Oil prices are now up over 30% since mid-June.
$WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ reaches $92.43, a record high in 2023.
$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ has risen from around $72 to $95.
To learn more about oil prices, you can click How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?
But the markets believe the rate hike cycle is over and that Fed will start to cut rates in 2024.
Why do surging oil prices won’t affect rate hike decision?
Oil prices account small part for core CPI
MORGAN STANLEY: “.. a 10% increase in oil prices .. adds 35bp to headline CPI for 3 months, but just 3bp to core CPI.”
The main reason that the market stays positive about rate hike is the core CPI in August drops. And Fed pays attention to core CPI and services inflation other than housing.
Market still expects oil prices to be suppressed under the key resistance level of $94. High oil prices won’t necessarily drive Fed to increase rates.
The combat against CPI really over?
Some investors expect Powell to state “Mission Accomplished“ during FOMC. lol..
Why do we need to combat against inflation?
WSB users argue that Fed creation incurs high inflation. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
Why do surging oil prices won’t affect rate hike estimates?
Is the battle against CPI over or not?
Should we blame Fed for high inflation?
Leave your comments and repost to win tiger coins~
Click to join our topic:
Will market continue to dip amid FOMC decision?
Comments
🌟🌟🌟Investors climb a wall of worry today in anticipation of the FOMC meeting later today. The Big Question is Will They Raise Interest Rate later this year or Won't They?
It is almost a certainty that the Feds will leave interest rates as it is at this meeting but investors are listening for signals what the Feds may do later this year.
The US markets are down today with all indexes closing lower.
I believe that the markets will be volatile this week. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$
will drop and $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$
will also see a further slide.
High energy prices have no doubt thrown a spanner into the good works of the Feds causing the rise in inflation. It looks like oil prices may even hit USD 100 a barrel by year end due to Saudi Arabia and Russia cutting oil production by 1.3 million barrels per day.
I view this volatility as a golden opportunity to bargain hunt quality stocks on sale and keep for the long haul.
@Tiger_comments
@MHh @Bons @icycrystal @Shyon @LMSunshine @Mrzorro @Aqa @rL @HelenJanet @SirBahamut @GoodLife99 @melson