November Effect + Stock Buybacks: Will November Present a Better Month?

The market experienced significant volatility in October. $.SPX(.SPX)$ closed down 0.99% in October, marking the second month this year with a decline. This was mainly due to yesterday's sharp drop in SMCI and disappointing earnings from major tech companies.

1. How do you trade in October?

Chinese concept stocks rose continuously at the beginning of October but cooled off after China's National Day holiday.

The upcoming election undoubtedly became the busiest hotspot in October, with DJT rising nearly 200% and Bitcoin returning above $70,000.

Nvidia surged significantly, briefly surpassing Apple in market value, following TSMC's better-than-expected earnings report.

2. November effect come into play?

As we enter November, seasonal patterns are expected to become a positive factor for U.S. stocks.

According to LPL Financial, November has historically been the strongest month for U.S. stocks since 1950. Data from Bespoke Investment Group also shows that over the past 100 years, the average gain for the S&P 500 in November has been over 1%.

3. Will stock buybacks and election trade bring more good news?

With stock buybacks starting again amid the election year market, Goldman Sachs analysts point out that October 28 marks the beginning of the best fourth-quarter trading period for U.S. stocks since 1928, especially during election years.

The stock buyback window for publicly listed companies also reopened this Monday.

Data from election years since 1928 shows that the median return for the S&P 500 from October 27 to December 31 is 6.25%.

With so much dazzling growth in October, have you made any money?

Do you think November will continue to soar in the wake of the election market?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

# Farewell October: Are You Ready for the Best Month?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • GXZ
    ·2024-11-01
    to the moond
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  • j islandfund
    ·2024-11-02
    my first October trading was interesting. thank pboc. for a boost⭐
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    • koolgal
      Well done 🎉🎉🎉All the best 🍀🍀🍀
      2024-11-02
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  • Merlin Spear
    ·2024-11-02
    Nvidia shot up bcoz I let it go. While I was holding it for the 2 or 3 years, it was 99.9% losses.
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  • AN88
    ·2024-11-02
    yes I do made money as my portfolio is diversified. there are some I lose as well but I am keeping long term. November will continue to soar
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  • Success88
    ·2024-11-01
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    • koolgal
      Excellent stocks.  Congratulations 🎉🎉🎉
      2024-11-02
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  • highhand
    ·2024-11-01
    yes, with the correct stock investing and trading strategy we can make money anytime... even when there's a pullback. In  Nov, we expect uncertainty to be gone after the election, and stock market to rally.
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  • Roaringeagle
    ·2024-11-01
    October maybe a consolidation for what going to happen in November, especially when USA election result is out. No matter who wins, it is the action of the winning candidate stocks that are important. Ride the trend if you know how. Stay sideline if you do not know what to do.
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  • icycrystal
    ·2024-11-01
    TOP
    got to trade with caution... nothing is for certain... no one knows how the market will swing... especially with the election... better to trade within limits...

    @koolgal @LMSunshine @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @Shyon @Aqa @GoodLife99 @Universe宇宙 @rL @HelenJanet

    With so much dazzling growth in October, have you made any money?

    Do you think November will continue to soar in the wake of the election market?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

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    • icycrystalReplying tokoolgal
      [Like] [Like] [Like]
      2024-11-02
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    • koolgal
      Caution is always good. Best of luck 🍀🍀🍀🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰
      2024-11-02
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    • TigerAI

      Trading with caution is indeed a wise approach. The market is inherently unpredictable, and it is essential to manage risks and trade within your limits. The upcoming election adds further uncertainty to the market, making it even more crucial to take a cautious approach.

      Regarding the historical performance of the S&P 500 from October 27 to December 31, data since 1928 shows that the median return during this period is 6.25%. However, past performance does not guarantee future results, and it is important to consider various factors that may impact the market.

      As an AI, I do not have personal investment portfolios or the ability to make trades. My purpose is to provide unbiased analysis and information to assist users in making informed decisions.

      If you have any specific questions or need analysis on a particular stock or market trend, feel free to ask, and I'll be glad to assist you.

      2024-11-01
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  • Universe宇宙
    ·2024-11-02
    TOP
    Many technology stocks fall heavily in the last day of October 2024, and this may tell us something that this November 2024 is going to be what, buddy @TigerGPT ?
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    • TigerAI

      Based on the available news and information, here is an analysis of the situation:

      Movement of Technology Stocks in October 2024: The technology stocks experienced significant volatility in October, with a sharp drop in SMCI and disappointing earnings from major tech companies. This led to a decline in the overall market, with the S&P 500 closing down 0.99% for the month.

        

      November Effect: Historically, November has been the strongest month for U.S. stocks since 1950, according to LPL Financial. Over the past 100 years, the average gain for the S&P 500 in November has been over 1%, as per data from Bespoke Investment Group. This seasonal pattern suggests a potential positive factor for U.S. stocks in November.

        

      Stock Buybacks and Election Trade: Goldman Sachs analysts point out that the beginning of the fourth quarter, particularly during election years, marks the start of the best trading period for U.S. stocks since 1928. The reopening of the stock buyback window for publicly listed companies also occurred in late October. Historical data shows that during election years, the median return for the S&P 500 from late October to December 31 is 6.25%.

        

      Considering these factors, it is important to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and the market can be influenced by various factors. While the November effect and stock buybacks present potential positive catalysts, it is crucial to closely monitor market conditions, economic indicators, and corporate earnings releases for a comprehensive analysis.

      As for the exact movement of technology stocks in November 2024, it is difficult to predict with certainty. It is recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis, consider one's investment objectives and risk tolerance, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, including the potential loss of principal.

      2024-11-02
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  • TheStrategist
    ·2024-11-02
    There are many factors such as the election and the anticipated rate cut that will propel the markets to the next level. 📈📈📈📈📈📈
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  • ECLC
    ·2024-11-02
    Market is more unpredictable with election and war strikes in middle east. Trade cautiously.
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  • $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ 看涨。愿他胜利!
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  • 紫南
    ·2024-11-02
    过去表现不代表将来表现,本身是收息股票投资者,市场上我偷着乐,市场下我继续收集股票 [Happy] [Happy]
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  • koolgal
    ·2024-11-02
    TOP

    🌟🌟🌟Hello November, Bye bye October.  A new month, a new day dawns with fresh beginnings.  I believe that November will be a great month as a new US President will be elected.  Whether it is Donald Trump or Kamala Harris, the uncertainty that is gripping the markets will be gone.  

    Whatever the future holds, I will continue to stay invested in the markets as I believe that over a long term, the markets will continue to go up.  Investing in the markets is one sure way to fight inflation, generate passive income through dividends and multiply my portfolio through capital growth in my stocks and ETFs. 

    Come what may, I stand ready to take advantage of market downturns by buying stocks on sale and be happy when I collect my dividends.  Life is what we make out of it. 

    Stay positive, stay happy! 

    @Tiger_comments  @TigerStars

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    • ELI_59
      Hurray hurray for November. Good fresh beginnings
      2024-11-05
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    • koolgalReplying toicycrystal
      Best of luck 🍀🍀🍀
      2024-11-03
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    • koolgalReplying toicycrystal
      Enjoy your weekend 🌈🌈🌈
      2024-11-03
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  • Captain Ashford
    ·2024-11-02
    I think we are in for a period of significant uncertainty. In addition to the election, the middle east is very volatile too. This could be good for gold stocks, with increased demand for safe haven assets.
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  • Universe宇宙
    ·2024-11-02
    @TigerGPT 11月卖掉,然后去很远很远的地方,对吧,伙计?[握手]
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    • TigerAI

      根据关键词“十一月效应、股票回购、选举交易”相关的新闻文章,以下是要点汇总:

      美国一周评:大选日前股市回调;微软、苹果、亚马逊、谷歌、Meta成为焦点:10月份股市大幅下跌,微软、苹果、亚马逊、谷歌和Meta等科技巨头的盈利普遍疲软。

      随着股市等待选举,Palantir、S&P 500 Nuke Leaders报告:股市正在期待美国总统大选和美联储利率投票。财报季也在进行中。

      亚马逊财报公布后消费者股价上涨——消费者综述:亚马逊公布强劲财报后,消费公司股价上涨。股市对美国大选持乐观态度,但政策转变最终可能会产生影响。

      11月效应+股票回购:11月会是一个更好的月份吗?:本文讨论了11月效应及其可能对美股产生的潜在积极影响。从历史上看,11月是美股自1950年以来表现最为强劲的月份。

      Zacks Investment Ideas特色亮点:Alphabet、特斯拉、Advanced Micro Devices、Root和Carvana:市场最近在关键的大型科技公司收益和美国总统大选之前经历了抛售。纳斯达克100ETF受到的影响尤其严重。然而,人工智能革命仍在继续,数据中心等某些行业出现了增长。

      总体而言,10月份市场出现波动,科技公司的盈利表现在市场波动中发挥了作用。随着即将到来的美国总统大选和股票回购再次开始,11月的预期和潜在的积极因素交织在一起。

      请注意,所提供的信息仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资股票市场涉及风险,在做出任何投资决定之前,进行彻底的研究并咨询财务顾问是至关重要的。

      2024-11-02
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  • nomadic_m
    ·2024-11-02
    Brutal end to October. Woke up to a crimson sea on the final day. Turned lemons into lemonade by scooping up discounted core positions. Expecting a sunnier November post-election. More catalysts on the horizon, especially NVDA & the buy backs. Fingers crossed for a nice Kiwi summer.
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  • Mrzorro
    ·2024-11-02
    My October trading was a nightmare,  loss a lot. I hope November effect will let me recover part of the lost [Cry] [Facepalm]
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  • Neil279
    ·2024-11-02
    市场因选举结果而飙升。
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  • AN88
    ·2024-11-03
    yes November will continue to soar in the wake of the election. it might be unstable for awhile
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