Global Main Indices Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
1.$S&P 500(.SPX)$ SP500 Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.93%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 65th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 2.64% movement
Bearish: 2.47% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 4025
BOT: 3800
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79.22% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
26.76% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 53.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 13.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -13.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
2.$DAX - main 2303(FDAXmain)$ DAX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.85%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 1st percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.87% movement
Bearish: 2.37% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 17.7% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 15095
BOT: 14218
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
73% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
26.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 80%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
3.$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 3.83%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 81th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 3.24% movement
Bearish: 3.3% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 23.6% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 11574
BOT: 10680
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
36.46% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.3% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -80%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -26.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
4.NIFTY Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.08%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 53th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.83% movement
Bearish: 1.55% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 24.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18325
BOT: 17584
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
31.43% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.58% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from thetechnical analysispoint of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -26.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 66.67%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 80%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
5.$Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2302(MCLmain)$ Crude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 5.72%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 74th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 4.6% movement
Bearish: 5.7% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 29% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 77.9
BOT: 69.22
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
31.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
66.8% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -66.67BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 13.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
6.$Gold - main 2302(GCmain)$ GOLD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 2.25%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 0th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.6% movement
Bearish: 1.8% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 22.2% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1910
BOT: 1821
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
29.27% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates 92.86%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
7.BTCUSD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 7.29%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 44th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 4.42% movement
Bearish: 7.23% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 15.8% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 18154
BOT: 15830
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
64% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high(already done)
25.5% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 40%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates -66.67%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -46.15%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
8.EUR/USD Weekly Volatility Analysis 9-13 Jan 2023
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is 1.31%
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 2th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
*For calculations, I am using the data since 2022*
Bullish: 1.05% movement
Bearish: 0.95% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 30% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 1.079
BOT: 1.049
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
29% probability we are going to touch previous weekly high
70% probability we are going to touch previous weekly low
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Daily timeframe indicates 93.33%BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Weekly timeframe indicates 26.67BULLISH trendfrom the moving averages index
Monthly timeframe indicates -53.33%BEARISH trendfrom the moving averages index
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/D8BIaCC9-BTCUSD-Weekly-Volatility-Analysis-9-13-Jan-2023/
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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