BZmain (Brent Last Day Financial - main 2407)
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avatarJinHan
2023-09-28

Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95

The oil market, characterized by its volatility and sensitivity to various economic factors, has recently been a topic of intense discussion among investors and traders alike. In this article, I will elucidate my perspective on why I intend to take profit after oil reaches $95 per barrel. My rationale is rooted in the interplay between oil prices and interest rates, my bearish outlook on oil prices in the current economic climate, and my anticipation of an interest rate reversal in the near future. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2312(BZmain)$  1. The Oil and Interest Rate Connection: The relationship between oil prices
Bearish on Oil: Why I’ll Take Profit at $95
avatarTiger_comments
2023-09-19

Why rates unchanged under high oil prices? Should we blame Fed for high inflation?

Oil prices are now up over 30% since mid-June. $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ reaches $92.43, a record high in 2023.$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ has risen from around $72 to $95.To learn more about oil prices, you can click How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?But the markets believe the rate hike cycle is over and that Fed will start to cut rates in 2024.data from cmegroupWhy do surging oil prices won’t affect rate hike decision?Oil prices account small part for core CPIMORGAN STANLEY: “.. a 10% increase in oil prices .. adds 35bp to headline CPI for 3 months, but ju
Why rates unchanged under high oil prices? Should we blame Fed for high inflation?
avatarNAI500
2023-09-19

Nightmare of inflation? The relationship between oil prices and CPI & PPI

Historically, there is often a sequential relationship between rising oil prices and high inflation, but is there a causal relationship between them? Inflation devalues the currency, leading to higher prices for consumer goods and services, while the rising cost of living in turn affects individual optional consumer spending and economic growth. Recently, oil prices have risen rapidly, and the market is once again worried about the U.S. inflation rate picking up.Historical data showed a correlation between rising oil prices and inflation. But there is evidence that the link between oil prices and inflation began to break decades ago. Bob Iaccino, co-founder of Path Trading Partners, said the relationship weakened after oil prices soared in the 1970s.图片How does the oil price affect the macr
Nightmare of inflation? The relationship between oil prices and CPI & PPI
avatarTigerOptions
2023-09-15

Crude Oil Prices Surge Continues

What are the potential impacts? The global crude oil market is experiencing a sustained surge, with prices on track for their third consecutive weekly gain. This bullish momentum is primarily attributed to robust economic data emerging from China, coupled with reports of record-breaking oil consumption. The implications of this upward trend are multifaceted and warrant a closer examination of the factors contributing to it, as well as the potential consequences for various stakeholders. [USD]  Crude Oil Updates China, the world's second-largest crude oil consumer, has emerged as a significant driver behind the recent surge in oil prices. The country's economic indicators, including industrial output and retail sales, have exceeded expectations, indicating a stabilization of the econom
Crude Oil Prices Surge Continues
avatarTigerOptions
2023-09-13

Crude Oil Prices Surge

In today's Asian trade, crude oil prices continued their upward trajectory, maintaining levels near a 10-month high, driven by a confluence of significant factors. Key drivers in this bullish trend included OPEC's anticipation of tighter oil supplies, concerns surrounding crucial U.S. inflation data, and signals of a potential increase in oil inventories. Crude Oil Updates The surge in crude oil prices had commenced the previous day, propelled by OPEC's release of a monthly report predicting further tightening in the oil market throughout the current year. This forecast was grounded in robust demand and reduced production levels. Just a week prior to the report, two major oil-producing nations, Saudi Arabia and Russia, had jointly announced substantial supply reductions for the remainder o
Crude Oil Prices Surge
avatarFutures_Pro
2023-09-06

Key Levels for Trading Oil Prices at $90! Imapcts on CPI?

$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ has reached the $90 per barrel, the first time since November last year.1. What fuels oil prices continuting rally? Extension of production cutSaudi Arabia has announced that it will extend its voluntary production cut of 1 million barrels per day for another 3 months.Russia has also declared that it will continue its voluntary reduction of 300,000 barrels per day in oil supply until the end of December 2023.2. Resistance and support level for oil prices trading as it hit new highWhile oil prices are on a strong upward trend, the critical resistance level around $93-94 should not be overlooked. There may be a risk of a bull trap if other risk assets do not advance further. The resistance near $83.
Key Levels for Trading Oil Prices at $90! Imapcts on CPI?
avatarFutures_Pro
2023-09-05

Hitting $100? Crude oil to embark on a new upward trend

On Monday, driven by expectations of production cuts, $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ surged to $88.90, while $WTI Crude Oil - main 2310(CLmain)$ reached their highest intraday level since November of last year. In August, the International Energy Agency (IEA) had forecasted that this year's global demand would hit a historical high due to robust air travel, power generation needs, and activities in China's petroleum and chemical industry.The reasons for the oil prices increase include:Production Cuts: The OPEC+ alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia has implemented substantial measures to limit crude oil supply to support the market. Supply Constraints: High temperatures and other
Hitting $100? Crude oil to embark on a new upward trend
avatarCallum_Thomas
2023-08-29

Chart of the Week - World Oil Demand

$WTI Crude Oil - main 2310(CLmain)$ $Micro WTI Crude Oil - main 2310(MCLmain)$ $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2311(BZmain)$ $E-mini Crude Oil - main 2310(QMmain)$ ImageI’m a big fan of using technical breakouts as a prompt to take a closer look at a certain asset or market (to then go and build out the rest of the picture) —but a less common approach is to look at breakouts in fundamental indicators. And this one is worth looking at.The chart shows world oil demand (across all products, think: gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, LPG), what should be no surprise is the collapse in 2020 (as humanity collectively
Chart of the Week - World Oil Demand
avatarTigerEvents
2023-08-10

【Events】Who Are the Winners in Futures Trading?

Hi Tigers:During this scorching summer, the global futures market is ablaze with trading excitement, offering countless opportunities for trading masters to succeed. I would like to invite you to share your futures trading & win Tiger Coins. Feel free to leave your comment of this post and talk about how your Futures performed.💡How to participate?Leave a message in the comments section of this post, and share your Futures Trading.How to share positions?​Sharing positions is easy. From your account holdings interface “portfolio”,  you can click orders from the futures tab, then you can click "Share" by each of your Futures holdings to share with the community how much money you have made (or lost) on your investments.Do not forget to take a screen
【Events】Who Are the Winners in Futures Trading?
avatarTigerEvents
2023-08-09

[Prediction] Can oil hit $90 or not?

Click to vote. Guess how will $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2310(BZmain)$ close Friday 11/8 ? If you get the correct answer, you may divide 1000 Tiger Coins with other Tigers.WTI crude $WTI Crude Oil - main 2309(CLmain)$ up 20% in past six weeks, Brent $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2310(BZmain)$ up 17%. Over the weekend, Ukraine launched a naval drone attack on Russia’s port of Novorossiysk, a critical hub on the Black Sea for Russian oil exports. Ukraine did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment.In addition, the world’s top oil exporter Saudi Arabia last Thursday extended its voluntary crude oil output cut of a mi
[Prediction] Can oil hit $90 or not?
avatarFutures_Pro
2023-07-27

Will crude oil breaks through as rate hikes come to an end?

The fundamentals of the oil market remains mixed, and there doesn't seem to be a strong one-sided trend. The recent rise in crude oil prices can be explained as a fluctuation from the low levels.Why did crude oil experience a bottom bounce?This is because low oil prices were stimulated by three major factors, leading to consecutive two weeks of price increases and breaking through the long-term downtrend and the MA 200 (moving average 200).OPEC+ continued production cuts.The rate hike is coming to an end after July FOMC.An important meeting in China that opened up possibilities for future economic growth.During the June OPEC+ meeting, Saudi Arabia voluntarily cut an additional 1 million barrels per day, which was a rare and significant reduction, the largest in years. The IEF Secretary-Gen
Will crude oil breaks through as rate hikes come to an end?
avatarTiger_comments
2023-06-27

2023 H1 Recap | Goldman & JPM Are Wrong in 2023 Outlooks?

As we approach the end of the June, some investors begin to forecast the stock market in the next half. Let’s look back at how we did the analysis at the beginning of the 2023.Most retail investors gained information by reading the report and outlooks released by institutions. Let’s find out if Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are right or wrong in forecasting economy and stock market in 2023. The source are from Goldman and JPMorgan’s official website.Both of them are wrong at predicting the stock market trends in the first half as $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are trading at 4300.They are also wrong in terms of interest rates and inflation. The benchmark rate is now at the range of 5%-5.25% and the market is expecting at least another 25bps.May CPI is 4%, highe
2023 H1 Recap | Goldman & JPM Are Wrong in 2023 Outlooks?
avatarETF Tracker
2023-04-12

ETF Tracker| Worst Earnings Season! Consumer, Industrial, and Energy ETFs in Focus

Abstract: Companies on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are expected to report their weakest profit growth in nearly three years.This week, the US stock market's earnings season gained much anticipation. Due to factors such as weak performance, technology sector’s return to fundamentals, high risks of financial institution, and increased corporate debt, market participants are generally bearish about the US stocks.Companies of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are expected to report a 6.8% decline in earnings per share in the first quarter, the largest drop since the second quarter of 2020.The latest data from FactSet shows that analysts expect earnings to decline 4.6% in the second quarter and then grow again in the thir
ETF Tracker| Worst Earnings Season! Consumer, Industrial, and Energy ETFs in Focus
avatarTiger_Insights
2023-04-10

Q1 Review: Where Are Opportunities After Bank Crisis & OPEC Production Cut?

Last weekend, OPEC+ announced a production cut, causing a surge in crude oil prices and making the current market narrative more confusing.On the one hand, the footsteps of the recession are getting closer. Despite the temporary relief of the European and American banking crises after the Fed provided temporary liquidity, the erosion of bank profit margins and the tightening of credit in a high-interest-rate environment have not fundamentally changed.On the other hand, stagflation has not ended. The rise in crude oil prices is likely to prolong the high-inflation level and limit the Fed's pivot.How should we allocate our investment portfolio?I. Q1 Asset Performance Review1. Major asset returnsSource: Bloomberg. Denominated in USD; 2023/1/1-2023/3/31Looking back at Q1 2023, major global ass
Q1 Review: Where Are Opportunities After Bank Crisis & OPEC Production Cut?

What is the difference between Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil

Recently, a friend asked me what is the difference between Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil. Today, I will make a special post to talk about it. Of course, a large part of the main content is written with reference to regular media sources.At present, there are two mainstream crude oil futures Contract in the market: one is WTI contract $WTI Crude Oil - main 2305(CLmain)$ , and the other is Brent crude oil contract $Brent Last Day Financial - main 2306(BZmain)$ .However, the actual name of the current Brent crude oil contract is called Brent crude Oil Cash Contract, which is a contract under Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group. Unlike the Brent crude oil contract that can be traded on the European
What is the difference between Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil
avatarTiger_Newspress
2023-04-04

How OPEC+ Production Cuts Influenced Crude Oil Prices in the Past Three Years?

Oil surged at the week’s open after OPEC+ unexpectedly announced crude output cuts on Sunday, with Saudi Arabia leading the way with 500,000 barrels a day of reductions from May. West Texas Intermediate rose above $80 a barrel, extending two weeks of gains as expectations of a tighter market added to easing concerns over a global banking crisis. Historical data in the past three years suggested that crude prices mostly went up after OPEC cuts. April 2020 was an exception under COVID hit.Goldman Sachs says crude oil production cuts by OPEC could result in a significantly larger deficit in the market, driving a rally in prices to $100 per barrel by April 2024, and raising the group's pricing power.Aside from a reduction from Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries, Russia also said i
How OPEC+ Production Cuts Influenced Crude Oil Prices in the Past Three Years?
avatarTiger_comments
2023-04-04

Will Oil Reach $100 and Push Inflation Higher?

According to media reports, US asked Saudi Arabia to increase production when energy costs soared and pledged to step in and buy oil if prices fell. But last week, the Biden administration went back on its word and publicly ruled out purchasing new crude oil.The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank also affected commodities. Therefore, OPEC chose to cut production to stabilize the market.Energy stocks surged yesterday, with $Marathon(MRO)$ up about 10%, $ConocoPhillips(COP)$ up 9.3% and $BP PLC(BP)$ up 4.74%. Buffett’s holdings - $Occidental(OXY)$ rose 4.4% yesterday; $Chevron(CVX)$ rose 4
Will Oil Reach $100 and Push Inflation Higher?
avatarTiger_Academy
2023-04-04

How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?

Large oil producers led by Saudi Arabia said on Sunday that they will cut production by a total of more than 1 million barrels per day starting next month, a surprising move that pushed up crude oil prices.The ups and downs of crude oil always affect financial markets.What exactly is the price of crude oil that professionals often refer to?How can the average investor trade crude oil?What are the pros/cons of trading crude oil?This article answer your questions!1. The 2 most commonly traded crude oil futures - WTI & BrentWTI crude oil, West Texas Intermediate, is the most liquid and actively traded crude oil contract in the world. The ticker is $WTI Crude Oil - main 2305(CLmain)$ . All crude oil produced in or sold for the US is valued aga
How to Gain From 25% Upside & 24h Quotes of Oil Futures?
avatarTom_Brady
2023-04-03

Don't miss out! What to buy after the surge in crude oil?

What happened?Last Sunday, OPEC+ unexpectedly announced a production cut of over 1 million barrels per day, abandoning their previous commitment to maintaining supply stability. On Monday (April 3rd), US crude oil futures opened and jumped by 8%. Several OPEC+ members are set to tighten global production by an additional 1.16 million barrels per day until the end of the year, further burdening central bank efforts to curtail global inflation — but critically protecting the alliance’s broader output strategy from political pressures. This unexpected cooperation among OPEC+ members surprised the market, as it was previously thought that the most likely action OPEC would take to deal with the growing uncertainty in the oil market would be to maintain existing production targets.Oil at $1
Don't miss out! What to buy after the surge in crude oil?
avatarTiger_Newspress
2023-01-03

2022 Recap: Futures Market Performance

Nickel future soared over 44% as global demand for nickel rose on EV boom. Brent gained 11% while U.S. crude rose nearly 7%. Bitcoin future tumbled 64% amid a rough year for crypto prices.The market for nickel is already being transformed as car batteries take over from stainless steel as the major growth market. The world’s biggest miner predicts nine in 10 cars sold by 2040 will be EVs, helping to boost worldwide usage of key battery materials including nickel.Oil prices swung wildly in 2022, climbing on tight supplies amid the war in Ukraine, then sliding on worries of an economic contraction, but closed the year with a second straight annual gain.Prices surged in March as Russia's invasion of Ukraine upended global crude flows, with international benchmark Brent reaching
2022 Recap: Futures Market Performance