demand, and the datacenter runway

Despite policy friction, demand for NVDA systems remains heavy. CoreWeave beat revenue, raised guidance, and reiterated “insatiable” demand for GB200 and GB300 NVL72 over the next four quarters, while noting power-access constraints as a limiter. The backlog expanded to about $30.1B, reinforcing a structurally supply-constrained market that supports NVDA’s sell-through.

🆚 Competitive pressure and the architecture cadence

Fubon suggests NVDA may be redesigning Rubin to better counter AMD’s MI450, implying limited 2026 volume as complexity rises. Barron’s summarises the same thesis and notes AMD’s rack-scale MI400 series as a more serious challenger. I treat this as timing risk on the roadmap, not a demand shock to the installed Blackwell cycle already in flight.

🧠 Trading implications and risk framing

Order flow is balanced but still skewed to upside interest at key spots, while macro adds variance. For me, 180 is the control line. Above it, I lean into 184.50 to 187 with momentum adds and trim into extensions. Below it, I expect a quick probe to 177.50 to 175 where I reassess for a fresh higher-low setup. My LEAPs anchor the structural AI thesis, my shares express the daily rotations.

🔚 Conclusion

NVDA remains a liquidity magnet at the center of AI compute. Policy friction can jolt intraday, and Rubin timing may wobble the narrative, yet the demand tape from hyperscalers and AI clouds continues to confirm structural tightness. I’m positioned in shares and LEAPs for continuation as long as 180 holds, with defined levels to tighten risk if the market forces a reset. These are not predictions; they’re probability-weighted frameworks.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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