Market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September continue to heat up. This has weakened US dollar assets and driven flows into safe-haven assets such as gold. Gold has broken through a key resistance level,standing above the $3,430 resistance level of the barrier triangle pattern.
With this breakout, gold reached a new high of $3,600, while silver has also surged. Spot silver broke above $40, its highest level since 2011.
$3,800 next stop or time for a pullback?
Are you moving into gold & silver?
Crypto is also rebounding. Also a safe asset for you?
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1. @Lanceljx:
Key Points:
The price action you described reflects a market heavily positioning for a September Fed rate cut. Lower interest rate expectations tend to weaken the US dollar and make non-yielding assets such as gold and silver more attractive.
Key considerations at this juncture:
Technical Perspective:
Goldās breakout above the $3,430 barrier triangle resistance is significant. Sustaining above $3,500 suggests momentum buyers are in control, with $3,800 a plausible near-term target.
However, after such a sharp run, overbought signals may trigger short-term profit-taking. Pullbacks towards $3,450ā$3,500 could occur without necessarily reversing the broader uptrend.
Macro Drivers:
The Fedās tone in upcoming speeches and data (particularly inflation and labour market releases) will heavily influence whether expectations for a September cut remain intact.
Continued weakness in the US dollar could extend precious metalsā rally, particularly if real yields compress further.
Silverās Outperformance:
Silver breaching $40 for the first time since 2011 underscores strong investor appetite. Silver often outpaces gold during bullish runs due to its dual industrial and monetary nature, but it is also more volatile.
Investor Positioning:
Flows into gold ETFs and central bank purchases remain supportive, signalling demand is not just speculative.
That said, a crowded trade always brings the risk of sharper corrections if sentiment shifts.
š Bottom line: Goldās path towards $3,800 is technically and fundamentally supported, but traders should be mindful of possible pullbacks along the way. For long-term holders, dips remain accumulation opportunities; for short-term traders, trailing stop-losses could help manage risk in a potentially volatile environment.
2. @Zarkness:
Key Points:
Yes good that gold be the anchor as history suggests that itās pegged is safest of all.
If gold goes to 3800, silver will be up 5-10% more.
3. @Mickey082024:
Key Points:
Investor Strategies: Navigating the Precious Metals Landscape
For Conservative Investors
Physical Gold & Silver: Coins and bars offer direct exposure without counterparty risk.
ETFs (e.g., GLD, SLV): Provide liquid, low-cost access to price movements.
For Growth-Oriented Investors
Mining Equities: Gold and silver miners often deliver leveraged returns relative to the metals. ETFs like GDX and SIL offer diversified exposure.
Royalty & Streaming Companies: Firms such as Franco-Nevada or Wheaton Precious Metals provide upside without direct mining risk.
For Tactical Traders
Options Strategies: Protective puts, call spreads, or leveraged ETFs can amplify exposure.
Trend-Following: Momentum strategies can capture shorter-term moves in volatile metals markets.
Verdict: $3,800 Gold Is PlausibleāBut Not Straightforward
Goldās breakout above $3,430 is a major technical and psychological milestone. The combination of Fed easing expectations, central bank buying, and dollar weakness provides a powerful foundation for further gains. Silverās breakout above $40 signals that the white metal may finally reclaim its role as the high-beta counterpart to gold.
Still, caution is warranted. Pullbacks and corrections are inevitable in such a crowded trade. For disciplined investors, these should be embraced as opportunities rather than feared as reversals.
Key Takeaways for Investors
Gold has entered uncharted territory, breaking through $3,430 and reaching $3,560, with $3,800 as the next technical target.
Silver has reclaimed $40 for the first time since 2011, with potential upside toward $45ā$50.
Fed policy is the main catalyst, with rate cut expectations driving the dollar lower and boosting safe-haven flows.
Central bank buying provides structural support, adding resilience to the rally.
Pullbacks should be expected, but they present buying opportunities rather than reasons to abandon the metals.
Conclusion: The Rebirth of the Precious Metals Supercycle?
Gold and silver are not just trading higherāthey are reasserting their role at the center of the global financial system. In an era of monetary experimentation, geopolitical fragmentation, and currency realignment, precious metals offer both protection and opportunity.
Is $3,800 gold around the corner? Quite possibly. But the more important question is not about price targetsāitās about positioning. Investors who recognize the structural forces at play and allocate wisely stand to benefit not just from the next leg higher, but from the broader revaluation of gold and silver in a world where money, credit, and trust are once again in flux.
For those willing to embrace volatility, the golden decade may just be beginning.
4. @ToNi:
Key Points:
Technical Analysis and Price Potential
From a technical perspective, the breakout above $3,430 for gold is a strong bullish signal. In triangle patterns, the height of the formation added to the breakout point often indicates the next target. For gold, this could point to a range of $3,700 to $3,800, making the latter a plausible near-term goal if momentum persists. Silverās climb past $40, a significant resistance, suggests further upside, potentially toward $45-$50, given its historical volatility and current demand dynamics.
However, the rapid ascent raises the possibility of a pullback. Goldās swift rise from $3,430 to $3,560 in a short span could push its Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory (above 70), hinting at a consolidation phase. A retreat to $3,400-$3,450 for gold and $38-$40 for silver would be a natural correction, offering a more favorable entry point for investors while preserving the broader uptrend.
Fundamental Outlook
The fundamental case for gold and silver remains robust. A September rate cutāpotentially 25 or 50 basis pointsācould further weaken the dollar, sustaining upward pressure on precious metals. Goldās role as a traditional inflation hedge is reinforced by ongoing global supply chain challenges, while silver benefits from dual demand as both a safe-haven asset and an industrial commodity. Mining output for gold has remained stable, but silverās supply could tighten due to increased industrial use, supporting its price surge.
That said, risks exist. A stronger-than-expected U.S. economic recovery or a hawkish Fed stance could reverse the trend, prompting a sell-off. Additionally, if the rate cut is fully priced into current levels, the announcement itself might trigger profit-taking rather than new buying.
Investment Strategy and Outlook
The current surge presents a golden opportunity for investors, particularly those seeking diversification or protection against inflation and currency risk. The $3,800 target for gold by late 2025 is achievable if the Fed delivers on rate cut expectations and the dollar continues to weaken. Silverās potential to reach $50-$60 in the same timeframe is equally compelling, given its industrial tailwinds.
For a strategic approach, consider the following:
⢠Current Holders: Maintain positions through potential volatility, with stop-losses set at $3,350 (gold) or $37 (silver) to limit downside.
⢠New Investors: Scale in during a dip to $3,400-$3,450 (gold) or $38-$40 (silver), enhancing risk-adjusted returns.
⢠Monitoring: Track the September FOMC meeting (likely September 17-18, 2025) for rate cut confirmation, alongside the U.S. dollar index (DXY) for directional cues. A DXY drop below 95 could signal continued strength in precious metals.
Looking ahead, the long-term outlook remains positive. If inflation persists and central banks diversify reserves, gold could approach $4,000 and silver $60 by mid-2026, cementing their comeback as key portfolio assets.
5. @Barcode:
Key Points:
Intraday / Swing Callouts:
⢠SLVP ($22.67): Intraday traders should watch for a retest of $22.40ā$22.50 (upper band midpoint) as a possible swing-long entry. Stop-loss just below $21.80 (EMA 21). Upside targets: $23.20 short-term, $24.00 stretch.
⢠GLD ($325.46): Swing traders can use $323.00ā$323.50 as an entry zone if price retests post-breakout. Stop-loss under $320 (Bollinger mid). Targets: $330 base, $335 stretch. Break above $335 confirms continuation toward $340.
š Valuation & Capital Health
Gold and silver arenāt valued on forward P/E, but miners are: $WPM trades at ~30x forward earnings versus peers at 22x, justified by growth leverage. SLVPās breakout validates higher NAV premiums. ETF rebalancing flows into $GDXJ and $SIL confirm capital health rotation.
āļø Verdict & Trade Plan
Iām positioning bullish with gold targeting $3,700 near term, $3,800 as base, and $4,000 as stretch. Entry zones: $3,500ā3,530 with stop-loss below $3,430 breakout retest. Silver: base $42, stretch $45. Miners ($SLVP, $SILJ, $AG) remain leveraged vehicles but require stop discipline. Confirmation signals: Q-scores holding at 5, RSI staying >65, options flow clusters rolling upward.
š Conclusion
I am extremely confident this isnāt just another rally; itās a structural rerating of precious metals in the face of a weakening dollar, geopolitical stress, and institutional repositioning. This gold and silver surge represents a credibility reset in capital markets where real assets reclaim dominance. Execution beats hype, and right now, execution belongs to the metals.
š Key Takeaways
⢠Gold hit $3,560, +30% YTD, breakout above $3,430 barrier triangle resistance
⢠Silver surged above $40 for first time since 2011, option Q-score at 5
⢠$SLVP daily RSI at 77.06, breakout +8% since last Wednesday, hangman caution flagged
⢠Net GEX: $556M, DEX $3.6B, call resistance at 42, put support at 37, HVL 39.3
⢠CTA Z-scores: Silver +2.96, Aluminum +3.31, gold momentum lagging at -0.67
⢠BofA reiterates $3,800 gold target, upside to $4,000; social buzz hypes āSilver squeeze 2.0ā
⢠SLVP 4H chart shows $22.67 breakout above Keltner/Bollinger, EMA stack bullish
⢠GLD 4H chart confirms breakout to $325.46, volatility expansion implies next stop $330ā$335
⢠Intraday callouts: SLVP entry $22.40ā$22.50, GLD entry $323.00ā$323.50 with stops and stretch targets defined
6. @Jackosen:
Key Points:
Just enter gold miner $Newmont Mining(NEM)$ and hope to ride the wave. Adding on to my silver miner $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$ to form the defensive lineup in my current portfolio.
Questions for you:
$3,800 next stop or time for a pullback?
Are you moving into gold & silver?
Crypto is also rebounding. Also a safe asset for you?
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ā°Duration
10 Sep (24pm EDT)
Comments
Silverās move past $40 is just as telling. With its monetary and industrial roles, it often outpaces gold in bullish runs, though with more volatility. I see potential toward $45ā$50 and prefer adding exposure gradually through ETFs or miners.
Crypto, meanwhile, isnāt a classic safe haven but works as a diversifier. The rebound is promising, but its volatility is higher. For me, gold and silver remain core safe-haven anchors, while crypto plays more of a growth role.
@TigerClub @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
PCT = Pandas Coffee Talk.
As all central banks replace US treasury with gold. Gold is on her way to $6000/oz. I am into GDX. YTD 86%.