To The Moon

$The Metals Company(TMC)$ $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ $Energy Fuels(UUUU)$ 🌋🚀📈 $TMC: Rare Earth Titan Breaks Out to New Highs

I’m watching $TMC erupt into a major price discovery phase. The move is being driven by a rare alignment of macro policy, options flow, and technical structure, positioning this national security metals play for potentially explosive upside into year-end.

🟠 Ignition Breakout Levels

The weekly chart shows a decisive breakout through the long-term descending trendline that’s been in place since 2021. Price has surged above the $8.00–$8.50 zone, now holding $10.40 after a +16.99% intraday burst. This breakout is backed by surging 4H momentum along both Keltner and Bollinger envelopes, showing a well-defined trend acceleration rather than a simple short squeeze.

🔵 Stability / Floor (Support)

$8.00–$8.50: Prior resistance turned support.

$6.20–$6.50: High-volume node and 21EMA cluster.

$4.80–$5.00: Major accumulation shelf and long base breakout level.

🔴 Stop / Danger Zone (Resistance)

$11.20–$11.50: Immediate resistance where the weekly candle paused.

$13.80: 2021 breakdown pivot. A rejection here would mark the first significant inflection zone post-trendline break.

🟢 Profit / Upside Targets

$14.70: Weekly measured move target from the breakout base.

$17.50–$18.00: Volume gap above 2021 pivot, potentially accelerating on fund flows.

$21.00+: Stretch upside based on prior parabolic extension zones during the SPAC mania phase.

📊 Options Flow Surge

The Unusual Whales data shows the 10C 17Oct25 contract dominating volume with 1,733 traded vs 11,457 OI, alongside 11/21 and 12C strikes building momentum. Bid/ask volume ratios are extremely healthy, with several strikes showing 73–93% buy-side pressure. This is classic directional positioning, not scattered speculation.

🇺🇸 National Security & Policy Tailwind

The Trump administration’s strategic investment shift has re-ignited interest in rare earth and energy security plays. TMC sits at the intersection of both:

• It’s included in Morgan Stanley’s National Security Index alongside $MP, $LEU, $LAC, and $TSLA.

• It’s one of the rare earth developers flagged in recent policy infographics that also highlight Intel ($INTC), MP Materials ($MP), Lithium Americas ($LAC), and Trilogy Metals ($TMQ) as existing stake recipients.

• TMC’s +679.82% YTD performance has now pushed it into the upper echelon of the National Security Index, with RS Rank climbing alongside rare earth peers like $UAMY and $NB.

🧭 Strategic Context

Deep-sea nodules, which TMC controls, hold nickel, cobalt, manganese, and copper critical for EV batteries and defense applications. With US rare earth strategy accelerating, funding pipelines may follow a similar trajectory to MP’s early ramp. This isn’t just a short-term chart breakout; it’s a structural shift tied to national policy and supply chain security.

⚡ Actionable Trade Scenarios

1. Swing Entry on Retest: Accumulation in the $8.50–$9.00 zone (🔵) with a stop under $7.80 (🔴), targeting $13.80 (🔴) then $17.50 (🟢).

2. Breakout Continuation: Momentum entry above $11.50 (🟠) targeting $14.70 then $17.50 (🟢).

3. Options Positioning: Rolling 10C/12C 17Oct25 into further OTM calls (e.g., 14C Feb26) as volume and OI expand, given the favourable skew and volume pressure.

📅 Why Timing Matters

The breakout is happening just four days before the 17Oct25 options expiry, meaning market makers are dynamically hedging as price pushes into new territory. That’s feeding real-time upside pressure. The 4H Keltner structure confirms a persistent trend, and the Bollinger expansion is just beginning.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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