To The Moon

AI Hype is once again being ignite by the Big Short, this time, discussion around whether OpenAI is going to become the next Netscape due to its cash burn rate seems to be getting humongous. In this article we would like to discuss a comprehensive, current assessment of whether OpenAI is headed toward a “next Netscape” outcome (rapid rise then decline) given concerns about cash burn, funding, competition ( $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini and Chinese players), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$’s strategic posture. Cash Burn vs. Revenue Reality OpenAI is spending at an unprecedented scale, and that drives the “Netscape comparison” — a high-profile pioneer that failed to sustain competitive advantage. OpenAI’s revenue

Short seller Michael Burry is on a new mission, after making (significant) bearish bets against NVDA and PLTR, (which included purchasing put options with a notional value of roughly $187 million on NVDA and a staggering $912 million on PLTR according to Q3 13F filings,) and actively criticized the companies and the broader AI market. I believe there is “some” truth in what he has found and shared. As much as I hate to admit, I believe analysts and investors have taken to his explanations and reacted accordingly too. Since his short bets started making its round in the news media (from 03 Nov 2025), both NVDA and PLTR have fallen by -15.40% & -11.40%, respectively, to date. (see below) 03 Nov 2025 - 12 Dec 2025 On Wed, 10 Dec 2025 short seller Michael Burry “new” warning that US Fed Re

$Microsoft(MSFT)$   🧠 Big Short Calls AI Hype Again: Is OpenAI the Next Netscape? Michael Burry — the investor who famously saw the 2008 collapse before anyone else — is once again questioning a consensus trade. This time, his target isn’t housing or passive ETFs, but AI’s crown jewel: OpenAI 🤖💥 His comparison is provocative: Netscape. A company that defined the early internet, yet ultimately became a footnote when platforms with deeper moats took control. So what’s the concern? 🔹 Capital Dependency OpenAI is burning cash at a scale few private companies ever have. Training frontier models isn’t just expensive — it’s structurally expensive. Compute costs rise faster than revenues, and scale doesn’t necessarily mean margin expansion (yet)

I agreed with Michael Burry  as soon as Gemini 3 released. (As shown in my post before)

the GPT-5 letdown—yeah, it's hitting like a wet firecracker after all that buildup. Sam Altman hyped it as the "PhD-level intelligence" leap we'd been chasing since GPT-4o, but four months post-launch (August 7, 2025), it's mostly just... fine. Incremental wins in math (94.6% on AIME 2025) and coding (74.9% on SWE-bench), sure, but no earth-shattering "wow" moments that redefine daily use. Users are griping about it feeling "lobotomized" compared to 4o—more sycophantic, less punchy, with routing bugs in the 5.1 update that shove complex queries to weaker sub-models. Even in medicine, it's hallucinating diagnostics at nearly 50% on tough cases, per a fresh Nature study. No surprise, no paradigm shift—just a pricier (5x over 5-mini in spots) iteration that's got folks pining for the old warm

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  The dip does look promising. Looking for additions in tranches. 

🚨🚨🚨📰 Market Analysis Summary: December 9, 2025 The market is characterized by pre-Federal Reserve caution in traditional finance and a modest cooling in the crypto space, though both remain near recent highs. 🏛️ Traditional Stock Markets (US & Global)  * Sentiment: Cautious and generally lower as investors await the highly-anticipated Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting later this week. Expectations of a possible Fed rate cut are driving short-term volatility.  * Performance: Major US indices (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq) are registering slight declines, consolidating after recent gains.  * Macro Focus: The primary driver remains the upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decision (expected on Wednesday, Dec 10th) and the language used regarding future monetary policy.  * Key Eco

$Microsoft(MSFT)$   $S&P 500(.SPX)$   Microsoft good race from return % performance and next years still running with traditional event from Q1 performance. 600 point on target next years could be and possible can do right with large market cap in ratio.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Microsoft have to come out with plans to help companies by providing free consultancy on how to use its AI.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wall Street's AI dream just hit a reality wall – Microsoft slashed internal sales growth targets for its AI agent products after salespeople bombed quotas in the fiscal year ending June 2025, per explosive reports from The Information on December 4, sending shares dipping 1.5% intraday before a partial rebound to $425.68. The tech titan fired back with a denial, insisting "no growth targets were reduced," but the market's not buying it, with AI Foundry revenue clocking a paltry $200 mil

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Thanks to the market manipulation by the big fat oily cats from Wall Street, beating it down, which is critical for them to make their numbers for a big fat bonus at the end of the year. 🤣

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ I’m leaning into $MSFT because the intraday shock from a misreported fake AI sales quota cut created a clean dislocation in a tape still rewarding megacap execution and strong breadth. Confidence in AI enterprise spending remains intact, yet today shows how fast anonymous sources can force liquidity air pockets before fundamentals reassert. Immediate Market Read At 04:33 NZT on 04Dec25, $MSFT hit 475.82, down more than 2% from prior close, dragging Nasdaq futures over 250 points. Microsoft then directly refuted the quota-cut headline. Price bounced off the lower Keltner Channel near 476.50 and reclaimed 482.46 by

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  wow cheap sales

$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$  📉 ADP Jobs Decline – Why “Bad News = Good News” Might Be the Biggest Trap Right Now Everyone is cheering today’s ADP print like it’s bullish — “jobs fell = Fed will cut = stocks go up.” But honestly… this is the exact kind of surface-level optimism that blindsides retail right before the rug gets pulled. Here’s the bigger picture most are ignoring: 1️⃣ A decline of 32,000 private payrolls isn’t “good” — it’s a signal. Hiring is slowing, wage growth is cooling, and multiple sectors are showing fatigue. If the labour market weakens too fast, it doesn’t trigger a gentle Fed pivot… it triggers recession hedging. 2️⃣ Rate cuts that come because of weakness have never been bullish initially. Every maj

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  It has finally cracked. Soon a domino effect to follow for the other AI elephants. This the very AI Bubble popping the will get the ball rolling. May see a 50-60% market crash. 💥 

Commerce Secretary Lutnick has been meeting with robotics CEOs & is pushing to accelerate the industry with the administration now evaluating a formal robotics order for next year.How robotics is quietly getting built out across the economy:1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ & $UiPath(PATH)$ are the traffic controllers for the whole fleet while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ & $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ are the engines & nervous system that let the robots sense and act.2. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ ,

Why msft drop in premarket?

I. December 2 Mag 7 AnomaliesDoes Trading Volume Expose Institutional Intentions?CompanyCodeClose PriceChangeVolumeCapital Flow InterpretationNVIDIANVDA$181.46+0.86%$33.33BReal Buying: Volume leader, genuine capital betting on AI hardware dominanceTeslaTSLA$429.24-0.21%$29.72BIntense Battle: Positive sales but stock closed down, fierce long-short showdownAppleAAPL$286.19+1.09%$15.33BSafe Haven: After EU defeat, some capital trading technical reboundAmazonAMZN$234.42+0.23%$10.70BInstitutional Building: AWS industry落地, volume gradually expandingMicrosoftMSFT$490.00+0.67%$9.59BStabilizer: Reasonable valuation, allocation-driven buyingMetaMETA$647.10+0.97%$7.50BLack of Confidence: Debt risk unresolved, low turnoverGoogleGOOGL$315.81+0.29%$7.80BWait-and-See: Price target raised, but market awai

Short seller Michael Burry is on a new mission, after making (significant) bearish bets against NVDA and PLTR, (which included purchasing put options with a notional value of roughly $187 million on NVDA and a staggering $912 million on PLTR according to Q3 13F filings,) and actively criticized the companies and the broader AI market. I believe there is “some” truth in what he has found and shared. As much as I hate to admit, I believe analysts and investors have taken to his explanations and reacted accordingly too. Since his short bets started making its round in the news media (from 03 Nov 2025), both NVDA and PLTR have fallen by -15.40% & -11.40%, respectively, to date. (see below) 03 Nov 2025 - 12 Dec 2025 On Wed, 10 Dec 2025 short seller Michael Burry “new” warning that US Fed Re

AI Hype is once again being ignite by the Big Short, this time, discussion around whether OpenAI is going to become the next Netscape due to its cash burn rate seems to be getting humongous. In this article we would like to discuss a comprehensive, current assessment of whether OpenAI is headed toward a “next Netscape” outcome (rapid rise then decline) given concerns about cash burn, funding, competition ( $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Google Gemini and Chinese players), and $Microsoft(MSFT)$’s strategic posture. Cash Burn vs. Revenue Reality OpenAI is spending at an unprecedented scale, and that drives the “Netscape comparison” — a high-profile pioneer that failed to sustain competitive advantage. OpenAI’s revenue

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wall Street's AI dream just hit a reality wall – Microsoft slashed internal sales growth targets for its AI agent products after salespeople bombed quotas in the fiscal year ending June 2025, per explosive reports from The Information on December 4, sending shares dipping 1.5% intraday before a partial rebound to $425.68. The tech titan fired back with a denial, insisting "no growth targets were reduced," but the market's not buying it, with AI Foundry revenue clocking a paltry $200 mil

$Microsoft(MSFT)$   🧠 Big Short Calls AI Hype Again: Is OpenAI the Next Netscape? Michael Burry — the investor who famously saw the 2008 collapse before anyone else — is once again questioning a consensus trade. This time, his target isn’t housing or passive ETFs, but AI’s crown jewel: OpenAI 🤖💥 His comparison is provocative: Netscape. A company that defined the early internet, yet ultimately became a footnote when platforms with deeper moats took control. So what’s the concern? 🔹 Capital Dependency OpenAI is burning cash at a scale few private companies ever have. Training frontier models isn’t just expensive — it’s structurally expensive. Compute costs rise faster than revenues, and scale doesn’t necessarily mean margin expansion (yet)

I. December 2 Mag 7 AnomaliesDoes Trading Volume Expose Institutional Intentions?CompanyCodeClose PriceChangeVolumeCapital Flow InterpretationNVIDIANVDA$181.46+0.86%$33.33BReal Buying: Volume leader, genuine capital betting on AI hardware dominanceTeslaTSLA$429.24-0.21%$29.72BIntense Battle: Positive sales but stock closed down, fierce long-short showdownAppleAAPL$286.19+1.09%$15.33BSafe Haven: After EU defeat, some capital trading technical reboundAmazonAMZN$234.42+0.23%$10.70BInstitutional Building: AWS industry落地, volume gradually expandingMicrosoftMSFT$490.00+0.67%$9.59BStabilizer: Reasonable valuation, allocation-driven buyingMetaMETA$647.10+0.97%$7.50BLack of Confidence: Debt risk unresolved, low turnoverGoogleGOOGL$315.81+0.29%$7.80BWait-and-See: Price target raised, but market awai

🚨🚨🚨📰 Market Analysis Summary: December 9, 2025 The market is characterized by pre-Federal Reserve caution in traditional finance and a modest cooling in the crypto space, though both remain near recent highs. 🏛️ Traditional Stock Markets (US & Global)  * Sentiment: Cautious and generally lower as investors await the highly-anticipated Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting later this week. Expectations of a possible Fed rate cut are driving short-term volatility.  * Performance: Major US indices (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq) are registering slight declines, consolidating after recent gains.  * Macro Focus: The primary driver remains the upcoming Fed Interest Rate Decision (expected on Wednesday, Dec 10th) and the language used regarding future monetary policy.  * Key Eco

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ I’m leaning into $MSFT because the intraday shock from a misreported fake AI sales quota cut created a clean dislocation in a tape still rewarding megacap execution and strong breadth. Confidence in AI enterprise spending remains intact, yet today shows how fast anonymous sources can force liquidity air pockets before fundamentals reassert. Immediate Market Read At 04:33 NZT on 04Dec25, $MSFT hit 475.82, down more than 2% from prior close, dragging Nasdaq futures over 250 points. Microsoft then directly refuted the quota-cut headline. Price bounced off the lower Keltner Channel near 476.50 and reclaimed 482.46 by

Commerce Secretary Lutnick has been meeting with robotics CEOs & is pushing to accelerate the industry with the administration now evaluating a formal robotics order for next year.How robotics is quietly getting built out across the economy:1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ & $UiPath(PATH)$ are the traffic controllers for the whole fleet while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ , $Broadcom(AVGO)$ & $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ are the engines & nervous system that let the robots sense and act.2. $AeroVironment(AVAV)$ ,

the GPT-5 letdown—yeah, it's hitting like a wet firecracker after all that buildup. Sam Altman hyped it as the "PhD-level intelligence" leap we'd been chasing since GPT-4o, but four months post-launch (August 7, 2025), it's mostly just... fine. Incremental wins in math (94.6% on AIME 2025) and coding (74.9% on SWE-bench), sure, but no earth-shattering "wow" moments that redefine daily use. Users are griping about it feeling "lobotomized" compared to 4o—more sycophantic, less punchy, with routing bugs in the 5.1 update that shove complex queries to weaker sub-models. Even in medicine, it's hallucinating diagnostics at nearly 50% on tough cases, per a fresh Nature study. No surprise, no paradigm shift—just a pricier (5x over 5-mini in spots) iteration that's got folks pining for the old warm

$MSFT 20260618 480.0 PUT$  📉 ADP Jobs Decline – Why “Bad News = Good News” Might Be the Biggest Trap Right Now Everyone is cheering today’s ADP print like it’s bullish — “jobs fell = Fed will cut = stocks go up.” But honestly… this is the exact kind of surface-level optimism that blindsides retail right before the rug gets pulled. Here’s the bigger picture most are ignoring: 1️⃣ A decline of 32,000 private payrolls isn’t “good” — it’s a signal. Hiring is slowing, wage growth is cooling, and multiple sectors are showing fatigue. If the labour market weakens too fast, it doesn’t trigger a gentle Fed pivot… it triggers recession hedging. 2️⃣ Rate cuts that come because of weakness have never been bullish initially. Every maj

$Microsoft(MSFT)$   $S&P 500(.SPX)$   Microsoft good race from return % performance and next years still running with traditional event from Q1 performance. 600 point on target next years could be and possible can do right with large market cap in ratio.

I agreed with Michael Burry  as soon as Gemini 3 released. (As shown in my post before)

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  The dip does look promising. Looking for additions in tranches. 

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Thanks to the market manipulation by the big fat oily cats from Wall Street, beating it down, which is critical for them to make their numbers for a big fat bonus at the end of the year. 🤣

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  It has finally cracked. Soon a domino effect to follow for the other AI elephants. This the very AI Bubble popping the will get the ball rolling. May see a 50-60% market crash. 💥 

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  Microsoft have to come out with plans to help companies by providing free consultancy on how to use its AI.

$Microsoft(MSFT)$  wow cheap sales

Why msft drop in premarket?