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Initial Report: Super Micro Computers Inc. (SMCI), 9% 5-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Siva PALANIVELU)

Company Overview Super Micro is Silicon Valley based provider of accelerated compute platforms that are application-optimized high performance and high efficiency servers and storage systems for a variety of markets, including enterprise data centers, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5g and edge computing. Super Micro’s total IT solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, blades, workstations, full rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, server management and security software. Server and Storage Systems SMCI sells accelerated compute platforms comprising a combination of server and storage systems in rackmount, blade, multi-node and embedded form factors, which support single, dual, and multiprocessor architectures. Key produc
Initial Report: Super Micro Computers Inc. (SMCI), 9% 5-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Siva PALANIVELU)

Initial Report: Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ:MANH), 35% 3-Year Potential Upside

Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NasdaqGS:MANH) deep dive:Company OverviewThe company designs, builds and delivers supply chain commerce solutions globally. The company offers products through direct sales personnel and partnership agreements with various organizations. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Company’s revenue centers around three main buckets – supply chain, omnichannel commerce, and inventory management. 3 products – OMS, TMS, WMS. Customers include Walmart, Loreal, Nike, and Home Depot. Expertise in apparel-based businesses such as Under Armour, Lululemon, Adidas, and Crocs.Business ModelSoftwareSoftware LicenseIndustryManhattan has been recognized as a leader in the Warehouse Management System Gartner Magic Quadrant for t
Initial Report: Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ:MANH), 35% 3-Year Potential Upside

Initial Report(part2):Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) , 73% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Brian TANG)

ESG understanding Environmental The Innovative Resource-Saving Architecture™, at the heart of Supermicro's commitment, achieves a remarkable 40-45% reduction in hardware refresh costs, contributing to a significant reduction in e-waste and up to 50% reduction in electricity and carbon footprint. Recognized as a pioneer in energy-efficient computing, the firm is committed to achieving Energy Star certification for all solutions by the end of fiscal year 2023, emphasizing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) best practices. Supermicro implements green manufacturing standards in its operations in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands, including factory automation and alternative energy sources like solar. Supermicro places sustainability at the heart of their business processe
Initial Report(part2):Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) , 73% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Brian TANG)

Initial Report(Part4): Paypal Holdings Inc (PYPL), 99% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Xinfei TAN)

Terminal Growth rate: I have incorporated a terminal/perpetuity growth rate of 2.1% into my projection, drawing this figure from the International Monetary Fund's data on the real GDP growth rate for the United States. Relative Valuation Method: Employing the exit EV/EBITDA multiple method, I determined the median EV/EBITDA of PayPal's peers through a Comparable Company Analysis, resulting in a figure of 16.5x. The outcomes of this analysis are noteworthy. The implied share price stands at 161.59, indicating an implied upside of 156%. Additionally, the 5-year implied EV/EBITDA is projected to be 38.5x. Risks and mitigation Cryptocurrency Risks: PayPal introduced its own stablecoin (PSYUSD) in the absence of a comprehensive Federal framework for regulating and enforcing such assets. This mo
Initial Report(Part4): Paypal Holdings Inc (PYPL), 99% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Xinfei TAN)

Initial Report(part2): TSMC (TWSE:2330), 70% 5-Year Potential Upside (VIP, Fabian VERA)

Business Model Foundry Model: Unlike integrated device manufacturers (IDMs) like Intel, TSMC operates on a pure-play foundry model. This means it manufactures chips designed by other companies. This model allows it to serve a wide range of customers, including some of the biggest names in the tech industry. Its efficacy as foundry vis-à-vis its competitors has been discussed in the section ‘Competitor Analysis’. Customers: TSMC’s clientele includes major technology companies such as Apple, Qualcomm, Nvidia, AMD, and many others. These companies rely on TSMC for their cutting-edge chip manufacturing capabilities. By serving its clients, the rhetorical question of ,,How effective is TSMC helping its clients?’ deserves an answer Fig. 6 – Multiple Valuation plot of TSMC and its clients, accomp
Initial Report(part2): TSMC (TWSE:2330), 70% 5-Year Potential Upside (VIP, Fabian VERA)

Initial Report(part1): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), 212.61% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Xinying CHAN)

Executive Summary Founded in 1886 and headquartered in the U.S., Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is a multinational corporation operating in healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods. The company is known for its diverse product range, including prescription drugs, medical devices, and consumer healthcare products. JNJ has recently separated its consumer health segment into a new entity called Kenvue, leaving two main segments: Pharmaceuticals and MedTech, while maintaining a global reputation for innovation, research, and corporate social responsibility with a focus on sustainability initiatives. Company Overview 2.1 Business segments JNJ was originally organised into three business segments: Consumer Health, Pharmaceutical and MedTech. The Consumer Health segment includes a broad range
Initial Report(part1): Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), 212.61% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Xinying CHAN)

Initial Report(part2): The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY),32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Trinsy Neoh)

3. Industry Overview US Confectionery market Mars and Hershey’s accounts for half of the total market share. Mars is leading US confectionery market with 25% followed closely by Hershey’s at 23.9%. The remaining players such as Ferrero and Mondelez accounts for 9.7% and 5% respectively. Based on Euromonitor, the top three snacks by brand shares are Reese’s, M&M’s and Hershey’s Chocolate Bar.   US Snacks Market In 2017, the CEO embarked on a journey to transition Hershey into a snacking powerhouse through their savoury and better-for-you product categories. The business diversified out of confections looking into acquiring brands at least $100 million in revenue which people love but needed to leverage on Hershey’s branding to gain more customers. The company owns three of the six
Initial Report(part2): The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY),32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Trinsy Neoh)

Initial Report(part1): The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY),32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Trinsy Neoh)

              1. Introduction Hershey’s. A company that I’m sure many of us already know. for some, this tasty treat transports us back to our childhood, while for others, it's a delight reserved for festive occasions. Allow me to dive deeper into this case to determine why this could be a sweet opportunity. It all started in 1894 when Milton S Hershey chanced upon a chocolate processing machine at a convention. Taking a leap of faith, he sold his business, Lancaster Caramel Company, to venture into the manufacturing and sale of milk chocolate bars. Today, Hershey’s (NYSE: HSY) operates one of the largest and finest chocolate businesses in North America, boasting over 19,000 employees across 100 brand names. It dominates 45% of the chocolate segment in th
Initial Report(part1): The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY),32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Trinsy Neoh)

Initial Report(part2): Nintendo (TSE: 7974), 35% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Huiling KOH)

Valuation Based on a relative valuation method using fwd P/E ratios, my 3-year target price is JPY 7123 (-3% upside) based on an exit multiple of 25x (7-year average, slightly above industry median), and 5-year target price is JPY 9898 (+35% upside) based on an exit multiple of 25x. The 5-year target prices in the successful venture into a new video game console (Nintendo usually creates a new one every ~7-10 years) with the integration of the Dynamo Picture venture. In my opinion, Nintendo could also afford a higher P/E ratio as the company is a rare player in the industry that owns a multitude of successful IPs for its video game production. Risk High exposure to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. Overseas sales accounts for >70% of its total sales, with majority of transactions
Initial Report(part2): Nintendo (TSE: 7974), 35% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Huiling KOH)

Initial Report(part1): Nintendo (TSE: 7974), 35% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Huiling KOH)

Nintendo (TSE: 7974) Summary of the Key Information Company overview Nintendo (TSE: 7974) develops, manufactures, and sells entertainment products globally. It offers video game platforms, playing cards, handheld and home console hardware systems, and related software. The company was formerly known as Nintendo Playing Card Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nintendo Co., Ltd. in 1963. Nintendo Co., Ltd. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan. In FY23, overseas sales accounted for >70% of total sales. Business segments Nintendo operates through 3 main segments: 1. Dedicated video game platforms (96.5% of FY23 revenue) 2. IP related income (3.2% of FY23 revenue) 3. Playing cards (0.4% of FY23 revenue). The dedicated video game platform segment is split into 2 main compon
Initial Report(part1): Nintendo (TSE: 7974), 35% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Huiling KOH)

Initial Report(part1): Spotify Technologies (SPOT), 196% 5-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Javier CHAN)

Spotify: A Compelling Case for Profitability Spotify is the largest pure-play audio streaming service and is both driving and benefitting from the ongoing secular shift from transaction-based to access-based streaming models. The company is growing its total MAUs at ~27% and is generating positive FCF on an annual basis1. Despite suffering a net loss of €430m in 20222, I believe that Spotify has a promising outlook and has a very high probability of achieving profitability within the next 3 years. My positive view on Spotify is driven by: 1) back-loaded improvements in unit economics; 2) sustainable improvements in operating efficiencies; 3) ability to stave off competition. Unit Economics Spotify’s business model has consistently been under scrutiny, with the market questioning as to whet
Initial Report(part1): Spotify Technologies (SPOT), 196% 5-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Javier CHAN)

Initial Report(part1):Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) , 73% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Brian TANG)

SMCI Company Overview: Supermicro, founded in 1993 and located in San Jose, California, is a global technology pioneer at the forefront of innovation in Enterprise, Cloud, HPC, AI, Accelerated Computing, and 5G Telco/Edge IT Infrastructure. The design philosophy of the organization follows a building blocks technique, resulting in first-to-market, best-in-class products. Supermicro, as a Total IT Solutions supplier, provides a comprehensive suite of environmentally friendly and energy-saving systems, including servers, storage, GPUs, networking, workstations, data center racks, cooling solutions, software, and professional services. Beyond technology, Supermicro is actively leading the liquid cooling workgroup at The Green Grid, an industry alliance focusing on improving data center effici
Initial Report(part1):Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) , 73% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Brian TANG)

Initial Report(part2): Neo Performance Materials (TSE: NEO),145% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Ang Jing Zhe )

Valuation NEO currently trades at 4.9x EV/EBITDA, which is below their past 5-yr average of 6.0x •          Using lower end of management’s expected incremental revenues in the range of $135-160 million following the completion of Phase I of the Estonian REE sintered magnet manufacturing capacity in 2025 (just began construction) + Magnequench’s historical average EBITDA margin at around 13% + FY22 EBITDA (no growth in all other segments) + 6.0x EV/EBITDA yields 3-year TP of C$19.1, IRR of 28%. •          Assuming Phase II of the Estonian REE sintered magnet manufacturing capacity is fully operational by 2027 (doubles Phase I capacity) and with the same set of assumptions, this yields 5-year TP of C$2
Initial Report(part2): Neo Performance Materials (TSE: NEO),145% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Ang Jing Zhe )

Initial Report( Part 2): NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), -32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Fernando)

5. Valuation By doing a simple DCF analysis, we observed that the company is currently overvalued. Some assumptions taken in this analysis include: •          WACC of 8.5% •          Revenue projection based on the assumption that NVIDIA can keep its market share amidst the growing AI industry •          Perpetuity growth of 3.0% The analysis led us to the implied share price of US$ 287/share, which represents -32.0% of the current share price of US$ 422.1/share. Further analysis of the comparable metrics is shown below. The data shows that NVIDIA is currently trading at a very high P/E value (26x as compared to the median of 9.8x), a sign of overvalued sto
Initial Report( Part 2): NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), -32% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Fernando)

Initial Report (part3): Nutrien Ltd (TSE: NTR), 43% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Valerie Kang)

1)    Valuation   By doing a simple DCF analysis, we observed that the company is currently undervalued. Some assumptions taken in this analysis include: WACC of 18% Revenue projection based on the assumption that Nutrien can keep its market share amidst the growing Agriculture industry Perpetuity growth of 1.83% The analysis led us to the implied share price of US$ 63.85/share, which represents +8.48% of the current share price of US$ 58.87/share.   Prices for corn, soybeans, and wheat have recently declined as a result of seasonal pressure brought on by expectations of increased crop production in the US and Brazil. However, fresh crop futures are still around 15% above the 10-year average, and grower margins are still strong, giving farmers an incentive to make
Initial Report (part3): Nutrien Ltd (TSE: NTR), 43% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Valerie Kang)

Initial Report(Part 1): Miniso Group Holding Ltd(MNSO), 35% 3-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Xingyu Miao)

1.     Executive Overview This memo outlines an investment opportunity in Miniso Group Ltd, a leading retail company. The aim of this executive summary is to give an overview of the company and its edges by discussing key factors that make it attractive.   Currently, the market size for the total retail industry will reach 254.3 billion dollars in 2026, with a CAGR of +4.4% from 2022 to 2026, and the self-owned brand of the retail market will increase to 86.8 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of +12.6%. After the pandemic, barriers to entry are higher than before, and differentiated products and brand effects lead to Miniso’s leading position. Compared to other competitors in the industry, Miniso possesses outstanding operating abilities in inventory turnover and debt p
Initial Report(Part 1): Miniso Group Holding Ltd(MNSO), 35% 3-yr Potential Upside (VIP SEA, Xingyu Miao)

Initial Report(part2): Intuitive Surgical Inc.(NASDAQ:ISRG), 51% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Gaius ANG)

Valuation I used a DCF valuation to value the company and assumed a revenue growth of 17.2% per year, which was the industry growth projection by Research and Markets. While this number is a rather aggressive choice as an industry growth rate, I used this number as I believed ISRG would benefit disproportionately from industry growth. With a closing share price from 29 December 2023, this gives an immediate upside of 13%, a 1Y upside of 20% and a 5Y upside of 51%. A risk-free rate of 3.92% was used, derived from US 10Y Treasury Bond yields at the time of the valuation. For the market return, I used the iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF 5Y performance as I believed the 10Y performance to be less reflective owing to a very different economic climate. Risk and Mitigation Technology Risk Disrup
Initial Report(part2): Intuitive Surgical Inc.(NASDAQ:ISRG), 51% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, Gaius ANG)

Initial Report: Inmode (INMD) It should be sold,(EIP, Jiayang SIM)

A Diamond or a Fraud?   Executive Summary: This company is a great example of something that looks shiny on the outside which may also provide real value to customers but remain uninvestable in the lens of ESG. From a fundamental investment POV, it is a great franchise quality and possibly this stock could be a multi-bagger. However, there are many several things that I have seen that make me want to stay far away from it: (1) Possible Fraudulent Management (2) Equipment Ineffectiveness. I would provide a fundamental view and then end off with my perspective on ESG. Company Overview: InMode is supposedly a recognized leader in the specialist field of minimally invasive medical treatment solutions, with a questionable strong brand reputation and a growing global footprint. InMode has l
Initial Report: Inmode (INMD) It should be sold,(EIP, Jiayang SIM)

Initial Report(Part1): Krispy Kreme(DUNT)56% Potential Upside (EIP, Chengjia LEE)

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY DUNT is an established and market leader in the doughnuts and coffee industry located in U.S that is looking to take advantage of the ever-increasing demand for baked goods and coffee. By utilizing their spoke and hub model, it is likely that DUNT will be able to expand its reach to customers worldwide without huge expenditures despite their less than stable financial position.   As such, the company is looking likely to continue growing and increasing their revenue, abet at a slower and steady rate due to their focus in strengthening their unrealized potential in the domestic first. Assuming they are able to ride on the CAGR of 10% growth for their doughnuts and maintain their position of market share in the coffee industry, using DCF, a target price of USD20.00, a
Initial Report(Part1): Krispy Kreme(DUNT)56% Potential Upside (EIP, Chengjia LEE)

Initial Report(Part 1): Grab Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GRAB),50% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, C M R Sooria)

1.      Key Information 2.      Executive Summary Grab Holdings (NASDAQ:GRAB) is a leading superapp in Southeast Asia, providing everyday services to millions of Southeast Asians. The business is split into 4 main segments: Deliveries, Mobility, Financial Services and Enterprise and New Initiatives. Revenue from Deliveries and Mobility contribute to over 90% of the total revenue while Singapore and Malaysia remain the largest markets for the company accounting for over 50% of the total revenue. With a strong opportunity to capture a greater market share by riding the digital wave in SEA, a well-formulated hyperlocal strategy and continued investments in technology and infrastructure,  I initiate a buy recommendation for Grab. 3. &
Initial Report(Part 1): Grab Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:GRAB),50% 5-yr Potential Upside (EIP, C M R Sooria)

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