I would lean towards $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ for the long term. AI demand is still driving the need for advanced chips, and the fact that customers are already discussing orders for 2029 & 2030 gives me confidence in its long-term growth potential. However, strong demand does not automatically mean the stock is cheap, especially after a strong rally.

For Morgan Stanley, I like its diversified business model & wealth management segment, but trading income can fluctuate with market conditions. I would rather invest in a business with a strong competitive advantage & a clear long-term growth driver than rely too heavily on short-term market activity.

Personally, I would not rush to buy either just because they have pulled back. I would keep ASML on my watchlist & look for a more attractive entry point, adding gradually if the valuation becomes reasonable. For me, patience is just as important as picking the right company.

@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub @Tiger_Earnings

# Earning Season

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  • moonbop
    ·10-15 22:12
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    Patience makes sense here. ASML's long term case is real, but 2029 to 2030 order talk alone does not justify any premium if capacity ramp and customer prepayment timing do not track cleanly.
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    • Shyon: 
      Good point
      10-16 13:43
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  • jazzyxx
    ·10-15 22:12
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    HPC is the easy part to model. Edge AI and auto mix will matter more for EUV vs DUV visibility and margins
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    • Shyon: 
      Absolutely
      10-16 13:43
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