Simple Investing
Simple Investing
I am portfolio manager with experience working for a hedge fund and a long-only equity fund with more than $1 billion in assets under management. Focused on long term investing, I believe in a barbell strategy in a portfolio, where there are both growth and value elements, which will be reflected in my articles. CFA charter holder and graduated with degrees in Finance and Accounting.
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NextEra Energy: Executing Well Amidst The Storm

NEER solidified its growth outlook this quarter with yet another strong origination, alongside two framework agreements signed with Fortune 50 companies. FPL executed well amidst the two hurricanes, demonstrating the high quality nature of the business and the management team. The fundamentals in Florida remain solid, which will likely continue to be a growth driver for the business. With the growing backlog that extends well into 2027, the visibility into their 2027 targets continue to improve, which makes me confident about the company's ability to exceed the high end of guidance. Justin Paget I see NextEra Energy’s (NYSE:NEE) 3Q24 results as reaffirming my investment thesis that the company is well positioned to benefit from the expected
NextEra Energy: Executing Well Amidst The Storm

Microsoft Q1: A Rare Buying Opportunity Emerges

While Microsoft's FY1Q25 revenue beat may sound positive, most of that beat came from the More Personal Computing segment, with Azure only coming in in-line with expectations. Azure's 34% growth in FY1Q25 is in-line with expectations, but management guided to Azure growth of 31% to 32% next quarter, missing expectations by 1 percentage point. The key reason for the miss was due to third-party infrastructure providers that are delaying the bringing online of data center capacity. In turn, because the AI services portion of Azure is largely supply constrained, I expect that in the second half of FY2025, with easing of supply constraints, Microsoft should see an reacceleration in growth due to Azure. Morsa Images Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) poste
Microsoft Q1: A Rare Buying Opportunity Emerges

CrowdStrike: Bouncing Back

Summary CrowdStrike published revenue growth of 32%, free cash flow margin of 28%, achieving a Rule of 60 on a free cash flow basis. Guidance was revised down as expected, and the extent to which it was guided down was better than expected, alleviating fears of a more severe impact from the incident. Near-term temporary headwinds include extended sales cycles, more flexible payment terms, impact from customer commitment packages, but the long-term targets were once again reiterated. Customer conversations show that customers still see CrowdStrike as their top consolidation partner, and retention ratios continue to be strong even after the incident. CrowdStrike is seeding long-term partnerships with customers through the customer commitment packages, which provides customers affected by the
CrowdStrike: Bouncing Back

Aptiv: Strong Execution Gives Me Increased Conviction In Second Half Of 2024

Summary Despite the weakness in the market environment, Aptiv showed strong cost control and flexibility by generating strong margins and profitability. The company is aggressively repurchasing shares, indicating confidence in its undervaluation and a focus on enhancing shareholder value. Despite the weak operating environment in the automotive industry, Aptiv managed to book $4.3 billion in new business awards in the quarter. This includes continued traction in ADAS and market share gains at Chinese local OEMs. Strong execution, margin resilience, and strategic share buybacks position Aptiv for upside in the second half of 2024. Michael Vi Aptiv (NYSE:APTV) reported 2Q24 earnings which was as good as I could ask for given the current indu
Aptiv: Strong Execution Gives Me Increased Conviction In Second Half Of 2024

MSCI: Proving Itself To Be A High-Quality Company

Summary MSCI reported results that beat expectations on both top and bottom-line after a challenging 1Q24 that left the market in doubts. The rebound in retention rates from the prior quarter was a positive, and there was no deterioration in the current 2Q24 quarter. That said, MSCI continues to expect cancels to be elevated in 3Q24 compared to the prior year and that longer sales cycles continue to persist. MSCI announced new partnerships, including with Moody's, new product launches and continued innovation in core and new businesses as MSCI embraces AI. littleclie MSCI (NYSE:MSCI) reported results that were in line with my base case for the company, reaffirming my thesis that the weakness we saw in the business in the first quarter was
MSCI: Proving Itself To Be A High-Quality Company

Google: Attractive Cloud And AI Opportunity

Summary Google's efforts to durably reengineer its cost base, enabling it to expand operating margins even when it is investing in the future of the business. Google Cloud continues to benefit from cloud migration, and it is seeing market share gains and an increasing contribution from AI. AI will be a key long-term growth driver for Google, and the company is integrating generative AI into most parts of its business. Most of Google Cloud’s top 100 customers are already using its generative AI solution. While it is early days in terms of seeing the returns on investment on AI capital expenditures, management underscored that for Google, the risk of under-investing is dramatically greater than the risk of over-investing. da-kuk While the threat of OpenAI and generative AI has been a he
Google: Attractive Cloud And AI Opportunity

NextEra Energy: Becoming A Renewables And Utilities Juggernaut

Summary NextEra Energy has two main businesses: FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida, and NEER, the world's largest generator of renewable energy. FPL has strong tailwinds arising from a positive regulatory environment and as Florida sees strong GDP and population growth. NEER's revenues mainly comes from long-term PPAs, with 93% of revenues coming from long-term contracts. NEER's prospects continue to improve given increasing power demand and higher renewables and storage additions in the next few years. FPL is executing well with low bills and high reliability for customers, setting itself well for the rate case filing in 2025. Justin Paget NextEra Energy (NYSE:NEE) is a very unique company, which has both a utility business and a
NextEra Energy: Becoming A Renewables And Utilities Juggernaut

Amazon: Why I Am Not Worried About The Company

Summary Amazon's 2Q24 results beat expectations, with retail coming in mixed while AWS exceeded expectations. AWS saw acceleration for the third straight quarter, with management commentary skewing positive. Cost optimizations are likely a thing of the past and customers are now looking to add new projects and spend more on cloud migration and AI. Retail was mixed as Amazon continued to grow faster than the industry, but customers are reducing discretionary spend and trading down. There were also some encouraging announcements for Project Kuiper. Anderson Coelho While Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) has fallen almost 20% from the peak to the trough, I am not worried about the company. In fact, I have a buy investment rating for Amazon and r
Amazon: Why I Am Not Worried About The Company

Enovix: Growing Confidence In Execution

Summary Enovix is on track to produce its first battery samples with the EX-1M technology in Q2'24 and Fab-2 is expected to begin production in 2H24. Enovix has secured a development agreement with a top five smartphone OEM, representing a significant endorsement for the company. Enovix aims to launch multiple smartphones and IoT customers with the EX-1M battery by 2025. There is a clear product roadmap with continued innovation and improvement in battery attributes as the company continues to invest in research and development to stay ahead of the field. Enovix is extending cash runway through cost reductions, and it expects to have sufficient cash on hand to last through 2026. Daniel Grizelj Amidst depressed sentiment, the management team of Enovix (NASDAQ:
Enovix: Growing Confidence In Execution

indie Semiconductor: Star Performer In The Semiconductor Industry

Summary indie Semiconductor has been the fastest-growing semiconductor company out of 224 others over the past two years. The company is expected to reach non-GAAP EBITDA breakeven in 4Q23, making it the only semiconductor company that IPO-ed in 2021 to achieve this. The strategic backlog grew from $4.3 billion in 2022 to $6.3 billion in 2023, demonstrating strength and momentum in the business even amidst a difficult macro. The recent wins suggest that business momentum continues to be strong and further validates indie Semiconductor's product portfolio and technology. The company continues to innovate and launch new products into the market to improve its competitive advantage and improve cross-selling within its customer base. SweetBunFactory indie Semiconductor (NASDAQ:
indie Semiconductor: Star Performer In The Semiconductor Industry

Enovix: Setting Up For Long-Term Commercial Success

Summary Enovix's 3Q23 results show good progress on key milestones as the company transitions to scaled volume production. The company's vertical first strategy focuses on key large customers to drive scaled and efficient production. Enovix's EX2 technology has been well received by customers, and the company plans to launch smartphones in 2025 and scale into multiple models. The Gen2 autoline looks on track to complete factory acceptance testing by January 2024, and this will be followed by site acceptance testing and the start of sample production in April 2024. Enovix continues to show that it has a strong demand, a great management team, and a product with a solid value proposition. Just_Super Today, I will be reviewing Enovix's (NASDAQ:EN
Enovix: Setting Up For Long-Term Commercial Success

Amazon: Delivering Strength As We Enter 2024

Summary Amazon's 3Q23 revenue of $143.1 billion exceeded expectations and was at the high end of guidance. Operating income of $11.2 billion beat guidance by 32%, with outperformance in multiple areas, including North American Retail and AWS. The company also provided an update on its generative AI traction. Prime Video's traction remains encouraging, and it looks like it can be a large and profitable business on its own. Daria Nipot Today, I will be reviewing the opportunity for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). Given that this is the second consecutive quarter of strong margin improvement for Amazon, I also revised my financial forecasts for the company and the corresponding intrinsic values and price targets were also revised higher. 3Q23 3Q23 reve
Amazon: Delivering Strength As We Enter 2024

Sea Limited: Sell-Off Creates An Attractive Investment Opportunity For Long-Term Investors

Summary One of the most important takeaways from 3Q23 was management's strategy for Shopee, which is to maximize long-term profitability through strong market leadership and scale. To achieve their long-term objective of maximizing profitability in the long run, the management team looks at three key operational factors, which are growth, current profitability and market share gain. Sea Limited is in an investment mode today, given rising competitive pressures to ensure it maintains its scale and market leadership for tomorrow. The company is investing in e-commerce live streaming and logistics to drive growth, market share gain, and improve user experience. I continue to see Sea Limited as an attractive investment for long-term investors given the quality of the management team and the co
Sea Limited: Sell-Off Creates An Attractive Investment Opportunity For Long-Term Investors

Tesla: Slowing Growth Brings Growing Worries (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Tesla, Inc. posted weaker revenues, margins, and free cash flows as there are clear headwinds not just from macro factors, including debates about competition and EV adoption. In particular, management's tone was negative during the Q3 2023 earnings call, with a heavy emphasis on the high-interest rate as a significant headwind for its business and consumer sentiment. Tesla also lowered expectations for Cybertruck due to difficulties in ramping the Cybertruck as it involves a new design and technology. Furthermore, expectations were also managed for its 50% growth target and Mexico factory due to the difficult macroeconomic environment. baona Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is seeing some dark clouds ahead for its business as high-intere
Tesla: Slowing Growth Brings Growing Worries (Rating Downgrade)

HashiCorp: A Solid Business Model And A Huge Opportunity

Summary HashiCorp was created to provide automation tools for organizations adopting multiple clouds. HashiCorp offers a unique product portfolio that covers every layer of the modern app stack, with Terraform and Vault being its core products. It has a differentiating sales strategy based on a freemium model, starting with an open-source usage before moving to commercialization. Its multi-prong strategy utilizing the open-source business model, ecosystem of partners and direct sales, is helping to land, expand and retain customers efficiently. Just_Super HashiCorp (NASDAQ:HCP) has been on my list for some time. This company is not the most popular stock, but its products are essential to the cloud environment we live in today. This article
HashiCorp: A Solid Business Model And A Huge Opportunity

Navitas Semiconductor: Clear GaN Technology Leader

Summary Navitas brings a strong value proposition in the power semiconductor industry with its GaN integrated circuit, which brings speed, energy savings and efficiency and lower weight and size. The company is gaining traction outside of its initial mobile market, diversifying its revenue into data center, solar and EV, as well as home appliances and industrial markets. Navitas has a strong competitive advantage as it is the only producer of GaN integrated circuits and this advantage is protected by a solid patent portfolio. The management team is led by four of Navitas co-founders, with the CEO and COO/CTO having strong alignment to shareholders with the equity incentive plan in place. SweetBunFactory Navitas Semiconductor (NASDAQ:NVTS)
Navitas Semiconductor: Clear GaN Technology Leader

Rocket Lab: Reaching For The Stars

Summary Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is highly successful as a fast follower in its launch segment, second only to SpaceX in the U.S. In addition, Neutron is expected to add to its product portfolio and bring margin upside to the company as it meets the different needs of its customers. Rocket Lab has strong competitive advantages including its two launch complexes, deep vertical integration, innovation in new technologies, and an end-to-end space solution for customers. Rocket Lab's Neutron looks good and able to compete meaningfully with SpaceX's Falcon 9 when released. mikkelwilliam Private sector investments into the space industry have been g
Rocket Lab: Reaching For The Stars

Increasing Market Woes Are Hard To Deny

miniseries The S&P 500 (SPX) has had a rather strong year so far, with returns of 17% year-to-date. Data by YCharts This was despite concerns that the US may go into a recession as early as the first half of 2023, but clearly, markets continued to power through as corporate earnings were better than expected and new drivers of the stock market like generative AI were introduced and well received by the market. Here, in this article, I am not attempting to predict the macro backdrop or future of the economy. I think that predicting the macro is the job of economists and even economists get it right half the time. As a result, I don't think that this exercise is very much useful for a bot
Increasing Market Woes Are Hard To Deny

Mobileye: Differentiating Itself Into A Leader In ADAS And AV

choi dongsu Self-driving has been the talk for a long time now. One of the names often mentioned in these talks include Mobileye (NASDAQ:MBLY), one of the leaders in the industry. Today, in the article, I will dive deep into Mobileye and explain why I think Mobileye is a highly differentiated player and a leader in the space. Let's start looking into Mobileye! Brief introduction In 1999, Mobileye was founded by Professor Amnon Shashua. In the early days, Shashua worked with two close friends, Ziv Aviram and Norio Ichihashi. Aviram was in charge of the operations, finance, and investor relations while Shashua was in charge of the strategic vision, technology, and R&D of the c
Mobileye: Differentiating Itself Into A Leader In ADAS And AV

Origin Materials: A Deep Dive Into The Carbon Negative Materials Leader

Claudio Rampinini Having been in the investment world for some time now, there are some areas within the investment space that are what I call alpha generators. The companies that are pivotal in the move towards net zero and to achieve the ambitious targets set by governments and corporations will continue to generate alpha, in my view. This excess returns generated by this group of companies are a result of excess demand for their products and services in order meet these targets, incentives and grants provided by governments and agencies to lower their costs of operations and the urgency from individuals, corporations and governments to move to lower their carbon emissions and move towards net zero. With that in mind, today's deep dive research goes into Origin Materials (NASDAQ:
Origin Materials: A Deep Dive Into The Carbon Negative Materials Leader

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