$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has officially broken the April trendline — a clear character change.With the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ Daily CISD in place and the bearish $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ divergence still intact, the setup now favors downside toward 6800–6750.A break below today’s low shifts the bias decisively lower; a weekly close below 6770 would strongly suggest the top is in.Near-term Alt Path: As long as SPX holds above today’s 6885 low, a final push toward 7000 is possible. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ looks corrective -> favoring one final push toward the 7000 level while price remains above the April multi-month trendline (~6900) A decisive break below ~6900 would mark a bearish shift and signal that the larger reversal phase is underway.Mid-term: Bearish as long as $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is below ATH -> keeping the bearish divergence intact. We went into the close looking for a reversal at the 100% extension of the leg down, and it couldn't have been much cleaner. SPX tagged the W=Y equality at 6936 to the tick and immediately ripped a 25-point rally off the level. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Primary | Wave 5 Termination?Friday’s new All-Time High likely completes the ABC structure for Wave 5, technically validating the termination of the 8-month impulsive sequence from the April low.While price can drift higher, I am braced for a reversal as $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ all hold pending terminal wave structures. Tuesday's CPI aligns perfectly as the catalyst to trigger this move.Triggers: A break of 6880 (2/4 Trendline) warns the trend is over. - A Weekly Close < 6770 sends the mechanical sell signal (Loses 50-DMA + Inverts FVG). SPX Alternate | Dia

I’m still standing by the correction call I made back in December.The timing has been slow and honestly a bit frustrating. But the actual chart structure hasn't changed at all.If anything, it’s just taking the long way around.The technicals are clear:- $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ are in 5th wave overshoots.- These look like ending diagonals- $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ still hasn't confirmed the move.This isn't a breakout; it's a higher-degree peak forming in slow motion. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited tra

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ | Because $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ has not yet crossed its ATH, price is likely to grind above that level to re-sync the two and complete Wave 5.Once that alignment is achieved, the market appears positioned for a major reversal, with CPI next Tuesday likely acting as the catalyst for Wave 1 down.The pivotal level remains SPX 6816. A daily close below would:- Invert the Daily FVG- Lose the 50-DMA- Break the multi-month trendline-> Triggering a sell signal toward 6720–6550. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$<

With $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ printing a new all-time high as expected, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ + $ES are back in-sync.However, the new high re-forms the bearish ABC structure for Wave 5, strengthening the case that the larger impulse from the April low is terminating.With CPI next Tuesday, the timing lines up well for a catalyst-driven reversal once this structure completes. ES_F made a new high as projected yesterday ✅It's time.... For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.🎉Cash Boost Account Now

The events of the last few days have made $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ and $Lam Research(LRCX)$ my second and third largest positions. It's my view that semiconductor manufacturing equipment remains ones of the least volatile ways to get exposure to the often highly cylical semiconductor industry.I had some concerns about Atoss, but once I understood the business more I realised that the risks aren’t as material as I first suspected. $Technology One, Ltd.(THNOF)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $Visa(V)$ $Comfort Systems USA(FIX)$

The indices continue to diverge.While $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ blasted to a new high, likely completing a final fifth-wave, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected at resistance and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ was so weak it couldn’t break the prior day’s high.Watch Level: Short to 6720–6550 triggers on a daily close below SPX 6816 and/or below last week’s low. A daily close below 6816 would confirm the sell signal toward 6550 - a break of Friday’s low likely seals the deal.The larger implication: A loss of 6650 confirms the start of a major Wave 4 correction, with downside scope toward 5500.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,00

Following bearish SMTs, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is testing the key Daily FVG support at 6816.A daily close below 6816 would confirm the sell signal toward 6550 - a break of Friday’s low likely seals the deal.The larger implication: A loss of 6650 confirms the start of a major Wave 4 correction, with downside scope toward 5500. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$

2026 Outlook: The Great ResetKey Takeaways• Equities enter a late-cycle correction phase • Bonds and the dollar strengthen as risk comes off • Crypto faces a deeper deleveraging cycle • Gold consolidates after a multi-year advanceThe table below outlines 2026 downside risk zones and expected year-end closing levels across major assets. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P500 has marginally exceeded the upper boundary of its multi-year trend channel — a common signature of terminal 5th waves.The Trigger: A reversal back below ~6,650 would confirm a false breakout.The Trade: We are positioning for a higher-degree Wave 4 correction toward 5,500–5,100 (-20–25%), which aligns perfectly with the 200-week MA. 2. $iShar

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ has failed to confirm new highs, forming bearish divergences versus both $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ (Dec 10) and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (Dec 26).The index is now printing higher lows but lower highs, compressing into a bearish triangle.This setup suggests tech is coiling for a sharp downside resolution, with a measured move to 23,500–22,900, aligning with equality of the initial leg down and the 200-DMA.A daily close below 25,165 would confirm the sell signal.If that zone is reached, the probability strongly increases that NDX has already peaked. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlim

At the beginning of the week -> I stated a close below $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 6910 is the first warning sign of a bearish reversal ✅ Now we are approaching the confirmation point: • If price crosses 6832, that would confirm the ABC up pattern for W5. • A close below 6816 would trigger the sell signal to at least 6720 Confirmation is still needed, but the setup increasingly favors the top being in. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 26

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed below the prior ATH, inverting the Daily FVG after a bearish SMT vs. $DJI & $NDX — a clear downside warning.That said, it’s a low-volume holiday week with bullish seasonality.Weekly Bias: Neutral/Bearish — expecting chop while price sets the stage for a larger move ahead.Key Levels:• Below 6832 → firmly bearish• Confirm: Daily Close below 6816 Triangle Breakdown ➡️ Target Hit. 📉We identified the triangle completion called for the drop to 6935 - $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ flushed to the lows ticking 6935 🎯We then expected a reversal back to the upper trendline from the lows✅ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit o

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ made new all-time highs, perfectly tagging the W5:W1 Fib ratio — exactly as the alternate bullish path anticipated.However, double SMT divergences are now present, suggesting this rally is marginal with index momentum fading. Key Levels:• First bearish Indication: A close below 6910 signals the immediate trend is weakening. • Confirmation: Bears need a Daily close below 6816.Until 6910 is lost, we may see a drift higher or choppy action due to the shortened holiday week. Once 6816 gives way, we look for a Wave 1 decline. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDA

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ | Primary CountWhile SPX respected Daily FVG support, $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ closed below it—triggering a sell signal following the bearish SMT with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ at all time highs.Despite the 50-DMA reclaim, price is capping at the 61.8% retracement and CISD resistance at 6833.This sets up a 3rd of a 3rd wave flush targeting 6400Confirmation: A close < 50-DMA is the warning. A cross of last week's low confirms the decline. SPX | Alternate SPX reclaimed the 50-DMA and printed a bullish CISD.Combined with bullish seasonality, the door is open for a push to 6950–7000.The Pivot: Bulls MUST hold the 50-DMA. A close bel

Although the bounce following the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ sell signal was anticlimactic, the setup remains the same. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rally appears corrective, and despite the 50-DMA reclaim, the bearish SMT w/ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ keeps my bias down.I'm watching for a grind up to today's high and/or the 61.8% retrace to act as resistance before lower.A close below 6770 triggers a swing short, while a cross of 6720 confirms a flash crash to 6400. Bulls need a daily close above 6803 for a potential bullish shift. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just lost the 50-DMA.The $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ sell signal triggered.CPI acts as the catalyst to escalate this wave. Expect a high-velocity collapse to 6400–6350.That move shatters the multi-year trendline (6550)—officially confirming the Bear Market. ES_F just lost critical support.The Daily FVG has officially inverted (iFVG).Combined with the bearish SMT, a high-conviction SELL SIGNAL has been triggered.The next wave down has begun -> targeting the Nov & Aug lows. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.

$Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Short: Over 35% PROFIT and counting.We alerted this short at $35.60. Price is now crashing through $22.50.This wasn't a guess. It was a precise execution based on market structure and a confirmed Daily iFVG trigger. The setup is playing out flawlessly.Next stop: With a bearish 5-wave decline already in placeand now a 3-wave corrective bounce, the structure favors another leg down targeting the 50-61.8% extensions of the impulse at18-16.The Daily iFvG triggers that also coincides right at the break of the corrective parallel channel.The 30 swing high is unlikely to be crossed now to decline to those targets. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimite

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ have both completed a bearish 5-wave decline from their respective peaks.A corrective bounce is the likely next move, though expect sellers to fade that rally. Any bounce should set the stage for another leg down. SPX will likely bounce off the 50-DMA initially—but don't be fooled. A close below this level inverts the Daily FVG and confirms the sell signal. Once that support snaps, the probability of a high-velocity move lower to 6400–6350 spikes immediately.Eyes on Thursday's CPI to drive the expansion.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as E