🎁What the Tigers Say | Missed NVDA? Which Other Semiconductor Stocks Have Potential?

TigerClub
03-20

After GTC, the AI pioneer Jensen Huang and his associates have attracted significant attention from investors. Given the productivity transformation brought about by AI over the past year, and the notable performance of concept stocks like NVIDIA and AMD, semiconductor stocks have become highly sought after in global capital markets.

Aside from well-known giants in the industry, are you aware of other semiconductor stocks and related investment strategies?

Below are some insights from Tiger @nerdbull1669, @TBITrades and @Jo Ker . Which opinions do you agree with?

🎁Special Notes: Whoever showed up on the” What the Tigers Say” column will receive 100 Tiger Coins and an exclusive interview invitation to honor your contribution.

Click titles to read the full analysis:

1. @nerdbull1669: Discrete Semiconductor Stocks Potential Amidst AI Revolution

Key Points:

I would like to share 2 discrete semiconductor stocks which seem to be underperforming, and they are kind of boring, so most investors would not have them in their watchlist. But there are signals that they are coming up.

  • $Vishay Intertechnology(VSH)$

    On Feb. 7, 2024, Vishay reported an EPS of 37 cents, beating consensus estimates of 36 cents by a penny. Revenues fell 8.2% YoY to $785.24 million versus $787.15 million. The book-to-bill ratio was 0.75, with the end of the quarter backlog of 5.3 months. The company expected Q1 2024 revenues between $715 million to $755 million versus $795.1 million.

    If we looked at how Vishay has gathered much buying sentiment in recent weeks, we could be seeing more upside, and I would consider its current stock price to be cheap.

  • $STMicroelectronics NV(STM)$

    STM reported Q4 2023 EPS of $1.14, beating consensus analyst estimates of 95 cents by 19 cents. Revenues fell 3.2% YoY to $4.28 billion versus $4.31 billion. The gross margin was 45.5%, and the operating margin was 23.9% on a net income of $1.08 billion. Full-year 2023 net revenues were $17.29 billion with a gross margin of 47.9% and an operating margin of 26.7% on a net income of $4.21 billion.

    STM issued downside guidance for Q1 2024 revenues of $3.6 billion versus $4.08 billion consensus estimates. Gross margin is expected around 42.3% plus or minus 200 basis points. Full year 2024 revenues are expected between $15.9 billion to $16.9 million versus $17.29 billion consensus estimates with gross margin in the low to mid 40% range.

    Here we could see that STM is currently trending lower and there have been more selling than buying, but I would think if the demand for discrete chip goes up, STM should benefit from it.

2. @TBITrades: My Watchlist [78]: MRVL... Marvellous towards 91.18?

Key Points:

  • Ascending broadening wedge expansion pattern with a measured move towards 91.18.

  • Holding the 66.24 pivot will be key, otherwise we could head towards 64.23 and lower - investors can start accumulating at current levels though.

  • MRVL is yet to make new ATHs, but fractals and patterns from all the other chipmakers suggest that we will eventually hit those levels.

  • Another interesting thing I noticed was that MRVL is the only chipmaker that is yet to make new ATHs. The ones that I look at (NVDA, AMD, SMCI, TSM, LRCX, AVGO, MU etc.) have all made new ATHs. Patterns tend to repeat themselves - at one stage AMD was lagging but made new ATHs. TSM and MU lagged for even longer but eventually found momentum to make new ATHs. It is likely that MRVL will be no exception and will eventually see fresh ATHs above 93.85.

3. @Jo Ker:

Key Points:

  • If the retracement of Nvidia and SuperMicron is any guidance, this grossly overpriced stock will only falls quicker in a pullback. It has nothing to do with if SoftBank decide to take profits on their holdings (if they decide to take profits at the overpriced price levels now, the fall in price will only accelerate ).

  • There is not even very high short ratio (>10%) in the stock for near term trading. The sellers are investors taking profits at these inflated prices.

  • Therefore, a good option trade will be to buy puts and hold till the price breaks the $120 level and falls to below $100 with the breakout!$ARM 20240419 140.0 PUT$ 

Questions for you:

Aside from well-known giants in the industry, are you aware of other semiconductor stocks and related investment strategies?

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⏰Duration

  • 27 Mar (24pm EDT)

Which Stock Will Benefit From AI Race?
The AI sector is undoubtedly one of the hottest sectors in the market, which pushed SaaS stocks and chip stocks to go higher. Microsoft surged to a fresh record high after the company announced the launch of its latest AI assistant, Microsoft Copilot for Security. Adobe becomes the victim of AI development and plunged 11% in the extended trading. ----------------- Which AI stock is your TOP pick? Is it a software company that develops AI? Or is it a chip company that provides computing power?
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Comments

  • Shyon
    03-20
    Shyon

    $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ , a Dutch company that designs and builds systems and software used in the production of semiconductor chips. It is the only company in the world that currently manufactures extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, which enables the production of smaller, faster, more powerful microchips through the use of a shorter wavelength of light.

    Although ASML enjoys a near-monopoly status with regards to their EUV lithography systems, there is speculation that increasing trade restrictions with China could put a damper on ASML's performance. China was ASML's third-biggest market in 2022, representing about 15% of its revenue. China has also enacted retaliatory export regulations on rare earth metals needed for chip manufacturing, which could drive the price of these key resources up and/or potentially require ASML to seek alternative production methods.

    ASML is not the only company that makes microchip production systems, but it is the only company in the world that currently produces EUV lithography machines. ASML continues to innovate and maintain its status as one of the most important players in the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 

    Personally, I think semiconductor microchips are at the core of most of the technology we use today, from phones to planes, cars to computers, and medical to military applications, and demand for the types of chips that ASML's technology facilitates is only expected to continue to grow, both steadily and significantly. I am generally bullish for all the semiconductor stocks $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$  $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$  


    @TigerStars  @Daily_Discussion  @CaptainTiger  @MillionaireTiger  @Tiger_comments  @TigerClub  

  • Universe宇宙
    03-20
    Universe宇宙
    Other semiconductor stocks? maybe $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ , $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ [Thinking] What do you think, @TigerGPT , give me pros and cons for these stocks. Thank you.
    • TigerGPTReplyUniverse宇宙

      Here is the analysis of the semiconductor stocks you mentioned:

      ARM Holdings Ltd (ARM):

      Business and Industry: ARM Holdings is a leading semiconductor intellectual property (IP) company. They design and license technology used in a wide range of electronic devices, including smartphones, tablets, and IoT devices. The semiconductor industry is expected to grow in the future due to increasing demand for advanced technology and connectivity.  

      Earnings: In the latest earnings report (2023Q4), ARM Holdings reported an EPS of 5.21. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 51.37% and a net profit margin of 28.30%. The forecasted EPS for 2024FY is 19.22 (EUR).  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows mixed trends, with both inflows and outflows in the past five days. The stock price is currently at 954.5 USD.  

      Valuation: Analysts have a target price range of 761.18 USD to 1117.0 USD, with a mean target price of 955.03 USD. The analyst recommendation is mixed, with 4 recommending, 5 buying, and 2 holding the stock.  

        

      Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM):

      Business and Industry: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is the world's largest semiconductor foundry. They provide manufacturing services for various semiconductor companies. The semiconductor industry is expected to grow due to increasing demand for chips in various applications.  

      Earnings: In the latest earnings report (2023Q4), TSM reported an EPS of 9.21. The company has a gross profit margin of 53.04% and a net profit margin of 38.16%. The forecasted EPS for 2024FY is 5.76 (USD).  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows mixed trends, with both inflows and outflows in the past five days. The stock price is currently at 135.86 USD.  

      Valuation: Analysts have a target price range of 100.0 USD to 168.0 USD, with a mean target price of 133.14 USD. The analyst recommendation is positive, with 6 recommending and 6 buying the stock.  

        

      ASML Holding NV (ASML):

      Business and Industry: ASML Holding is a leading supplier of photolithography systems used in the semiconductor industry. Their systems are essential for the production of advanced chips. The semiconductor industry is expected to grow due to increasing demand for advanced chips in various applications.  

      Earnings: In the latest earnings report (2023Q4), ASML reported an EPS of 0.08. The company has a gross profit margin of 95.63% and a net profit margin of 10.56%. The forecasted EPS for 2024FY is 1.20 (USD).  

      Capital Flow: The recent capital flow data shows mixed trends, with both inflows and outflows in the past five days. The stock price is currently at 126.8 USD.  

      Valuation: Analysts have a target price range of 55.4 USD to 180.0 USD, with a mean target price of 105.51 USD. The analyst recommendation is mixed, with 4 recommending, 12 buying, 11 holding, 1 underperforming, and 1 selling the stock.  

        

      Please note that the above analysis is based on available data and should not be considered as investment advice. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

    • Universe宇宙ReplyTigerGPT
      [OMG]
    • TigerGPT

      Sorry! I can't answer this question.

  • icycrystal
    03-21
    icycrystal
    I think for those with smaller  market shares in the market will probably be difficult to beat giant companies like NVDA... thus, better to stick to this giant for stability and are more liquid...

    @koolgal @HelenJanet @GoodLife99 @rL @Shyon @LMSunshine @Universe宇宙 @Aqa @DiAngel

    Aside from well-known giants in the industry, are you aware of other semiconductor stocks and related investment strategies?


    🎁Prizes

    🐯 All valid comments on the following post will receive 5 Tiger Coins.

  • nomadic_m
    03-21
    nomadic_m
    no, dont have time to research on other semicon companies. they all do great, no doubt. I'm loyal to $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$. it is still my lover, but I bought $GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF(NVDL)$ instead this time. stock split timing was perfect - few days before GTC. will close position soon. not ideal to hold leveraged stocks
  • Success88
    03-21
    Success88
    Just sharing about the TSMC advance packaging theory and supply to who.
    Check my post. ✌️ @TigerClub
  • Optionspuppy
    03-21
    Optionspuppy
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