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2 reasons why we may be at the cusp of the beginning of the commodity supercycle

The rising tide of commodities that should start in the second half of the year has already started driven by copper and silver.If you haven't got in the bus, don't worry, it's just started, and there are still many good opportunities in the future, just be mentally prepared. Although the rise in commodities this time has the action of capital "squeezing" spot traders, the general background is that China and the United States are printing money and releasing water, and similar situations in this background can hardly be summed up as accidental events. It means that other "not rising" commodities need to be focused on.Although the Federal Reserve has not yet determined when to cut interest rates, it has announced at the interest rate meeting in May to reduce QT (that is, to relax liquidity
2 reasons why we may be at the cusp of the beginning of the commodity supercycle

Is gold investing right for you? Here's how to decide.

Gold has long been regarded as a reliable wealth protection tool, so it is often favored by investors in times of economic turmoil. However, observing the trend of gold prices shows that simply as an inflation hedging tool cannot accurately summarize all the functions of gold.To understand how gold prices change with inflation, we first need to recognize the multiple roles played by gold assets and how various economic policies, especially the Fed's interest rate policy, affect the value of gold.Gold's Response to Major Economic ForcesGold is essentially an asset that responds to the balance of supply and demand forces just like real estate or stocks. Markets often tend to read inflation negatively in terms of consumers paying higher prices. However, inflation is not only manifested in con
Is gold investing right for you? Here's how to decide.

How the Israel - Palestine conflict has impacted the gold price

When the market saw signs of easing in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, talks on a hostage-swap ceasefire between Israel and Hamas collapsed. Although this incident has only slightly reacted to gold and silver prices at present, the actual impact on the financial market does not stop there. At present, there is only the last base of Hamas-Rafah. If Israel forcibly penetrates, it will definitely hurt a large number of innocent people. At that time, it may arouse greater international opposition and corresponding actions. At present, Israel is unwilling to make concessions to attack Rafah, and it will have an impact on the financial market when it does it. We may see the market in March-April replicated in May-June, that is, the US stock index adjusts, precious metals are strong, and crude
How the Israel - Palestine conflict has impacted the gold price

What Was the Highest Price for Copper? (Updated 2024)

Copper, as an important industrial metal, its price trend has been widely concerned by the global market. In recent years, copper prices have experienced a series of fluctuations. Especially last week, copper prices broke through the $10,000 mark for the first time in two years. This increase not only reflects the current heat in the copper market, but also reflects the global economy, supply chain and energy transformation. The intertwined influence of multiple factors has aroused heated discussions in the market. Will $10,000 be the end of copper prices? Starting from multiple fundamental factors, combined with the latest industrial data, this article will deeply analyze multiple factors affecting the trend of copper prices, and look forward to the future trend of copper prices.1. Distur
What Was the Highest Price for Copper? (Updated 2024)

Has the rate cut expectation changed again? Don't worry, that's not the most important thing

How to manage (manipulate) market expectations? The easiest way is to fine-tune the results of the data, thereby "helping" the market to correct its judgment on the timing of interest rate cuts. In this regard, it has to be said that this term of the Federal Reserve and the US government are definitely the best of the best. Don't you see, after the release of the latest non-agricultural data in January, the time for interest rate cuts is expected to be brought forward from the end of the year to September. This time, which is neither too early nor too late Data show that the seasonally adjusted non-farm employment population in the United States recorded an increase of 175,000 in April, the lowest increase since October 2023, lower than the expected 243,000 and the previous value of 303,00
Has the rate cut expectation changed again? Don't worry, that's not the most important thing

Is It Time To Invest In Agricultural Commodity Futures' Markets

During the domestic May Day holiday, the practice of high volatility in the external market continues, but this time it is fulfilled in agricultural products. Let me talk about the macroeconomic situation first. Although the Fed's interest rate meeting will not adjust interest rates as scheduled, the slowdown in QT (shrinking balance sheet) is a real liquidity easing measure. It is very likely that we may not see the Fed cut interest rates this year, but shrinking balance sheet The process is likely to end this year, so it is not an exaggeration to think that the Fed is now at an inflection point for re-easing.The unexpected upset of the non-farm data provided a reason for the Fed to cut interest rates. When the unemployment rate is higher than 4%, it will be the time for the Fed to cut in
Is It Time To Invest In Agricultural Commodity Futures' Markets

Will the Yen Continue Sliding Further in 2024?

The foreign exchange market has been calm in the past few years. The large shock mode of the the US Dollar Index has caused most currencies to trade in a range mode. However, there are also outliers among them. The yen continues to fall and set a new historical low, but it is still not intervened by the central bank. What is the reason behind allowing the yen to fall?From the trend of the yen in CME group, it can be seen that the historic low has been moving down in the past few months, which also includes the macro environment where the Bank of Japan has begun to tighten. Looking forward, the Bank of Japan also briefly intervened in the foreign exchange market in 2022-2023, but the intensity was relatively limited, and the yen also rebounded slightly before sinking again.Obviously, from t
Will the Yen Continue Sliding Further in 2024?

Gold price down more than 2%, correction has just begun

Last week, under the news that the conflict in the Middle East eased, gold and silver bulls showed signs of cashing in profits, which triggered a sharp correction in gold and silver prices. The 5-day moving average tracking is very effective. After the "squeeze" trend of gold prices, falling below the 5-day moving average will often trigger a relatively large correction, and the correction is started by a single-day sharp drop, so last week's decline is very close to the previous trend, and it will break through 2450 again It takes a longer time to accumulate energy and cooperate with the news. The current gold and silver prices have entered a turbulent mode. Of course, turmoil is not a bad thing, especially for silver prices. After the turmoil falls, it will be a good time to enter the ma
Gold price down more than 2%, correction has just begun

Technical Charts: AMD, PYPL, NVDA, TSLA, CLSK, PANW, PLTR, IWM& .SPX

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some technical analysis with you! Hope it can help you!1. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The December 12th breakout VWAP has been an important support level over the last week.Image2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2406(RTYmain)$ A daily break and close above this confluence area of the 3/31 pivot anchored VWAP and the S/R flip zone would definitely be a bullish move into May into the coming days.Image3. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ A perfect bounce at the diagonal tren
Technical Charts: AMD, PYPL, NVDA, TSLA, CLSK, PANW, PLTR, IWM& .SPX

Gold prices are climbing. Is this the right time to invest in gold?

Affected by factors such as geopolitical conflicts and fluctuations in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, the contradiction in risk appetite in the capital market has become increasingly prominent, and commodity prices have also entered a stage of high volatility.Taking gold as an example, the price of gold has experienced a correction after experiencing the "crazy growth" . On April 22 local time, COMEX gold futures for June delivery fell 3.01%, the largest one-day drop since June 2022.Two factors "suppress" precious metalsFor a long time, geopolitics has been the first factor affecting the prices of gold and silver. With the gradual escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the market's demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver has also increased simultaneously. Howeve
Gold prices are climbing. Is this the right time to invest in gold?

Should We Buy Gold Now or Wait?

As speculated, news of the conflict between Israel and Iran has subsided, which has prompted a pullback in gold, and you may have to wait for a while to chase higher. For gold trading this year, the importance of finding a good time and a low position is relatively high, and it is not easy to chase ups and downs.The correction of gold With a long green line on Monday to determine a larger pullback/retracement time span, coupled with the more violent fall of silver (it has also been recommended to short silver and long gold to deal with this round of market), we expect gold to be short in the short term will not Reverse quickly.But how to judge the low point of the callback that everyone is more concerned about? First of all, it is certain that it is likely that it will be difficult for sho
Should We Buy Gold Now or Wait?

Weekly Trader's Outlook: Recent Selloff Is JUst Start Of Deeper Correction.

On Friday, Israel appeared to be about to "retaliate" against Iran, causing crude oil and gold prices to soar and US stocks to plummet. Although both Israel and Iran soon came out to clarify, the Iranian side said that it intercepted the drone that attacked and did not cause too much loss, which caused a sharp retreat in the follow-up market.This phenomenon shows that the two sides of the conflict do not want to make things too big, but the financial market does not seem to buy the result, and the price fluctuation suddenly becomes very manic.The impact of the conflict on the US stock indexThe widening situation in the Middle East has weakened the market's sensitivity to news of the Fed's interest rate cut and increased concerns about war fears. Although there was a sharp rebound on Friday
Weekly Trader's Outlook: Recent Selloff Is JUst Start Of Deeper Correction.

How Long Will Conflicts and War Affect Stocks Market?

The situation in the Middle East has once again become the focus of the market in recent days, with some concerns about the conflict between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have shown signs of perseverance, it is more likely that there will be “big thunder, little rain”. At the same time, referring to the geopolitical conflicts and small-scale military operations that have occurred several times before, the financial market can basically digest the impact within a week, so short-term fluctuations are difficult to shake the market trend.In theory, gold and crude oil are naturally the most sensitive to this topic. Last Friday's rise and fall seem to have previewed the weekend's soap opera in advance: Compared with a real fight, it seems more cost-effective to make a tough statement to g
How Long Will Conflicts and War Affect Stocks Market?

Iran-Israel war: How Will This Impacts Precious Metals

The biggest event of the weekend was Iran's attack on Israel. I don't know if you have noticed that many incidents this year tend to happen on weekends, as agreed.If this attack occurs in the middle of the week, I am afraid that financial Market fluctuations are definitely not small. And if it happens on the weekend, there is enough time for countries to appease market sentiment. I believe that when the market opens on Monday, the financial market will be much more rational.Looking back at Iran's attack on Israel, in fact, Iran is also well-known. After all, Israel first attacked the Iranian embassy in Syria, and then it attracted Iran's counterattack. We do not agree with military retaliation, but Iran's attack on Israel is generally expected. Inside the incident, and after the attack, Ir
Iran-Israel war: How Will This Impacts Precious Metals

Oil prices are surging toward $100 a barrel?Here's what to know

Driven by the escalation of geopolitical conflicts, market concerns about the tense situation in the Middle East and the interruption of energy supplies such as oil, international crude oil once soared sharply. The picture shows the price trend of the May WTI crude oil futures contract, which is currently hovering at $86.35.PictureFrom the perspective of supply and demand, the sluggish demand has led to no large-scale destocking even though OPEC continued to cut production. However, U.S. crude oil took the opportunity to seize market share and increased production and exports on a large scale. The global crude oil supply is not tight. The rise in crude oil prices is mainly due to the geopolitical crisis and speculative buying under the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut. Looking ah
Oil prices are surging toward $100 a barrel?Here's what to know

Trend Charts: AAPL, BABA, TSLA, QQQ, COST, BA, AMZN, COST, IWM, AMD, SPY& RBLX

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some technical analysis with you! Hope it can help you!The stocks are as follow:Well that escalated quickly... $Roblox Corporation(RBLX)$ already 🟢 +3.60% in pre-marketImageS&P 500 Futures just took out the prior week's low, last down -1.40% 🩸 $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ImageYikes. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Tight flag below key support starting to break lower in pre-market this morning. 📉Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Gapped down through wedge support & 50 SMA, but holding o
Trend Charts: AAPL, BABA, TSLA, QQQ, COST, BA, AMZN, COST, IWM, AMD, SPY& RBLX

Time To lock in profits,It Will Be More Difficult For Oil Prices To Go Up

The bulls in the crude oil market that continued in the first quarter have helped the price return to the central axis level we defined. With the emergence of high pressure and the small deviation between US stocks and stock indexes, we expect that it will be more difficult for oil prices to go up. For low buy/long investments, now may be the time to at least partially lock in profits.At the end of last year and the beginning of this year, we introduced the composition of crude oil price range: above 95/100 is the level of selling crude oil reserves by the US government (Biden made clear), while below 70 US dollars is the level of buying back crude oil reserves. The 84 line in the middle of the two is defined as the central axis because of the obvious change of hands. Under the big shock m
Time To lock in profits,It Will Be More Difficult For Oil Prices To Go Up

Is Gold in the Beginning of a Historic Short Squeeze?

At the beginning of each month, the focus of the market will always be on non-farm data. Especially recently, everyone has been keeping a close eye on the Fed's interest rate cut path, and the impact of economic data on market fluctuations is very important. Friday night's non-farm data greatly exceeded market expectations. According to the data released by the US Department of Labor, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 303,000 in March, far higher than the 200,000 predicted by economists and the 270,000 in February, the largest increase since May last year. But what is even more surprising is that U.S. stocks rose unexpectedly after a short decline, and gold continued to hit a record high, which made many investors feel at a loss. This phenomenon of completel
Is Gold in the Beginning of a Historic Short Squeeze?

Is The Stock Market Out Of Control Now?This Indicator said: NO!

From the market situation in the past few years, it is not difficult to find that the current US government has a very strong control over the financial sector, and their trading methods are also comfortable. Since the first quarter of last year, NVIDIA, the first AI concept, is still the leading core variety, and they have also promoted the overall bull market of US stocks. This year, another one pushed to the front desk is BTC, which is well known but not much involved.Once upon a time, many Wall Street giants also said that BTC was defined as a channel for fraud and money laundering. However, this thing has boarded the hall of ETF in a twinkling of an eye. It is obviously unreasonable to say that there is no intentional promotion from Biden administration. Behind this is naturally the f
Is The Stock Market Out Of Control Now?This Indicator said: NO!

Market Diverges... Is This a Signal Of Correction?

On Thursday night, the price of gold continued to hit a record high, which indicated that the market fully expected to cut interest rates. However, when the market fully expects, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will come out and pour cold water on the market.After all, expectation management is one of the important tasks of the Federal Reserve, so no matter what he says, the key depends on how the Fed does its follow-up actions. Even if the interest rate cut is really delayed, it is only an adjustment to re-hype the interest rate cut expectation. The market does not think that you will really exceed expectations, unless this week's non-farm data can exceed expectations, which may bring some adjustments to asset prices.First, pay attention to the strength and weakness of the US stock indexS
Market Diverges... Is This a Signal Of Correction?