V Reversal... Trump "Fires" Powell? New Drama, More Volatility?

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07-17
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Yesterday, the market went through a nerve-wracking 20 minutes, experiencing a sharp V-shaped rebound. Trump escalated the drama by saying: "I’ve already drafted the letter to fire Fed Chair Powell!"

Following that remark, the market immediately took another leg down.

The chaos lasted around 20 minutes—until the TACO moment. Speaking from the Oval Office, Trump later told reporters: "There are currently no plans to replace him."

Black swan event? Major banks stand out to defend Fed

If Powell were actually fired, that would undoubtedly be a black swan-level event—a super bearish shock. A 15% crash in U.S. stocks in the short term wouldn’t be surprising at all.

One of the current uncertainties hanging over the market is the escalating feud between President Trump and Fed Chair Powell. However, senior leadership from some of Wall Street’s largest banks have publicly emphasized the importance of an independent Federal Reserve.

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, and JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon all made public statements yesterday underscoring the Fed’s autonomy.

These are arguably the three most authoritative voices on Wall Street even Trump has to pay attention to what they say.

Trump knows he technically can’t fire Powell. This latest drama is more likely a pressure tactic, trying to push the Fed into cutting rates as early as July, instead of the currently expected September cut. If the FOMC holds steady in July, markets may have to wait another two months—an outcome Trump clearly wants to avoid.

At the core of all this chaos is one man: Trump.

Not long ago, he had a public spat with Elon Musk, throwing $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ into turmoil.

Before taking office, he openly criticized Jeff Bezos, attacked his media platforms: $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and The Washington Post, and even suggested $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Mark Zuckerberg should be thrown in jail.

What do you think?

So many powerful people have had to bow to Trump’s influence—can the next Fed Chair hold their ground when Powell’s term ends in 2026?

How long will Trump keep stirring up drama and picking new targets?

Fortunately, it always ends with a TACO moment... Does that mean every Trump tantrum is a dip-buying opportunity in disguise?

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Comments

  • spagethi1
    07-17
    spagethi1
    Win 20 Tiger-coins
    Powell's dismissal would be very concerning. The fed can not lower interest rates without devaluing the dollar further. His replacement would be likely to lower rates which should promote strong stock performance when denominated in dollars but not in other currency.
  • highhand
    07-17
    highhand
    Win 15 Tiger-coins
    we need trump to create drama for the dip. then buy the dip. especially when trump posts on DJT. that's the plan for the next four years. crypto is pumping due to trump too. all is good until extreme greed reaches 99.9, then sell. [LOL] [Happy]
  • DiAngel
    07-17
    DiAngel
    Win 66 Tiger-coins
    Crying wolf story. It will be drama after drama if DT dismisses Powell. [Facepalm][Observation]😱🤦‍♀️ Unbelievable!!!


    @MHh @Universe宇宙 @melson @HelenJanet @Wayneqq
  • Cadi Poon
    07-17
    Cadi Poon
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    這可以說是華爾街最權威的三種聲音連特朗普都要注意聽他們說的話。

    特朗普知道他嚴格說來不能解僱鮑威爾。這部最新劇更有可能是一部壓力戰術,試圖將美聯儲推入最早7月降息,而不是目前預期的9月份削減。如果FOMC在7月份保持穩定,市場可能還要再等兩個月——這是特朗普顯然希望避免的結果。

  • TimothyX
    07-17
    TimothyX
    Win 10 Tiger-coins
    如果鮑威爾真的被解僱,那無疑是一個黑天鵝級事件-a超級看跌衝擊.美股短期內暴跌15%一點也不奇怪。

    當前籠罩市場的不確定性之一是不斷升級的世仇特朗普總統和美聯儲主席鮑威爾之間。然而,華爾街一些最大銀行的高級領導層公開強調了獨立的美聯儲.

  • 1PC
    07-17
    1PC
    Win 20 Tiger-coins
    It's fine 😌 already numb & was eating 🍿 enjoying the drama 😜. He is maintaining the TACO 🌮 status so that ppl don't forget him too quickly [Chuckle] [Chuckle] [Chuckle] The previous nominee's like Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg & current Fed Chair Powell's seem to have a pattern [Thinking] [Thinking] [Thinking].... maybe 🤔 Is it part of his post campaign script to return the sponsor a favour [Chuckle] [Chuckle] [Chuckle]... & it's a QUE that the Dip is coming [OMG] [OMG] [OMG] @Barcode @JC888 @koolgal @Shyon @yourcelesttyy @Shernice軒嬣 2000
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