Will Broader Market Recover or Pullback This Week?

This year, the U.S. stock market has hit new highs on over 20 days. Investors have been living in constant fear of FOMO amid the continuous rise. The market plummeted, and star stocks pulled back last week. Some investors have shifted from buying calls to buying puts. ---------------------- Is the long-awaited market correction finally here? Or is this just a minor adjustment before the next leg up? Will you hedge the portfolio risk? Will the stock market rebound this week?

How did Nike lose?

$Nike(NKE)$ plunged nearly 20%, and it could have been worse if not for a buyback. What went wrong with the world's No. 1 sports brand? Will the current pessimism in the secondary market continue to spread?If we look at Nike's core product, footwear, we can see its business model in recent years and how it has missed out on the popularity of running culture.Ignoring grassroots running communities. Compared to emerging brands in recent years such as New Balance, Hoka and Asics, Nike seems to have little interest in promotions such as community running events. For this grassroots style of marketing, Nike appears to be overly confident in its brand and reputation, and its lack of presence could lead to its alienation from the core running community.Ni
How did Nike lose?

How will the 2024 election affect your investment blueprint?

As the 2024 US election draws ever closer, the eyes of global investors are once again focused on this political extravaganza. This year, we may see Trump and Biden face off again, and the policy ideas and electoral changes of both candidates will undoubtedly have a profound impact on global markets.State of the Election: Swing States Become Key BattlegroundsTrump has a significant lead in swing states, particularly in Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia.Dissatisfaction with the Biden administration is running high, and Trump has a narrow lead.policy assertionTrade policy: Both candidates favor high tariff policies, which could put pressure on global supply chains and push up inflation.Investment Spending: Infrastructure and manufacturing investment has become a bipartisan consensus, signal
How will the 2024 election affect your investment blueprint?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Who is the back-up of Nvidia?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week, tech companies led the index to new highs, but also caused concern among some investors. The amount of money pooled in Nvidia in the short term is very large, amid important events such as index shifts, while Apple should pull back for a potential $10 billion outflow.Through the close of trading on June 21, the best performers over the past week were $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +4.46%, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ +2.41%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +1.05%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ -0.42%, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ -0.84%,
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Who is the back-up of Nvidia?
avatarorsiri
06-24

Scaling the Heights: Investing Wisely at Stock Market Highs

Have you ever found yourself staring at a stock chart, its price line soaring ever higher, and wondered, "Should I jump in now, or am I just chasing a bubble?" This is a question that every investor grapples with, especially during those exhilarating bull markets. But fret not, fellow investor! With a touch of humour and a pinch of wisdom, I’ll guide you through navigating these market peaks and making sound investment choices. Chart shows positive growth and profit trends Dispelling the Myths: Highs Aren't Always Hazardous Let's tackle a common myth first: just because a stock is at a historical high doesn't mean it's overvalued. Picture a company that’s always innovating, expanding, and raking in profits. Naturally, its stock price will rise, reflecting its increasing value. Take ,
Scaling the Heights: Investing Wisely at Stock Market Highs

US deficit rate has risen again and again!

The fact that the market has pulled back is also inextricably linked to the macro! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The latest report from the U.S. Congressional Budget Office expects the deficit rate to rise from 5.6% to 7% in fiscal year 2024, with the size of the deficit increasing to $1.9 trillion. This adjustment signals the further force of the U.S. fiscal policy, market liquidity and the real economy will be supported, but the urgency of the interest rate cut may therefore weaken.Key Info1. Behind the upward revision of the fiscal deficit: The upward revision
US deficit rate has risen again and again!

20 June Market Hit Session Lows After Nvidia Retrace Earlier Gains

On 20 June (Thursday), we saw the stock market opened with gains, which was driven by strong performance from $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ shares which went up as much as 3.8% earlier. S&P 500 surpass the 5,500 level for the first time, thanks to Nvidia earlier gains. The Nasdaq also got an early gains of 0.4% but only to close the day session with a 0.8% decline. Major indices hit session lows as NVDA shares turned negative for the day. Heavily-Weighted Stocks Decline Influence Index Performance There were also declines in other heavily-weighted stocks that influenced index performance significantly. Significant declines from names like Apple (AAPL), down 2.2%, Broadcom (AVGO), down 3.8%, and Microsoft (MSFT), down 0.1%. Many stocks saw a pullback du
20 June Market Hit Session Lows After Nvidia Retrace Earlier Gains

3 Reasons for NVDA's falling

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 's journey to be the "world's largest stock" lasted only one day.After it became the world's most valuable public company on June 18th with a market capitalization of $3.34 trillion, it retreated in flames and fell below $3 trillion. Looking at the changes in the market over the past week, it's clear that the pace of sector rotation has also given consumption, energy, and financials a chance to catch their breath and rally.I. Sectors RotationNVIDIA's gains since its earnings report have basically come at the expense of other tech stocks as well as other large-cap weights. And the U.S. stock boom is all about symbiosis, so whereas when one stock phases in and out of other sectors, sooner or later it has to pay back some of that
3 Reasons for NVDA's falling

"Chewy's Q1 2024: 47% Surge in Adjusted EBITDA and Robust Free Cash Flow!

Chewy's 2024 Q1 Earnings Summary $Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2024, surpassing market expectations and announcing a significant stock buyback plan. Here are the key highlights:Sales and Revenue: Chewy recorded sales of $2.88 billion, a 3.1% increase from the previous year.Adjusted EBITDA: The adjusted EBITDA surged by 47% year-over-year to $162.9 million.Gross Margin: Improved slightly to 28.2% of sales, up from 28.1% in the same period last year.Net Income: Net income for the quarter was $66.9 million, a substantial increase from $22.9 million in the corresponding quarter of 2021.Adjusted EPS: The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $0.31, up from $0.20 in the previous year, significantly beating t
"Chewy's Q1 2024: 47% Surge in Adjusted EBITDA and Robust Free Cash Flow!

US Market Insights (24-28 June)

S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 managed to eke out 0.63% and 0.21% returns respectively last week. Some notable losers last week include Nvidia (-4.03%), Broadcom (-4.4%), Apple (-2.35%), and Meta (-1.86%). Overall, there was a mini crash in the tech space last Thursday and Friday, but major US indices still managed to rise during the week. Important events this week include Nvidia's annual shareholder meeting in 2024 and Micron's earnings results on Wednesday, the US presidential debate between Trump and Biden, GDP and Unemployment Claims on Thursday, and PCE on Friday. I am cautiously optimistic this week: 1) US stocks usually do not peak in the month of June: Since 1950, the S&P 500 generally hits its yearly high in December. It has never hit a year-high in June. Hence, I think stocks
US Market Insights (24-28 June)
avatarTiger V
06-22

Tech Frenzy and Market Adjustments: Breather or Correction?

Overview: As U.S. big tech stocks continue their blistering rally, including Nvidia Corp's $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  stunning 155% year-to-date surge, concerns are mounting over potential market overheating. Despite the S&P 500’s $S&P 500(.SPX)$  impressive 14.6% rise this year, the gains have been predominantly concentrated in the information technology and communications sectors. This has left other market segments trailing, prompting questions about whether the market is poised for a brief adjustment or a more significant correction, and how investors can hedge against these risks. Tech Stocks: Overheated or Sustainable? The tech sector has been the standout performer in 2024, w
Tech Frenzy and Market Adjustments: Breather or Correction?
avatarTiger V
06-23

Weathering the Market Correction: A Perspective

As we navigate through the market, the U.S. stock market, particularly the S&P 500 index $S&P 500(.SPX)$  , exhibits signs of strain. A deeper dive into market dynamics reveals that the recent rallies are increasingly driven by a narrow band of large-cap technology stocks, with giants like Apple and Nvidia$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   at the forefront. Despite the S&P 500 hitting 31 record highs this year, a significant portion of this performance is attributable to these tech behemoths. According to Bloomberg's data up to last weekend, about one-third of the index constituents touched monthly lows in the past month, far outnumbe
Weathering the Market Correction: A Perspective
avatarTiger V
06-22

S&P 500: Riding the Wave or Heading for a Correction?

Overview: In recent discussions, analysts from Stifel, Nicolaus & Co have shared a bullish yet cautionary perspective on the S&P 500's $S&P 500(.SPX)$   trajectory. They project that the index could soar to new heights, potentially reaching 6000 points by the end of 2024. However, this optimism is tempered by warnings of an impending market correction, reminiscent of past bubbles. Barry Bannister, a key analyst at Stifel, forecasts a significant retreat in the S&P 500 to 4800 points by mid-2026, signaling a potential decline of about 20% from its projected peak. Technology Stocks: Highs and Lows Ahead Technology stocks have been instrumental in driving the S&P 500's upward momentum, with investors flocking to th
S&P 500: Riding the Wave or Heading for a Correction?

Weathering the Storm: A Market Correction or a Mere Blip?

#Inflation #Econimic The recent market dip has sent shivers down the spines of investors, conjuring up fears of a long-awaited correction. However, a closer look at the economic landscape suggests that this may be nothing more than a temporary gust of wind rather than a full-blown storm. While the market's tumble is undeniable, it's crucial to assess the broader economic context. Amidst the backdrop of high inflation, the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience, defying expectations of a hard landing. Key economic indicators, including employment, consumer spending, and manufacturing activity, remain robust, painting a picture of an economy that is still very much in motion. Moreover, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, often cited as a potential catalyst for a correction, have
Weathering the Storm: A Market Correction or a Mere Blip?
avatarNAI500
06-24

US Stock Bubble to Burst, but S&P 500 Eyes 6000 First

Barry Bannister, the chief equity strategist at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., said with a wink, "I've seen enough bubbles in the US stock market to know they all pop eventually. But before that, I'm expecting the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ to surge another 10% or so."He's predicting a wild ride, folks! With investors piling in, he's betting the index will hit a high of 6000 points by the end of 2024. But then, It'll slide back to around 4800 points by mid-2026, a steep 20% drop.Bannister's got a point when he says risky assets, especially stocks, could see a swift correction. He's even setting a year-end target of 4750 points for the S&P 500, a 13% dip.He and his team said timing is key, and they know investors in this frothy frenzy won't be too keen o
US Stock Bubble to Burst, but S&P 500 Eyes 6000 First

Who wanna take NVDA stakes above 130?

The only big company that can still maintain an IV Percentile above 70% by the Fourth Witching Day is probably $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ as Friday's exchanges were really intense.There are those who want to close, those who want to rollover, those who want to sell "insurance" and those who want to go up to 150 in the short term ......After this drop on Thursday, the PUTs above 130 are in jeopardy of becoming in-the-money, meaning that the sellers (PUTs) will be the ones to take over the long side above 130."Taking Nvidia is fine, but doesn't really want to be above 130" is probably what most investors are thinking right now, so the pressure to close their positions, or the focus on Friday's session will be extremely high.Another big thing on Friday was
Who wanna take NVDA stakes above 130?

Is it a sudden drop or the selloff starts?

This year, US stock market has hit new highs on over 20 days. Investors have been living in constant fear of FOMO amid the continuous rise.Last night, the market plummeted, and star stocks pulled back. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ dropped 8% intraday yesterday and closed down 3.5% after losing its recently acquired title as the world's most valuable company to $Microsoft(MSFT)$.Will you hedge the portfolio risk?Some investors have shifted from buying calls to buying puts. My short put is losing due to the plunge yesterday.I’m not sure about whether I should cut losses or hold it tonight as tonight’s trade will be higher volatile.More volatility tonight?This Friday, US stock market faces the quarterly "Triple Witch
Is it a sudden drop or the selloff starts?
avatarShyon
06-23
First of all, avoid buying stocks during a downtrend. This will help prevent you getting sucked into a bear market trap. Reversals can be particularly severe at this time. It is also risky to hold on to a stock during a stock market correction. This is because drawdowns on major indexes pull the majority of stocks down with it. To make money over the long-term, protecting profits is crucial. Consider selling your weaker holdings, especially if you are holding a small loss or are at break-even. It is all to easy to switch off and become disengaged from the market when a correction is underway. This is a dangerous mistake because a market bottom can catch you unprepared. One should be keeping a close eye on the market and building a robust watchlist of top stocks. Look for names that are sho

Saudi-US Deal Expires Your Investments at Risk? | The Investing Iguana 🦖

🟩 In this explosive video, Iggy from The Investing Iguana breaks down the end of the 50-year petrodollar agreement between the US and Saudi Arabia. Buckle up, Iguana Gang, because this could shake up your investments! Here's what we'll cover: 📊 What is the petrodollar and why does it matter? 💵 How this affects the US dollar's global dominance 🛢️ The future of oil trade and emerging currencies 📈 Potential impacts on inflation and interest rates 🌍 Geopolitical shifts and what they mean for investors 💼 Smart moves to protect and grow your portfolio Don't miss this crucial update on the changing financial landscape. Hit that subscribe button and notification bell to stay ahead of the game! #InvestingIguana #Petrodollar #FinancialFreedom 🔔 Make sure to SUBSCRIBE and turn on notifications, so
Saudi-US Deal Expires Your Investments at Risk? | The Investing Iguana 🦖
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$   Tech stocks brought in $8B+ last week... I think this has to do with JP Morgan, BofA, Goldman Sachs, and Evercore ISI turning bullish and raising $SPY targets to $5600-$6000. Majority of the S&P gains this year came from large cap tech, and if earnings are not slowing down, it's just hard for funds to not have more exposure to them. If Q2 earnings continue to do well, these stocks may not burst out to the upside, but they will not be sold off aggressively, requiring some level of exposure. Rates coming down will be another tailwind to only help tech stocks continue to gain mom
avatarsubbu
06-25
I think the long-feared (not awaited)  market correction is still some wsy off. Still the market is very like to be choppy with lot of sideways movementbut a drastic correction is still not here - it depends on how the US poll scenario develops.  A series of major and minor adjustments would be vkming before  the next move. Hedging my portfolio risk will be through diversification and stop loss. Will the stock market rebound this week - hopefully so but the choppy movement is more likely of a normal for some months.