How will Debt-Ceiling issue affect stock market?

President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy have announced they have agreed in principle to raise the US debt ceiling and avert a default. For the market, reaching a debt ceiling agreement may mean the start of a new round of liquidity shocks, ------- How will the raised debt ceiling affect stocks market? What's your trading plan?

Will debt ceiling breakthrough be beneficial for SOFI?

The debt ceiling and interest rate hikes are the two major concerns in the market at the beginning of June. The debt ceiling bill has already been passed by both houses of Congress, while the implied probability of no interest rate hike in June has risen to 75%. Many Federal Reserve officials, including the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, have called for skipping the rate hike.Due to traders' increased expectations that the Federal Open Market Committee will not raise rates at its meeting on June 13-14, numerous fintech companies have seen significant gains. For example, $Upstart Holdings, Inc.(UPST)$ rose 9.2% on Thursday, $Blend Labs, Inc.(BLND)$ ose 3.1%, and
Will debt ceiling breakthrough be beneficial for SOFI?
avatarBtkm
2023-06-01
The US debt ceiling is the legal limit on how much the federal government can borrow to pay its existing obligations, such as Social Security benefits, military salaries, and interest on the national debt¹. If the debt ceiling is not raised by Congress and the President before the Treasury runs out of cash, the US could default on its debt obligations, which would have severe consequences for the economy and the financial markets². The impact of the debt ceiling on the market depends on several factors, such as the likelihood of a default, the duration of the impasse, the size of the spending cuts, and the market expectations¹. In general, a prolonged debt ceiling standoff could increase market volatility, raise borrowing costs, lower consumer and business confidence, and reduce economic g
avatarIsha Prasad
2023-05-31
Hi there, I  think is so  good about this one 
avatarBigJohnWins
2023-05-31
How will Dept cieling effect me?
avatarhhjsyndrome
2023-05-30
Debt Ceiling Drama It looks like the US confirm can avoid the debt ceiling crisis based on the latest news. You know how those US politicians are, always craving for drama and love being the center of attention. Confirm they will drag their feet and enjoy all the media spotlight HAHA. But jokes aside, I think the US government should have learned their lesson from the 2011 Debt ceiling crisis and won't wait until the last minute. But if they really do, the stock markets confirm will tank because the markets really cannot tahan uncertainty. Talking about the current market situation, we're in the bull market now. Even the NASDAQ up 24.92% YTD. Confirm the stocks will continue to climb if nothing uncertain happens or got any more black swan events. The only thing need to look out for&nb
avatarFutures_Pro
2023-05-30

Dollar Will Rally & Gold Price Will Lose As Inevitable Debt Deal Looms

By Kevin GeorgeAuthor of "The Stock Market is Easy - How to Avoid the Pitfalls of the Average Investor".Key Points:$Gold - main 2306(GCmain)$ prices could face a downturn as the debt ceiling drama is expected to resolve, leading to a market rally and a stronger r$USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ .UBS predicts gold to reach all-time highs by year-end, but the author disagrees, citing the triple-top resistance dating back to 2011.A debt ceiling deal or "breach" deal could result in a significant rally in stocks, attracting investors back to the U.S. market and negatively impacting gold prices.In October 2022 I said we were 
Dollar Will Rally & Gold Price Will Lose As Inevitable Debt Deal Looms
avatarSgpFlashIronMan
2023-05-30

Ned Davis Research:U.S. Stocks Getting Steadily after Technology Giants Rise

In May 2022, after large U.S. technology stocks announced their results one after another, U.S. stocks experienced the largest sell-off in 21 years. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ index fell for 7 consecutive weeks, the longest decline in 21 years. A sell-off unlike anything tech stocks have ever seen.However, in May this year, contrary to last year, almost all large-scale technology stocks performed surprisingly, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose steadily. Analysts believe that the rising trend of technology stocks will continue, and it is expected to usher in a bull market for U.S. stocks.Monthly Chart, as of 30 MayGood profitability against inflationThe pandemic is gradually receding, countries around the world all
Ned Davis Research:U.S. Stocks Getting Steadily after Technology Giants Rise

Debt limit made breakthrough, so did of US stocks?

Since May, the market's biggest concern has shifted from CPI to the discussion of the US debt limit. The media is creating an atmosphere of fear if the US government defaults. If a black swan event occurs, it will be unavoidable for stocks, bonds and currencies to experience a "triple kill". However, it is common for both parties in Congress to reach consensus at the last minute because no one wants to become such a "heinous criminal".As we have discussed before, with Republicans controlling the House of Representatives and Democrats controlling the Senate and White House, their main disagreement lies in raising the debt ceiling under certain conditions. Republicans believe that raising the debt ceiling must be accompanied by strict fiscal reduction commitments while Democrats hope to rais
Debt limit made breakthrough, so did of US stocks?
avatarTiger_Insights
2023-05-29

Institution Views| Market Liquidity Analysis Following Debt Ceiling Agreement in Principle

As of May 29th, President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy have announced they have agreed in principle to raise the US debt ceiling and avert a default. For the market, reaching a debt ceiling agreement may mean the start of a new round of liquidity shocks, as it would allow for the issuance of new US Treasuries.According to the US Department of Treasury forecast, approximately $1.46 trillion US Treasuries are expected to be issued in Q2 and Q3 of this year, which will inevitably absorb a significant portion of market funds.Source: Tebon SecuritiesWhy new issued Treasuries may cause a liquidity crisis?Generally, when new Treasuries are issued, the balance of TGA on the liability side of Fed will be increased. Assuming the asset side remains unchanged, the issuance leads to the d
Institution Views| Market Liquidity Analysis Following Debt Ceiling Agreement in Principle
avatarZEROHERO
2023-05-29

Deal Done To Avoid A Default, What’s Next?

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for SPY over the weekend again! Let’s get ready for more profit in the week ahead! Join me to raid the market 🤑 “We have come to an agreement in principle,” House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said Saturday in the Capitol. “We still have a lot of work to do, but I believe this is an agreement in principle that’s worthy of the American people.” McCarthy said he spoke to President Joe Biden twice on Saturday about the plan. “I expect to finish the writing of the bill, checking with the White House and speaking to the president again tomorrow afternoon,” said the California Republican, “Then posting the text of it tomorrow, and then be voting on it on Wednesday.” The deal, he said, “has historic reductions in spending, consequential
Deal Done To Avoid A Default, What’s Next?
avatarMr ak
2023-05-28
The space program is a global endeavor that involves the exploration and study of outer space. It has been a focus of scientific, technological, and political interest since the launch of the first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, in 1957. Today, space agencies around the world, such as NASA, ESA, and Roscosmos, continue to push the boundaries of human knowledge and capability in space exploration. The goals of the space program include advancing scientific understanding of the universe, developing new technologies and materials, and inspiring the next generation of scientists and explorers. The space program has resulted in many significant achievements, including human spaceflight, robotic missions to other planets, and the development of satellite technology for communication, navigatio
avatarAsphen
2023-05-28

Debt ceiling settled! What will it do to the market?

SPY - Keep an eye on QQQ! It will influence how SPY goes! - Reached ~421 on Friday rally - 2nd breakout above 416 in recent weeks - Area of balance remains between 405 to 416 - False breakouts and back into 405/416 range will just mean a head fake - 30mins chart see a possible inverse basing/cup - Debt ceiling deal done (just) may give a last push rally on Tuesday? - But "might" pullback after that - But as usual, do not predict, watch price action. ==> So any pullbacks to 416 will be my key watch My watch - 416 as a support level for pullbacks - Can still be a bull flag formation - Breaking back into 405/416 range will then watch for 414, 409, 405 levels - Mainly 409 as that is the full formation of the inverse cup Good luck, all Reminder - Observe, React, DO NOT predict! -------------
Debt ceiling settled! What will it do to the market?
avatarZEROHERO
2023-05-28

Debt Crisis To Be Resolved As Expected

$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ 42% gain from taking calls on trending Friday. Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ again. Looking forward to more winnings in the week ahead 🤑 Stocks rallied Friday on rising optimism that D.C. lawmakers will reach a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, led by the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which closed at its highest level since August. Two-year U.S. Treasury yields rose for an 11th straight session after the latest government data showed inflation picking up more than expected, and Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester said she would not rule out another rate hike next month. Avoiding credit score downgrade Debt talks are still ongoing, but appear to
Debt Crisis To Be Resolved As Expected
avatarHexyhex
2023-05-27
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avatarBeRich
2023-05-27
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avatarOursBlue
2023-05-26
Stock will stable 🙈
avatarEddie2121
2023-05-26
[Happy] [Happy] [Happy] 
avatarTiger_comments
2023-05-24

Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?

The White House warns of a potential stock market crash exceeding 45% in the event of a US Debt default. As the debt crisis continue to brew, the stock market now stays at a high level since Aug. of 2022. There are several dangerous signs of a possible pullback of broader market.Risk 1: Debt default may cause a 45% market crash?Analysts warn of more volitility in stock market.Back in 2011, the two parties in the United States reached a compromise at the last minute to avoid a debt default, leading to the first-ever downgrade of the U.S. Treasuries credit rating by Standard & Poor's.Some strategists warn that the stock market may experience volatility before June 1, the so-called “X-day.”Currently, as the deadline approaches, stock market investors do not appear to b
Risk Alert! Broader Market May Pull back; Tech Stocks Overbought?
avatarbs6969
2023-05-24
🐯🐻🧸🐻‍❄️📉🧸🐻📉Spy is bearish due to the debt ceiling I might enter sneakingly after the correction maybe Friday  $SPDR ETF(SPY)$  I feel we are not facing a simple binary outcome when it comes to the debt-ceiling standoff. There are several potential scenarios that could unfold, each with its own implications for the markets and investors. Let's explore some of these possibilities: Last-Minute Deal: In this scenario, President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy manage to reach a compromise before the deadline. While this outcome would likely provide temporary relief to the markets, it could still involve spending cuts that could act as a fiscal drag on the economy. Consequently, equities and non-government bond