Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices continue to fall to test the 2600 handle, hitting a low near 2595.6 yesterday! to confirm a move towards the next major target of 2555.As a result, we will continue to suggest the next phase of the bearish trend supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, noting that a break above 2640 will stop the bearish wave and push the gold price to realise new gains starting from the $2700 area.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2585 support level and the $2620 resistance level.Trend Forecast: Bearish (trade to keep sell orders trading)!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ closed 0.48% lower at $2,620.96 per ounce on Friday (30 December), barely holding above the 100-day SMA at 2,616.01, as rising US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of non-yielding gold in thin holiday trading, with the market focused on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and his inflation-stimulating policies' impact on the Fed's outlook for 2025 Potential Impact. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
layoffs, market top and free buffett tip - my investing muse (30Dec2024)
My Investing Muse (30Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Photo Credit: Fabrice COFFRINI | AFP | Getty Images From X user Evan:Google CEO Sundar Pichai and other Google leaders told employees last week at a 2025 strategy meeting that “the stakes are high” for next year - CNBC “I think it’s really important we internalize the urgency of this moment, and need to move faster as a company. The stakes are high. These are disruptive moments. In 2025, we need to be relentlessly focused on unlocking the benefits of this technology and solve real user problems.” - Sundar Pichai In summary, layoffs are coming. Now that Trump has won, they are revising all of their numbers during the Biden administration. The govt initially reported Q2 of 2024 had 653,000 job gains. It was actually NEGATIVE. There was a
Blackrock, Debts, banking News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24)
News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24) Is entitlement the curse of progress? Image BLACKROCK SAYS DIVERSIFY YOUR PORTFOLIO WITH GOLD AND BITCOIN TO HEDGE AGAINST EQUITY SELLOFFS Serbian President Vučić has stated that the Nord Stream pipeline may be restarted soon: "Germany urgently needs cheap Russian gas, so within a year, the remaining intact section of the Nord Stream pipeline could be sold to U.S. investors and put back into operation." - X user Russian Market HOMELESSNESS SURGES AS HOUSING COSTS SOAR 18% Homelessness in the U.S. jumped 18.1% this year, with over 770,000 people now living on the streets. Rising costs and a severe lack of affordable housing are driving the crisis. Major cities like NYC and Chicago are overwhelmed, with migrant surges adding to the strain. Meanwh
Happy New Year - PMI will start the economic calendar from 30Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturi
Preview of the week starting 30Dec24 - closing thoughts for 2024
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturing PMI will be
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price is showing a flat bullish bias approaching the key resistance level at $2,640 Stochastic is showing clear overbought signals waiting to push the price down again, keeping the bearish trend active for the session, with the next major target at $2,555 It is important to note that a break above 2640. would stop the downtrend and allow the price to try to resume the major bullish trend once again.The expected trading range for today is between support at 2615 and resistance at 2650.Trend forecast: bearish! (Trade to keep the sell order trade as the main one)[Happy][Happy][Happy]Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
layoffs, economy, Argentina and Energy - my investing muse (23Dec24)
My Investing Muse (23Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news BREAKING: Party City is closing all of its stores, and corporate employees were told today is their last day of employment - X user Unusual Whale Aerospace company Boeing has announced another round of layoffs, this one impacting 396 workers in Washington state. - NWPB Google has once again reduced its workforce, targeting 10% of its management roles, including directors and vice presidents. CEO Sundar Pichai announced the changes during an all-hands meeting. - DNAIndia Thyssenkrupp faces massive job cuts and plant closures amid international competition and possible management lapses. - DW News The Mersen Manufacturing plant said it is set to furlough 80% of its workers in Columbia. The furloughs were announced just weeks before the C
Recession over? Government shutdown and debts? News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24)
News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24) Powell has said that "it's pretty clear we've avoided a recession." Do you agree? Image China is dominating the global auto market: China’s share of world car production is now at 39%, the highest on record. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has doubled. Its share is also ~11 percentage points larger than Europe, Japan, and the US combined. To put this into perspective, China’s share in global automotive production was just 1% in 2000. By comparison, the US, Japan and Europe accounted for 14%, 20% and 32% of production in 2000, respectively. China has taken over the global car market. X user The Kobeissi Letter Globalization brings access to bigger markets, costs savings and leads to better quality of life. When we limit access,
Consumer Confidence and new home sales - Economic Calendar starting 23Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve use
Can we avoid Anavex? Preview of the week starting 23Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $.DJI(.DJI)$ 11th in a row?Almost unheard of--DJI closes RED for 10 consequtive days. Although I think the previous day's low will be tested and broken, today's bar has to be GREEN. That is my bet.2.Three lines to watch for $.SPX(.SPX)$ : MA50, 100 & 200. If closes lower than 5924 (MA50), high likely to visit next line around 5770 (MA100). By the same token, if 5770 lost, then the BLACK LINE around 5523. Yeah, a bit ahead of ourselves here, but this correction is at a higher level.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$Even with today's tumble, Tesla's mkt cap is still worth more than the next 62 global car companies combined. Never have I ever seen such distortion.I am heavy into TESLA they have so much happening. Cars, Cybertruck, TESLA Semi, FSD, AI, Solar, Battery Storage, Super-charging, Lithium refinery, AI... Elon Musk and Donald Trump are close. Good times ahead![Smart][Smart][Smart]Time will tell!
SPY, RSP, NVDA, AMZN& VIX Confronted with Downward Pressure!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ 📈+74%What’s the market without a little volatility, right? 🎢2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Bink. 🎯 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Are you getting nervous, anon? 🫣 4. $Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF(RSP)$ Just when you thought things couldn't get any worse for the equal weight S&P 500...13 RED DAYS IN A ROW. ☠️5. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ WHAT A MOVE. 🩸 $SPYHighest one-day volume since the August 5th bottom.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
.SPX: There is significant psychological support at 6000
$.SPX(.SPX)$ thoughts: the index remains above its short term moving average (6023)— breadth as measured by net new highs across NYSE and Nasdaq markets has been negative for three consecutive sessions, and momentum is pointing downward. There is significant psychological support at 6000. In the scenario where pride trades below 6000, breadth is negative and momentum pointing down— I will take defensive position. Otherwise I remain positioned for melt-up trade via ARKK, and a handful of other small cap US equities. Outside of the US equities I remain a bull participant in Chinese equities like $Alibaba(BABA)$ and $TENCENT(00700)$ . I view the most recent decline
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $E-Micro Gold - main 2502(MGCmain)$$Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold price managed to break below the intraday bullish trend line and stabilised below it, reinforcing the expectation of a continuation of the bearish trend on an intraday basis, mainly waiting for a visit to the $2,615.00 and subsequently the $2,600.00 level.Stochastic has clearly lost its positive momentum, supporting the downward expectation that a break above $2687 will stop the bearish wave and lead the price back to the main bullish track again.Today's trading range is expected to be bet
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Tuesday (December 17) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock, currently trading at 2652.01 U.S. dollars / ounce near. Gold prices bottomed out on Monday, early in the session had fallen to a one-week low of 2643.41 U.S. dollars / ounce, closed near 2652.50 U.S. dollars / ounce, by the ongoing geopolitical concerns and the dollar weakened support, however, the market is waiting for the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, the wait-and-see mood is stronger, the overall trading is more cautious; is expected to be a third rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and to provide clues about the outlook for the year 2025. The selling strategy given yest
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.The Limit of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : (1) For the last 2.5 years, TSLA formed a large side-way triangle to store energy for the next leg up. (2) now, with a clear breakout of the resistance & ATH, TSLA opens up a new limit for the next leg up. (3) the yellow bar is a rough gauge--yeah, 1K.2.Yeah, $.DJI(.DJI)$ closes red, the EIGHTH in a row--I can't remember when was the last time that the leader group is in such a total retrace mood while SPX is hanging near ATH.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Monday (December 16) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow oscillation, currently trading in the vicinity of 2650.30 U.S. dollars / ounce. Gold prices hit a new high of 2726.05 more than five weeks last Thursday after profit-taking, on Friday to continue the downtrend, the lowest touched 2646 U.S. dollars near, for nearly a week low, U.S. bond yields continue to rise, and refresh the nearly three-week highs, so that the gold price continues to be under pressure.From a technical point of view, gold prices still have the risk of retracement in the short term, but 2605-2666 is the previous oscillation range, but also a dense turnover area, need to pay attention to. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$$XAU/U
supply chain, layoffs & CPI - My Investing Muse (16Dec24)
My Investing Muse (16Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Evonik aims to spin off assets and could shed 7,000 jobs - Reuters Another low-cost airline filed for Chapter 11. GOL announced on Dec. 10 that it filed a reorganization plan that promises to convert $1.7 billion of debt into equity and raise $1.85 billion of new financing through new investors. - The Street Luxury Brands Face A Retail Labor Crisis As 51% Of Employees Plan To Leave Their Jobs - Forbes Cruise, SF's embattled self-driving car company, is finally folding after $10B in losses - SF Gate Supply Chain News In 2025 the deliveries of new vessels will again raise the capacity oversupply, said Braemar, “even allowing for Red Sea avoidance, oversupply is expected to increase from 3-4% in 2024 to 7-8% in 2025,” said the broker. - S
Preview of the week starting 30Dec24 - closing thoughts for 2024
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturing PMI will be
Blackrock, Debts, banking News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24)
News and my thoughts from last week (30Dec24) Is entitlement the curse of progress? Image BLACKROCK SAYS DIVERSIFY YOUR PORTFOLIO WITH GOLD AND BITCOIN TO HEDGE AGAINST EQUITY SELLOFFS Serbian President Vučić has stated that the Nord Stream pipeline may be restarted soon: "Germany urgently needs cheap Russian gas, so within a year, the remaining intact section of the Nord Stream pipeline could be sold to U.S. investors and put back into operation." - X user Russian Market HOMELESSNESS SURGES AS HOUSING COSTS SOAR 18% Homelessness in the U.S. jumped 18.1% this year, with over 770,000 people now living on the streets. Rising costs and a severe lack of affordable housing are driving the crisis. Major cities like NYC and Chicago are overwhelmed, with migrant surges adding to the strain. Meanwh
layoffs, market top and free buffett tip - my investing muse (30Dec2024)
My Investing Muse (30Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Photo Credit: Fabrice COFFRINI | AFP | Getty Images From X user Evan:Google CEO Sundar Pichai and other Google leaders told employees last week at a 2025 strategy meeting that “the stakes are high” for next year - CNBC “I think it’s really important we internalize the urgency of this moment, and need to move faster as a company. The stakes are high. These are disruptive moments. In 2025, we need to be relentlessly focused on unlocking the benefits of this technology and solve real user problems.” - Sundar Pichai In summary, layoffs are coming. Now that Trump has won, they are revising all of their numbers during the Biden administration. The govt initially reported Q2 of 2024 had 653,000 job gains. It was actually NEGATIVE. There was a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices continue to fall to test the 2600 handle, hitting a low near 2595.6 yesterday! to confirm a move towards the next major target of 2555.As a result, we will continue to suggest the next phase of the bearish trend supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, noting that a break above 2640 will stop the bearish wave and push the gold price to realise new gains starting from the $2700 area.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2585 support level and the $2620 resistance level.Trend Forecast: Bearish (trade to keep sell orders trading)!
Happy New Year - PMI will start the economic calendar from 30Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. China America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on New Year’s Day (01 Jan 2025). Some countries operate half a day on New Year’s Day Eve (31 Dec 2024). Here is wishing all a Blessed New Year (2025). Economic Calendar (30Dec24) Notable Highlights Chicago PMI will be revealed with a forecast of 42.8. This implies a contraction of the sector in Chicago. China's manufacturing PMI will also be reviewed. A forecast of 50.3 implies a slight expansion in the sector. China is a global factory and this can also be seen as a barometer of global demand. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will also be announced. The forecast of 48.3 implies a contraction in the manufacturing sector. The ISM manufacturi
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ closed 0.48% lower at $2,620.96 per ounce on Friday (30 December), barely holding above the 100-day SMA at 2,616.01, as rising US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of non-yielding gold in thin holiday trading, with the market focused on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and his inflation-stimulating policies' impact on the Fed's outlook for 2025 Potential Impact. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price is showing a flat bullish bias approaching the key resistance level at $2,640 Stochastic is showing clear overbought signals waiting to push the price down again, keeping the bearish trend active for the session, with the next major target at $2,555 It is important to note that a break above 2640. would stop the downtrend and allow the price to try to resume the major bullish trend once again.The expected trading range for today is between support at 2615 and resistance at 2650.Trend forecast: bearish! (Trade to keep the sell order trade as the main one)[Happy][Happy][Happy]Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Can we avoid Anavex? Preview of the week starting 23Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve uses this as one of the key
Recession over? Government shutdown and debts? News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24)
News and my thoughts from last week (23Dec24) Powell has said that "it's pretty clear we've avoided a recession." Do you agree? Image China is dominating the global auto market: China’s share of world car production is now at 39%, the highest on record. Since the 2008 Financial Crisis, this percentage has doubled. Its share is also ~11 percentage points larger than Europe, Japan, and the US combined. To put this into perspective, China’s share in global automotive production was just 1% in 2000. By comparison, the US, Japan and Europe accounted for 14%, 20% and 32% of production in 2000, respectively. China has taken over the global car market. X user The Kobeissi Letter Globalization brings access to bigger markets, costs savings and leads to better quality of life. When we limit access,
layoffs, economy, Argentina and Energy - my investing muse (23Dec24)
My Investing Muse (23Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news BREAKING: Party City is closing all of its stores, and corporate employees were told today is their last day of employment - X user Unusual Whale Aerospace company Boeing has announced another round of layoffs, this one impacting 396 workers in Washington state. - NWPB Google has once again reduced its workforce, targeting 10% of its management roles, including directors and vice presidents. CEO Sundar Pichai announced the changes during an all-hands meeting. - DNAIndia Thyssenkrupp faces massive job cuts and plant closures amid international competition and possible management lapses. - DW News The Mersen Manufacturing plant said it is set to furlough 80% of its workers in Columbia. The furloughs were announced just weeks before the C
Preview of the week starting 16 Dec 2024 - is Jabil worth a look?
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (16Dec24) Notable Highlights FOMC interest rate decision will be the most watched news in the coming week. The market expects an interest rate cut. A contrary decision is likely to cause some market volatility. The core PCE Price Index will be the next most watched indicator for inflation. This is the preferred reference that the Federal Reserve uses for inflation. Surprises in this can lead to market volatility. S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI reflects the growth or contraction of the manufacturing sector. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index shows the development of the manufacturing sectors in Philadelphia. S&P Global US Services PMI reflects the g
Preview of the market (09Dec2024) - is C3.AI becoming profitable?
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (09Dec24) Notable Highlights The most watched macro data will be the Core CPI and CPI data. This is one of the references for inflation. This would be closely watched data as the Federal Reserve is likely to have this as part of the consideration for the coming interest rate decision in Dec 2024. The next important economic data will be PPI. This represents the inflation that hit producers/manufacturers - an amount that is likely to translate into inflation for the consumers when their products hit the shelves. This can be seen as a prelude to CPI (inflation). If there is an increase in PPI, the impact will also be seen in CPI. The 10-year Note auction will be a
News and my thoughts from last week (09Dec24) Image Image 67 $SPX companies have issued negative EPS guidance for Q4 2024, which is above the 5-year average of 56 and above the 10-year average of 62 - X user FactSet Image FOMO (Fear of missing out) can be a crippling emotion that can drive us to buying too late & selling too early. Emotional management is key to long-term success. I have exited some of my positions as weakening fundamentals or overvaluation provide opportunities to take profits & stop losses. Let us take stock of our 2024 lessons, adding refinement and better controls to our investing strategy for 2025. Image The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.4% in October 2024 to 99.5 (2016=100), following a 0.3% decline in September (revi
America's debt - is this something to ignore or behold?
What are the leading concerns in the robust, record-breaking economy? Debt is probably the leading macro concern despite the record runs for the S&P500 index, crypto and some stocks like Palantir hitting an all-time high. Debt is one man’s liability and another man’s asset. The below chart is provided by Visual Capital in 2023. A chart showing the breakdown of S&P 500 revenues What is the debt situation in America for the government, state, businesses and consumers? US debts come from a few sources including Government debt, state debt, corporate debt and consumer debts. Government Debt: The U.S. federal government's national debt has reached a record high of approximately $36 trillion. This figure is a combination of debt held by the public and intragovernmental holdings. The debt
My Investing Muse (09Dec24) - layoffs, affordability, year end review
My Investing Muse (09Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Intel's biggest revenue decline in five quarters to hit amid broad layoffs and missed AI boom - Calcalitech.com UK-based wealth manager St James’s Place is planning to cut about 500 jobs in an attempt to reduce costs under chief executive Mark FitzPatrick. - FT Cargill plans to cut around 5% of global employees, internal memo says - Yahoo Finance Layoffs could be companies trimming their fats or their efforts to stay afloat. This may not always be bad news. Image US restaurant bankruptcies are accelerating: There have now been 14 bankruptcies in restaurant chains with $20+ million in revenue this year, the highest number since 2020. This is up 133% compared to 2022 when 6 large chains with at least $20 million in annual revenue went ba
Preview of the week starting 02Dec2024 - Have you considered Asana?
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, The USA or China in the coming week. Economic Calendar (02Dec24) Notable Highlights S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing PMI will be shared in the coming week. A figure above 50 implies growth in this sector. Of late, there has been a contraction in the manufacturing sector. ISM Manufacturing prices reflect the price pressures faced by the manufacturing. S&P Global US Services PMI and ISM non-manufacturing PMI have been showing a growing services sector. The ISM on-manufacturing prices reflect any inflationary pressures faced by the service sector. There are a few important job data including JOLTs Job openings, ADP Nonfarm employment changes, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. T
supply chain, layoffs & CPI - My Investing Muse (16Dec24)
My Investing Muse (16Dec24) Layoffs & Closure news Evonik aims to spin off assets and could shed 7,000 jobs - Reuters Another low-cost airline filed for Chapter 11. GOL announced on Dec. 10 that it filed a reorganization plan that promises to convert $1.7 billion of debt into equity and raise $1.85 billion of new financing through new investors. - The Street Luxury Brands Face A Retail Labor Crisis As 51% Of Employees Plan To Leave Their Jobs - Forbes Cruise, SF's embattled self-driving car company, is finally folding after $10B in losses - SF Gate Supply Chain News In 2025 the deliveries of new vessels will again raise the capacity oversupply, said Braemar, “even allowing for Red Sea avoidance, oversupply is expected to increase from 3-4% in 2024 to 7-8% in 2025,” said the broker. - S
Consumer Confidence and new home sales - Economic Calendar starting 23Dec24
Public Holidays There will be no public holidays in China for the coming week. America, Singapore and Hong Kong are closed on Christmas Day (25 Dec 2024). Some countries are operating half a day on Christmas Eve (24 Dec 2024). Here's wishing all a “Blessed Christmas.” May 2025 be an awesome year of good health and success. Economic Calendar (23Dec24) Notable Highlights CB consumer confidence data will be released this coming Monday. This is a reflection of how the consumer sees the market. On the other hand, Durable goods orders are expecting a decline of 0.4%. New home sales data will be released with a forecast of 650,000 new home sales. This data provides some insight into residential real estate. Initial jobless claims will be announced. The Federal Reserve use
Why Australia Risks Falling Behind in the Age of AI—Even as the ASX200 Hits Record Highs
Australia's ASX200 has reached record highs, signaling strong performance in traditional sectors like banking and retail. Yet beneath this market optimism lies a critical challenge: Australia's preparedness for the AI revolution. While countries like the U.S., China, and Taiwan pour resources into transformative technologies, Australia faces unique hurdles from high interest rates, unaffordable housing, and stagnant consumer spending. Without decisive action, these structural issues could leave Australia lagging in the global race for innovation and economic growth. --- 1. ASX200 Highs: Risk or Opportunity? The ASX200's strong performance reflects resilience in established industries, but its lack of tech sector representation reveals an economic blind spot. While U.S. and Asian markets in
News and my thoughts from last week (16Dec24) US BANK DEPOSITS FELL TO $17.839 TLN FROM $17.906 TLN IN PRIOR WEEK. Image The US budget deficit spiked by a massive $367 billion in November 2024. This was $14 billion above the median expectation of $353 billion. For the first 2 months of the Fiscal Year 2025, the total deficit now stands at $624 BILLION, the highest on record. This is up a staggering 64% from the $380 billion seen last year and above 2020 pandemic levels. To put this into perspective, the budget gap was 3 TIMES lower on average during the 2013-2017 period. The debt crisis is worsening. - X user The Kobeissi Letter Entitlement can bend reality The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages to 6.67% from 6.69% Applications to refinance a home loan surged 2