A grim end to February, will volatility increase in March?

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03-02
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The last trading day of February has ended. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 5954.5 yesterday, down 1.24% for the month; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ closed at 18847.28, down 3.97% for the month; and $DJIA(.DJI)$ closed at 43840.91, down 1.58%.

The Fear and Greed Index indicates that the market has reached extreme fear.


A grim end to February, will volatility increase in March?

Historical data from global stock markets shows a noticeable seasonal pattern, where market performance tends to be better from November to April, and worse from May to October.

March is a typical "March Effect" month, often associated with the end of the financial year and the start of a new one, influencing investment decisions.

However, the likelihood of negative returns in March is higher than in any other month. Over the past 23 years, March has shown negative returns 56% of the time, the highest of any month.

Many companies and large market players may not want to show too much exposure to risky assets like equities on their balance sheets. Therefore, they may choose to liquidate their positions at the end of the fiscal year, on March 31, to show a higher cash position.

Ashish Goel, Managing Partner and CEO of Investsavvy PMS, said, "Companies tend to liquidate their equity positions, show profits in their year-end balance sheets, and take new positions in the new financial year."

March 15 is the deadline for the payment of 100% of advance taxes. Although companies typically pay taxes quarterly now, not concentrating payments at year-end, both individuals and companies still settle any remaining taxes in the final quarter. This can also lead to the selling of stocks or mutual funds to raise cash.

Did you buy the dip in February?

What do you think about the market trend in March?

Will the volatility increase in March?

Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

Market Rebound: Is March the Toughest Month to Trade?
The recent U.S. stock market has been volatile, with the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones all ending their four-week losing streak last week after a continued decline. Do you see any opportunities to go long now? Is March the toughest month to trade?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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  • Barcode
    03-02
    Barcode

    $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 🚀📉⚡ March Madness or Market Mayhem? Buckle Up for the Ride! ⚡📉🚀

    February slinked off like a chastened gambler, leaving the markets to lick their wounds. The S&P 500 slumped to 5954.5, down a modest 1.24%, while the NASDAQ took a meatier hit at 18847.28, off 3.97%. The DJIA, ever the stoic, settled at 43840.91, shedding 1.58%. Meanwhile, the Fear & Greed Index is blaring “Extreme Fear”, a klaxon so loud it’s practically begging contrarians to RSVP. But as we flip the calendar to March, the real question looms, Are we in for a genteel dip or a full on fiscal fracas?

    March is the market’s enfant terrible. Over the past 23 years, it’s clocked negative returns a whopping 56% of the time, the highest batting average for misery of any month. Why the perennial pout? Consider the culprits;

    📌 Institutional Window Dressing, Big players shuffle their portfolios, ditching riskier assets to primp their balance sheets for fiscal year end glamour shots.

    📌 Taxman Cometh, March 15 marks a corporate tax deadline in the U.S., often sparking sell offs as firms scrape together cash. Uncle Sam doesn’t take IOUs.

    📌 Global Ripples, While America’s fiscal year ends in September, markets like India’s wrap up in March, tossing extra chaos into the global mix.

    Yet, don’t let the grim stats fool you, March isn’t a one note dirge. The S&P 500 often stumbles out of the gate only to pirouette into a mid month rebound. It’s less a bloodbath, more a bipolar ballet. Chaos? Sure. Opportunity? You bet.

    On that note, I pounced on February’s swoon to scoop up NVDA. Why? Its AI and data centre dominance isn’t a roll of the dice, it’s a calculated strut into the future. While the market frets over volatility, NVIDIA’s fundamentals stand like a fortress. I’m betting its chips, pun intended, will power us through any March madness. Did I mention I snagged it on the dip? Call it my contrarian victory lap.

    So, what’s the March forecast, tempest or triumph? Volatility’s a lock, but the tea leaves hint at a sneaky rally if you squint. The Fear & Greed Index might scream panic, but panic’s often the prelude to profit. Still, a dollop of caution won’t hurt, March has a knack for keeping us guessing.

    🚨 Volatility Spike or Overblown Hype? Are we staring down a tempest in a teapot?

    🚀 Rebound or Retreat? Will mid month magic save the day, or should we brace for more bruises?

    💰 Your Move, Maverick, Did you buy February’s dip? What’s your March playbook?

    Now, your turn, Tigers. Did you scoop up a bargain in February’s swoon, or are you holding your chips? What’s your March game plan, bracing for a storm or betting on a stealth rally? Bonus question, Is March’s mayhem overhyped, or are we staring down a tempest in a teapot? Drop your sharpest takes below, best one might just snag some Tiger Coins!

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow, Craving sharp setups, trendspotting, and strategies that slap? Stick with me, I’m all about decoding the madness and stacking the odds. Let’s trade smarter, not harder, and maybe, just maybe, turn March’s mayhem into our own little masterpiece.

    Here’s to riding the chaos, Tigers. May your trades be sharp and your profits plentiful. Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀

    • Ah_MengReplyBarcode
      I apologise not to be able to provide round the clock coverage given that I am based in 🇦🇺 rather than 🇸🇬. [Facepalm][Cry] Having said that, varying waking hours still offer certain advantages, no matter how small it might be [Grin]
      I am more of a value seeker but have started to try out a bit of momentum trading to go with post COVID trend [Happy][LOL][Gosh][Silence]
      I agree, gals offer different decision making idea to the table and are thought to be stronger fund managers than guys…
    • BarcodeReplyAh_Meng
      Different strokes for different folks! Looks like a full-scale character analysis has been conducted, if AI ever needs a talent scout, you’re first in line. 😆 As for my uncanny ability to spot value, let’s just say it’s part pattern recognition, part market intuition, & a sprinkle of late-night chart obsession, sometimes fuelled by a well-timed caffeine boost when insomnia decides to join the party. 📊🔥 A fund? Now that would require a compliance department, & significantly fewer impulsive moonshot plays! But I do like the idea of a Singaporean sidekick, market hours would be covered around the clock. Just need to know, are you more of a momentum trader or a patient value seeker?
      Spot on though, every contributor has their own style, but let’s face it, the females bring the perfect mix of intuition, analysis & a sixth sense for market moves. It’s not magic, just centuries of multitasking finally paying dividends! 😆🍀🍀🍀
    • Queengirlypops
      March madness here and markets bc 📉📈📉📈📉📈📈📉📉📈📉📉📈💹
    • BarcodeReplyAh_Meng
      🌎🌍🌏 No worries Ah_Meng, the thunder’s intact, but I see re-entry took a while! Hope the turbulence wasn’t too rough on descent.🚀 As for your post, mission accomplished, spreading appreciation for top contributors is always a solid trade. A little lift, a little momentum & the whole community benefits. Now, back to orbit or are you still adjusting to gravity? 😆🍀🍀🍀
    • BarcodeReplyMig
      😁💰💸Happy trading ahead! Cheers BC 💰📈🚀🍀🍀🍀
  • icycrystal
    03-02
    icycrystal
    time to go shopping [Smile] [Smile] [Smile]

    The Fear and Greed Index indicates that the market has reached extreme fear.

    @HelenJanet @LMSunshine @koolgal @Shyon @Aqa @GoodLife99 @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @rL @Universe宇宙

    Did you buy the dip in February?

    What do you think about the market trend in March?

    Will the volatility increase in March?

    Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~

  • Tui Jude
    03-02
    Tui Jude
    March madness starts today with AKL Uni back 😬 //@Barcode:

    $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 🚀📉⚡ March Madness or Market Mayhem? Buckle Up for the Ride! ⚡📉🚀

    February slinked off like a chastened gambler, leaving the markets to lick their wounds. The S&P 500 slumped to 5954.5, down a modest 1.24%, while the NASDAQ took a meatier hit at 18847.28, off 3.97%. The DJIA, ever the stoic, settled at 43840.91, shedding 1.58%. Meanwhile, the Fear & Greed Index is blaring “Extreme Fear”, a klaxon so loud it’s practically begging contrarians to RSVP. But as we flip the calendar to March, the real question looms, Are we in for a genteel dip or a full on fiscal fracas?

    March is the market’s enfant terrible. Over the past 23 years, it’s clocked negative returns a whopping 56% of the time, the highest batting average for misery of any month. Why the perennial pout? Consider the culprits;

    📌 Institutional Window Dressing, Big players shuffle their portfolios, ditching riskier assets to primp their balance sheets for fiscal year end glamour shots.

    📌 Taxman Cometh, March 15 marks a corporate tax deadline in the U.S., often sparking sell offs as firms scrape together cash. Uncle Sam doesn’t take IOUs.

    📌 Global Ripples, While America’s fiscal year ends in September, markets like India’s wrap up in March, tossing extra chaos into the global mix.

    Yet, don’t let the grim stats fool you, March isn’t a one note dirge. The S&P 500 often stumbles out of the gate only to pirouette into a mid month rebound. It’s less a bloodbath, more a bipolar ballet. Chaos? Sure. Opportunity? You bet.

    On that note, I pounced on February’s swoon to scoop up NVDA. Why? Its AI and data centre dominance isn’t a roll of the dice, it’s a calculated strut into the future. While the market frets over volatility, NVIDIA’s fundamentals stand like a fortress. I’m betting its chips, pun intended, will power us through any March madness. Did I mention I snagged it on the dip? Call it my contrarian victory lap.

    So, what’s the March forecast, tempest or triumph? Volatility’s a lock, but the tea leaves hint at a sneaky rally if you squint. The Fear & Greed Index might scream panic, but panic’s often the prelude to profit. Still, a dollop of caution won’t hurt, March has a knack for keeping us guessing.

    🚨 Volatility Spike or Overblown Hype? Are we staring down a tempest in a teapot?

    🚀 Rebound or Retreat? Will mid month magic save the day, or should we brace for more bruises?

    💰 Your Move, Maverick, Did you buy February’s dip? What’s your March playbook?

    Now, your turn, Tigers. Did you scoop up a bargain in February’s swoon, or are you holding your chips? What’s your March game plan, bracing for a storm or betting on a stealth rally? Bonus question, Is March’s mayhem overhyped, or are we staring down a tempest in a teapot? Drop your sharpest takes below, best one might just snag some Tiger Coins!

    📢 Please Like, Repost, and Follow, Craving sharp setups, trendspotting, and strategies that slap? Stick with me, I’m all about decoding the madness and stacking the odds. Let’s trade smarter, not harder, and maybe, just maybe, turn March’s mayhem into our own little masterpiece.

    Here’s to riding the chaos, Tigers. May your trades be sharp and your profits plentiful. Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀

  • Mrzorro
    03-02
    Mrzorro
    I didn't do any action in February since the market is not stable. I will expect more volatility in March.  Do your own risk, no pain, no gain! maybe March is a good chance?  [LOL]
    • koolgal
      Let's hope March is good for us😍😍😍
  • Shyon
    03-08
    Shyon
    February ended on a weak note, with major indices posting losses and the Fear & Greed Index signaling extreme fear. Given historical trends, March tends to be a tricky month, often marked by volatility due to fiscal year-end adjustments and tax payments. The high probability of negative returns in March reinforces the need for a cautious approach.

    I see this as a time to stay disciplined and focus on long-term opportunities rather than reacting to short-term market swings. While some may liquidate positions, this could also present selective buying opportunities for those with a strong investment thesis.

    With market uncertainty remaining high, risk management and patience will be key in navigating March. Whether this is just another seasonal dip or the start of a larger correction, staying informed and adaptable will be crucial. Let’s see how things unfold.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerGPT

    • TigerGPT

      Based on the news articles related to market volatility in March, here are some key points:

      February's performance: February was a turbulent month for the stock market, with major indices posting losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite suffered its biggest monthly decline since April 2024, and the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average also recorded their worst month since December.

        

      Historical trends: March tends to be a tricky month marked by volatility. Over the past 23 years, March has shown negative returns 56% of the time, the highest of any month. This could be attributed to fiscal year-end adjustments and tax payments.

        

      End of fiscal year adjustments: Companies and large market players may choose to liquidate their equity positions at the end of the fiscal year, on March 31, to show a higher cash position on their balance sheets. This selling pressure can contribute to market volatility in March.

        

      Tax payments: March 15 is the deadline for the payment of 100% of advance taxes. Both individuals and companies may sell stocks or mutual funds to raise cash to settle any remaining taxes, further adding to market volatility.

        

      Geopolitical and economic uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty can also contribute to market volatility in March. Factors such as tariffs, economic growth concerns, and policy shifts can influence market sentiment and contribute to increased volatility.

        

      Based on these factors, it is expected that March could be a volatile month for the stock market. It is important to stay disciplined, focused on long-term opportunities, and practice risk management. Selective buying opportunities may arise for those with a strong investment thesis, but caution is advised in reacting to short-term market swings.

      Remember, this information is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. It is always recommended to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • TigerGPTReplyShyon

      Thank you! I'm glad you found the answer helpful. If you have any more questions or need further assistance, feel free to ask. Happy investing!

    • ShyonReplyTigerGPT
      It is a cool answer
  • MHh
    03-03
    MHh
    I didn’t buy the dip in February because it is still not cheap enough. Volatility will be high in March as the trump’s presidential win wears off and focus is back on inflation and the possible risk of stagflation. The focus is also whether the 2 wars will end as per trump’s promise. Will prefer to wait further before adding any positions.
    @SPOT_ON @HelenJanet @rL @Wayneqq @Success88 @Kaixiang @Fenger1188 @Universe宇宙 @DiAngel come join
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