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12-20 23:16

Still Grinding: Day Three of the Plunge

On Friday, the triple witching day, VIX maintained high levels at market open.Tesla dropped by 6% in pre-market trading, making many eager for a bottom to start buying. However, lower-than-expected PCE data helped stabilize market sentiment. Despite being triple witching day, put option activity suggests bears aren't making big bets. Wednesday's steep decline likely won't repeat; focus should be on next week. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPY saw many long-dated sell calls opened Thursday, with 2026 expiration strikes above 750, which isn't particularly relevant for current trading decisions.The most notable put option activity shows a clear range, with the top two positions being part of a large order suggesting SPY may gradually approach 577
Still Grinding: Day Three of the Plunge

Stock Market Plunge: Not Really Powell's Fault for Entering the Meeting Room Left Foot First

TL;DR: Next week's SPY trading range: 590-580.The title is a joke - I think it's unfair to blame Powell for the plunge.Wall Street is playing innocent by putting all blame on the old man. This plunge wasn't exactly unexpected; it had been brewing for a while. Institutions had been selling NVIDIA calls for two weeks at 140, waiting for a pullback since early December - they just needed an excuse for the plunge.The upcoming president's preferences are crystal clear - whoever triggers a stock market crash would be seen as opposing the future president.As usual, the FOMC meeting became the convenient trigger for the market selloff. Wall Street is using this opportunity for market correction, and after the adjustment, growth will resume its normal pattern.Regarding specific policies, the dot pl
Stock Market Plunge: Not Really Powell's Fault for Entering the Meeting Room Left Foot First

Review Ten Hot Options Opportunities for 2024

1. Capitol Hill Stock God Pelosi Profits Millions from Options, Stirring Public OutrageIn 2024, no politician's trading activities drew more attention than former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Pelosi and her husband Paul garnered widespread media coverage for reaping massive profits from stock and options trades. Earlier this year, Fox News reported that "Paul Pelosi made over $1.25 million in three months trading Nvidia stock."According to reports, Paul Pelosi, who owns an investment and consulting firm in San Francisco, purchased $1-5 million worth of deep-in-the-money Nvidia call options on November 22, 2023. Nvidia's stock subsequently soared by an impressive 61% from January to February 2024. Pelosi’s choice of deep-in-the-money options allowed him to leverage the stock's rally whi
Review Ten Hot Options Opportunities for 2024

Option Strategies: .SPX, META, TSLA& MSTR

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ has dropped 40% since moving up to 542 four weeks ago. MSTR is almost ready to be bought up for a swing trade into next year. When MSTR bottoms it will set up for a run back up to 540 and eventually 700+ depending on when #bitcoin is ready to breakout above 100k. Bitcoin will move to 150k-200k on the next leg higher.I would consider buying $MSTR in the 280-330 range over the next 4 weeks while Dollar cost averaging into this position. 2025 Target is 600 for MSTR 🎯2.TRADE PLAN for Lotto Friday βœ… $.SPX(.SPX)$ volatile day after the gap up, SPX struggled to hold above 5900. Core PCE data coming up tomorrow, If the
Option Strategies: .SPX, META, TSLA& MSTR

Bears Make Their Move, Betting on SPY Pullback to 565!

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The bears have finally arrived!On Monday, SPY saw large put buying: 20,000 contracts of March 21, 2025 puts with strike price 565 $SPY 20250321 565.0 PUT$ .Calculating from the strike price suggests a 5.8% pullback. However, there's another interpretation - even if it doesn't reach 565 (less than 5.8% drop), a panic sell-off could spike volatility, making these puts profitable.The correction range will determine its duration. A 5.8% pullback would likely take over two weeks, similar to April. A sub-5% correction could complete in a week, like September.To clarify, SPY typically sees spread trades (call or put spreads) since index movements are more
Bears Make Their Move, Betting on SPY Pullback to 565!

Seizing Opportunities: Earnings Report Leads to 2000% Profit

Unexpectedly, after six months, we witnessed another earnings report squeeze on Friday with $AVGO$. With two cases now in hand, let's analyze and summarize the characteristics of this special trading pattern for future reference.Why should we master identifying this pattern? Because of the massive profits. The Friday closing末ζ—₯call $AVGO 20241213 215.0 CALL$  saw a 3489% increase - this is true small-bet-big-return trading.The beauty of this pattern is that after Friday's surge, the stock continues to rise on Monday. If you missed Friday's rally, don't worry - you can enter at any time during trading hours, as the stock price will continue to rise next week.What is an Earnings Report Friday Squeeze?This is my informal nam
Seizing Opportunities: Earnings Report Leads to 2000% Profit

Option Strategies: FDX

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $FedEx(FDX)$ releases earnings after market close. We are contemplating getting back into the stock. Gonna sell puts at the 220 strike, Dec 20 expiration. Will take assignment if it drops that low after earnings.Based on gamma structure:- Call wall at 300- Put wall at 2402.Hey $Micron Technology(MU)$ ... you see what $FedEx(FDX)$ is doing post-earnings? That is what you were supposed to do! πŸ€¦πŸ½β€β™‚οΈFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
Option Strategies: FDX

FED Meeting: What's Happen Next?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.Well ... looks like the "Santa Rally" is not happening this week. Still have 1.5 weeks to go, but today's market price action is not very supportive. Good thing we didn't load up on calls yet.That VIX call skew won out over Santa. We might all be getting coal and not presents for Christmas. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 2.And that is why we don't trade much in terms of optionselling on FOMC week ... the move can hurt really bad if you guess the wrong way. Better to sit it out and wait for Friday or next week before entering into new positions.Follow me to lea
FED Meeting: What's Happen Next?

,SPX, TSLA& META: Retracement after FOMC!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ massive sell off after FOMC. SPX dropped 200+ points from the highs 🀯 ..If SPX gaps up and fails to reclaim 5900 I'd go short for a move back to 5848. SPX to 5800 in play nextSPX 5850P is best near 5890 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ now on the backside of a move after a run from 251 to 488 since early November. If TSLA breaks 429 it can drop to 400410P is best under 419 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ if this fails to hold near 600 tomorrow we can see 588 by Friday. 590P is best under 600Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
,SPX, TSLA& META: Retracement after FOMC!

Option Strategies: .SPX, TSLA& NVDA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will bottom this week and everyone will want in. A head and shoulders pattern is never reliable in a bull market. You really think the leading chip company in the world isn't going to participate in this rally? $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ price targets are $154 and $170 🎯2.TRADE PLAN for FOMC Wednesday πŸ“ˆ $.SPX(.SPX)$ another range day leading into FOMC tomorrow. If SPX can close above 6071 after FOMC we can see a key resistance test at 6100. SPX through 6100 can run to 6168+6100C is best above 6071 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ setting up for 500 test by
Option Strategies: .SPX, TSLA& NVDA

Option Strategies: .SPX, TSLA& MSFT

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with u!1Santa Rally is well underway πŸŽ… πŸŽ„ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ watch this run to 500 before the year ends.. 363 was the key breakout level.. The next level to get through for this week is 466 to set up for 500+. The Mag 7 all showing signs of strength before FOMC on Wednesday. If there's a positive reaction to FOMC we'll see SPX run to 6140, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ move to 550+ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ move to 468+.There's lots of opportunities on the horizon. Get ready..2.TRADE PLAN for Tuesday πŸ“ˆ $.SPX(.SPX)$ 6100 massive breakout level for a run to 6168+ this week.
Option Strategies: .SPX, TSLA& MSFT

Trading Strategies: .SPX, AVGO& TSLA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade idea: TSLA Dec 20 450C πŸ“ˆ Trigger: 437 βœ… Targets: 450,466 🎯 Stop: 431 πŸ›‘ TSLA- closed at 436.23. TSLA broke out above 400 last week and moved up to 436+.TSLA printed a new all time high after breaking above 414. If TSLA can get through 437 it an run to 450,456 this week.Calls can work above 437. If TSLA back tests 414 this month and holds this level, calls can also work. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Trade idea: AVGO Dec 20 230C πŸ“ˆ Trigger: 223 βœ… Targets: 230,236 🎯 Stop: 219 πŸ›‘ AVGO- closed at 224.80. AVGO gapped up from 180 to 205+ after earnings. AVOG is setting up for a run to 250,254 next. If AVGO can hold the 212 s
Trading Strategies: .SPX, AVGO& TSLA

Option Strategies: MSTR, TSLA& MARA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Was gonna write weekly puts on $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ in the low 200s, but premiums don't look as enticing as it once was a few weeks ago. Need to bring back some volatility. So, gonna skip for now and write on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Hut 8 Mining Corp(HUT)$ $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ and the earnings plays for this week.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Option Strategies: MSTR, TSLA& MARA

Option Strategies: SOFI, SPY,. SPX& MU

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Santa Claus rally starting this week? Based on historical data, this is where it begins seasonally. Probs low volume the next two weeks, but the market could still push up. $.SPX(.SPX)$ / $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ target of 6100 / 610 Looking at buying January calls or call debit spreads to play a potential move.2.Not a lot of earnings this week, but got our πŸ‘€ on a few tickers for Optionselling trades. Targeting the following put strikes.- $Micron Technology(MU)$ 84 and 96- $Nike(NKE)$ 65 and 70- $FedEx(FDX)$
Option Strategies: SOFI, SPY,. SPX& MU

Walmart's Massive New Put Options Activity & Chinese ADRs' Mixed Opportunities and Risks

Chinese ADRs are showing significant options activity, with diverging views on recent market movements. $X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares Fund(ASHR)$ On Wednesday, someone opened a position of 100,000 contracts in February 2025 29 calls $ASHR 20250221 29.0 CALL$ , while another bought 25,000 contracts of January 2025 27 puts $ASHR 20250117 27.0 PUT$ .Both options' transaction details show automated order placement, not floor trading.$KWEB$ options mainly saw new open interest in calls, with floor trading showing a bullish spread strategy, direction unclear:Opening
Walmart's Massive New Put Options Activity & Chinese ADRs' Mixed Opportunities and Risks

On the Eve of Pullback, Shorting Becomes More Challenging

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Today's options opening data revealed something interesting. Institutions expect NVIDIA's stock price for the week of December 20 to be lower than the market consensus. Institutions expect it below 141, while open interest data shows market expectations between 140-150:Sell $NVDA 20241220 141.0 CALL$ Buy $NVDA 20241220 149.0 CALL$ The overall market expects NVIDIA to likely trade between 140-150 during December 20 week, while institutions expect it below 141, with a small chance of 141-149.When such contradictions arise, which side is more credible? From a sensitivity perspective, overall option
On the Eve of Pullback, Shorting Becomes More Challenging

Chinese ADR Bullish Position Overview

Last week, I posted three consecutive threads tracking unusual options activity in Chinese ADRs. Below is a summary of key options positions for several notable Chinese stocks. Based on the strike prices, the first target price has been reached at market open. The endpoint of this rally can be referenced through the details of large order closures & roll-overs, which I will continue to track. $Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares(YINN)$ $YINN 20260116 27.0 CALL$ , 179K contracts open interest$YINN 20241220 33.0 CALL$ , 39K contracts open interest
Chinese ADR Bullish Position Overview
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Friends, small short sellers have surrendered and rolled their positions. Expect a pullback or halt in gains starting today.Institutions are closing 390-420 calls expiring this week and rolling to next week's 440-500 calls:Buy $TSLA 20241220 440.0 CALL$ Sell $TSLA 20241220 500.0 CALL$ Today is ideal for selling calls, but naked calls on Tesla are very risky without holding shares. I'll use a spread strategy, choosing the same strike price as institutions but expiring this week:Sell $TSLA 20241213 440.0 CALL$ , Buy

Upward Momentum Comes from Continuously Crushing Short Sellers

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ For those holding shares, consider hedging with sell calls in the near term. Based on opening positions, this week's closing price should be between 137-145.On Monday, NVIDIA fell 2% at open due to alleged violations of China's anti-monopoly laws. This has little real impact - it's just an excuse for a decline, like being fired for entering the office left foot first.However, the pullback isn't groundless, so hedging is advisable.Monday's options activity was dominated by sellers for both calls and puts.This week's 138 and 137 puts were mainly sold, and two January 2025 120 puts $NVDA 20250117 120.0 PUT$  and
Upward Momentum Comes from Continuously Crushing Short Sellers

Option Strategies: TSLA

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ It's been 36 months since touching ATH at 414, TSLA is setting up to test this key resistance level again this week. TSLA above 414 will run to 500+ next year. We’re about to see a short squeeze similar to 2021. If you catch this trade, you can easily 5x your account. Here’s my plan belowTrigger: TSLA above 389 βœ… Trade idea: TSLA Dec 13 410CTargets: 410, 417 🎯 TSLA had a strong breakout above 363 last week and is now setting up to test all time highs at 414 again after a 3 year consolidation. My target for TSLA in 2025 is 575-600. IF TSLA can form a base above 400 in Q1 2025 We will see a big run in TSLA. I’m bullish for the next 3 years.2.The hardest par
Option Strategies: TSLA