October Effect or October Rebound? How to Trade?

The October effect is the belief that stocks tend to decline in October, often linked to historical crashes like Black Monday in 1987. A majority (71%) of polled analysts anticipate a correction in their local equity markets by year-end. ------------- Do you expect October Effect or October Rebound? What's your trading plan for October and Q4?

avatarszasza
2023-10-17
Today I have to do 6th of all my daughter and her husband is a reason Kind of love and love and care to you 
avatarShyon
2023-10-16

Nearby EMA200, what to do?

My recent technical sharing like to talk about the critical trendline support at EMA 200. Introduction The 200-day moving average is represented as a line on charts and represents the average price over the past 200 days. This moving average can give traders a sense regarding whether the trend is up or down, while also identifying potential support or resistance areas. The 200-day and 50-day moving averages are usually used together, with crossovers between the two lines considered technically significant. These crossovers may indicate a golden cross or a death cross. Stocks as case study The first stock will be Netflix. The company is going to release its quarter results this coming Wednesday. Without doubt, the revenue and profit will be the key decider of the stock price direction.
Nearby EMA200, what to do?

A gap between US credit cycle and monetary cycle?

There are two main reasons for the delay in credit tightening compared to monetary tightening in the current economic cycle in the United States.Firstly, during the pandemic, large-scale fiscal stimulus measures raised expectations for returns in the real economy and financial markets. This kept credit demand strong, despite the increase in financing costs resulting from monetary policy tightening. For example, banks did start to tighten lending standards shortly after interest rate hikes, and the tightening of standards for commercial real estate loans and business loans has risen rapidly to levels similar to early 2020. However, credit growth in terms of scale only began to significantly decline since the end of 2022, and credit spreads have remained low.Secondly, when the private sector
A gap between US credit cycle and monetary cycle?
avatarAsphen
2023-10-14

Line in the sand is Range of Support between 4150 and 4200 on S&P500

Weekly Charts to give us a view into where the market is where it might go What does SPX Weekly Chart show us? - We could be in the handle formation of a cup - The handle can pull back to the confluence of support between 4150 and 4200 - The current cup could still go up to fully form at the previous high of 4815 - Extreme bearish from a break down of the bear flag from all time high, towards 3200.  My Take - Whilst macro wise (war, inflation, rates etc) points to a bearish stance, let's not panic and let the price action show us - Current showing is that there is still a good likelihood of pushing to the All Time High - It is obvious too that there is a good likelihood pullback to go to as low as 4150 near term - But quite bullish if 4372 is retaken upwards - Respect the MA50 on a
Line in the sand is Range of Support between 4150 and 4200 on S&P500

Why this time, US Treasuries decides all assets?

Starting from early September, long-term government bonds represented by 10-year U.S. Treasuries have rapidly increased. On October 3rd, the yield on the 10-year government bond surpassed 4.81%, and the 10-year TIPS yield exceeded 2.45%, marking new highs since 2007 and 2008, respectively. This has had a global impact, with pressure on U.S. stocks and other emerging markets, and a significant drop in the price of gold. As October began, U.S. bond yields started to retreat, and the U.S. stock market saw some degree of rebound.With the recent surge of the "anchor of global asset pricing," an increasing number of senior Federal Reserve officials believe that the sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields, tightening financial conditions, can substitute for further increases in the benchmark interest
Why this time, US Treasuries decides all assets?
avatarShyon
2023-10-10

Hot counters 🔥

Recently, if you pay attention to the world news, oil stocks got a broad boost earlier this Monday, as the attack on Israel by Hamas sent crude oil prices surging. Energy stocks are higher, echoing a runup in oil prices as traders watch how the conflict is set to affect oil production and transportation in the Middle East. Benchmark analyst Kurt Hallead said he didn't believe the events in Israel would derail any agreements between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia over oil supply and prices, and he expects the Saudis will continue to enable a "soft landing for oil" in the $70-to-$90 per barrel range. Let's look at the technical chart of one of the energy stock, $Occidental(OXY)$ Bearish. Even though the short
Hot counters 🔥
avatardnp
2023-10-10
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4639628-annaly-capital-steep-plunge-unveils-bullish-thesis-why-rating-upgrade
avatarJC888
2023-10-09

US Market rises from October? Read & decide.

Of late, the internet has been flooded with posts by “veterans” dishing out negative news about the US —economy and stock market are on the verge of collapse (see below). When you come across such posts, how do you make sense of them? Personally, it depends who is dishing out such news? For instance, Mr Marko Kolanovic from JP Morgan is high profile when it comes to the US market. How could he not be, coming from $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$, US #1 international bank. Sometimes he makes sense but many a times, he,…. (fill in the blanks yourself ok).. LOL! Then you have Mr Robert Kiyosaki, accidental writer of best seller “Rich Dad, Poor Dad”. Listen to him is akin to listening to Ms Cathie Woods. Why would anyone listen to him when: He professed that h
US Market rises from October? Read & decide.
avatarTiger_Earnings
2023-10-09

Refinitiv: 9 of the 11 sectors saw positive revisions to expected revenue growth for Q3 ’23

S&P 500 Earnings Season to Begin With Big Banks and Financials at Center Stage$S&P 500(.SPX)$  Technical Summary5 Min: Strong SellHourly: Strong BuyDaily: SellMonthly:Strong BuyQ4 earnings kick off with the big banks and financials starting to report this week, with Friday, October 13th, ’23 being the day 4 – 5 bigger financials report, all of which will be covered this weekend.S&P 500 Expected Q3-23 EPS Revenue GrowthS&P 500 Expected Q3-23 EPS Revenue GrowthThe above spreadsheet table shows what the numbers look like for how Q3 ’23 expected EPS and revenue growth by sector evolved as Q2 ’23 results were reported for the S&P 500. (Remember, even though we are in the calendar 4th quarter ’23, we are awaiting results from Q3
Refinitiv: 9 of the 11 sectors saw positive revisions to expected revenue growth for Q3 ’23
avatarGoodgolddays
2023-10-09

Israel-Hamas conflict

Nobody would have expected this, except for Hamas militants themselves. In the short term, we may see a bit of volatility. In the mid term, we have to see if the war will be kept within the both parties, or will it be expanded into a regional war. If we have a severe way in the Middle East, energy prices will quite sure be driven up. In the longer term, it should not affect the US stock market by too much  ==== Check out my YouTube video if you haven't  Market Rebound! Seasonal Rally Ahead?? [LIVE Option Trade via Moomoo REVEALED] https://youtu.be/Xj0uQiOewDs $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ $Invesco Q
Israel-Hamas conflict
avatarNAI500
2023-10-08

Top Seven Blue-chip Stocks For Q4: UAL, GOOG, XOM, MCD,INTC, NVDA, AAPL

There is nothing wrong with chasing some of the stocks that are hot right now, but a good portfolio must include a fair amount of good blue-chip stocks to get a stable foundation. Blue-chip stocks are companies that are clear leaders in various industries and sectors, with a solid position, if not an absolute competitive advantage.Because blue-chip stocks are almost all large-cap companies, they are generally valued at more than $10 billion. Blue-chip stocks are also in good financial, whether it's stock performance, revenue or profitability.In addition to these, they also have a good reputation, built on the quality of products and investors' confidence in the company's mission and management. Using Portfolio Grader, here are some great blue-chip stocks that investors can focus on in the
Top Seven Blue-chip Stocks For Q4: UAL, GOOG, XOM, MCD,INTC, NVDA, AAPL

Buy a Dip in Global Stocks - Citi

Global Stocks have reached their most oversold level in 2 years and are likely to rally 15% by mid-2024 says CitiImageCiti strategists have urged the bank’s clients to use the latest pullback in global equities and increase their exposure to this group of risk assets.The team led by Beata Manthey said they forecast a 15% advance in the MSCI All-Country World Local Index by mid-2024 given “more balanced macroeconomic risks.” The strategists favor sectors exposed to the economic cycle, so-called cyclical stocks, as they expect a peak in interest rates, a mild slowdown in growth and a gradual cooling in inflation.“Until recently, our year-end targets implied down markets and increased volatility,” Manthey wrote in a note. “After the last selloff, we see a more attractive entry point. We would
Buy a Dip in Global Stocks - Citi
avatarpekss
2023-10-08

Will the Fed spoil the Halloween party?

With an impending meeting between 31 Oct - 1 Nov of the Fed officials to decide their next monetary policy move, the markets have been treading cautiously between optimism from latest job data showing a still robust labour market and pessimism from the sticky inflation that has shown no consistent signs yet of cooling to the Fed’s long-term target of 2%, increasing the odds that the Fed may resume its rate hike before the end of this year and hold the rate higher for longer. US government 10-year bonds have also reacted with record yields in recent years, igniting flees from risky assets like equities to the safety of US dollars. These have weighed on growth stocks like $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ and 
Will the Fed spoil the Halloween party?
avatarZEROHERO
2023-10-08

Don’t Bet Against Q4 Rally Just Yet! 🚀

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ again. Stocks posted a stunning turnaround on Friday, after initially falling on the stronger-than-expected jobs report at premarket. Technology shares led the S&P 500′s sector gains on Friday, gaining 1.94%. Can we see another positive Monday since we’ve 13 green Mondays in a row? 🤫 Employers added 336,000 jobs in September, the strongest gain since January and up sharply from the previous month's upwardly revised 227,000 gain. Prices of stocks and bonds initially fell sharply on the news, but both markets rebounded, as the increase in average hourly earnings was modest and job gains may have been distorted by seasonal adjustments. Traders were unclear of the reason for the intraday reversal. Some noted it could be the s
Don’t Bet Against Q4 Rally Just Yet! 🚀
avatarpekss
2023-10-07

Are the EV stocks going to party next week?

Shareholders of $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$  had a roller-coaster ride last week after it crashed over 20% to a low of $1.04 on Tuesday before recovering some lost ground to end the week down slightly over 16%. With a market cap of mere $21 million, the stock is susceptible to market manipulation and hence wild swings in the share prices. Shares of the cash-strapped electric vehicle maker has been weighed by its plan to raise up to $90 million, more than 4 times its market valuation, through new equity issue in a dire attempt to shore up its weak balance sheet and improve its cash flow to fund its working capital for its FF 91 2.0 development and production. However, intensifying compet
Are the EV stocks going to party next week?
avatarStickyRice
2023-10-07
Reverse, Reverse.$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  Stocks posted their largest intraday comeback since March as traders found the green shoots in a hotter than expected jobs report. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% today, bringing this week's decline to 0.3%. At its low today, the Dow was down 0.8%. The reversal was the largest from an intraday low to close since March 16. The S&P 500 had a similar reversal from its lows to close up 1.2%, locking in a gain of 0.5% on the week. The Nasdaq Composite led the pack with a gain of 1.6%, matching its weekly gain of 1.6%. So what happened? Markets were initially spooked when the Labor Department said the U.S. economy added 336,000 jobs in September. It all sets up
avatarphongy 45
2023-10-07
Awesome ... Soon will be bull again , all will be well , in control . 
avatarLionel8383
2023-10-07

Watch out! The yield curve is un-inverting

Since early August this year when the S&P 500 peaked around 4,600 points, the U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield has increased from below 4.0% to around 4.8%. US 10 Year Treasury Yield Obviously with the U.S. 10 Year at record levels last seen in August 2007, the markets freaked out lately whenever inflation data came in hotter than expected that enforced the rhetoric that the Federal Reserve will hike one more time in 2023. The last time the U.S. 10 Year Treasury topped 4.5% was in August 2007 Equity valuations are usually compared with a risk-free rate, where most analysts peg it to the U.S. 10 Year Treasury yield. Yield Curve Un-Inversion Taking Place T10Y2Y The chart above shows the U.S. 10-year minus the U.S. 2-year, which currently sits at minus 30 basis points. Compared to early July,
Watch out! The yield curve is un-inverting
avatarkingpol
2023-10-06
While oil prices were driving up, shares were declining in the 1st week oct 23. 
avatarysawm
2023-10-05
As October approaches, I find myself contemplating the age-old question in the world of finance: Will it be the dreaded October Effect or a potentially profitable October Rebound?  First, let's delve into what the October Effect and October Rebound entail: The October Effect: Historically, October has been a month that investors approach with caution. Some of the most significant stock market crashes, including the infamous Black Monday in 1987, occurred during this month. The October Effect often invokes fear and uncertainty, with investors fearing a repeat of past crashes. The October Rebound: On the flip side, October has also witnessed remarkable market recoveries. After steep declines earlier in the year, the market has often shown resilience and a tendency to bounce back in Octo