To The Moon

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$Netflix(NFLX)$ is set to release its Q3 earnings report on October 17. Analysts expect revenue of $9.765 billion, up 14.32% year-over-year, and earnings per share of $5.09, a solid 36.44% increase. The stock has been trending upward this year, reaching a new all-time high of $736 last Friday. Looking ahead, investors will be keenly watching user growth and forward guidance.Netflix’s implied move for this earnings release is ±7.9%, which signals that the options market is pricing in a potential 7.9% swing. However, this is lower than the average 9.3% post-earnings move over the past four quarters—suggesting that current options might be undervalued.Market Chameleon’s data on Netflix’s last 12 earnings days shows a 58% probability of a post-earning

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , the world’s largest semiconductor foundry, provides chip manufacturing and advanced packaging services to clients like $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ . This year, TSMC's stock has surged 85%. Since hitting a low on August 5, it has rebounded over 40%, and its market value is on track to surpass $1 trillion again.Upcoming EarningsTSMC will release its Q3 earnings on Thursday. Analysts expect revenue to reach NT$750.21 billion, a 37.22% year-on-year increase, with earnings per share at NT$56.8, up 36.4%.In September, TSMC reported sales of NT$251.87 billion, exceeding expectations with a 39.6% year-on-year growth. F

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ is set to announce its Q3 earnings on October 16. The market expects the company to report a 7% year-on-year revenue increase, reaching €7.1 billion.ASML manufactures lithography machines that are crucial for semiconductor production, making it a key player in the AI boom.Long-Term OutlookThis year, ASML’s stock has risen 11%, though it has seen some recent declines. Hargreaves Lansdown's stock research head, Derren Nathan, points out that ASML's revenue this year has lagged behind 2023 levels.In July, ASML reported Q2 revenue of €6.24 billion, down from €6.9 billion the previous year, with net profit dropping from €1.94 billion to €1.58 billion. Analysts expect Q4 revenue to rise over 24% quarter-on-quarter, reaching €8.8

The unveiling of the Cybercab and Robovan at “Robotaxi Day” was supposed to be a game changer. Yet, crucial details were missing. Elon Musk's claims about self-driving taxis and humanoid robots left Wall Street disappointed.Market ReactionOvernight, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ shares plummeted, initially dropping over 10%. They closed down 8.78%, settling at $217.80.During the event, Musk revealed that the Cybercab might not hit the market until "before 2027," targeting taxi companies. He also projected that Tesla cars would achieve full autonomy in Texas and California next year, with the Optimus robot expected to be priced between $20,000 and $30,000. The Cybercab is set to be priced under $30,000.However, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas expressed hi

On October 10, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ held a data center event to launch the MI325X AI accelerator and several networking chips.However, despite the promising products, AMD's stock only briefly rose toward the end of the morning session, then continued to decline throughout the day, closing down about 4%, marking a two-day drop to its lowest closing price in a week. This is AMD's biggest intraday and closing drop since September 3.One would expect the launch of powerful AI chips to be a positive move, especially since AMD's new products are going up against $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ 's highly anticipated Blackwell architecture chips. Why did AMD's stock keep falling?Media reports suggest that the decline

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is set to hold its highly anticipated Robotaxi event on October 10, where it will finally unveil its long-delayed autonomous model.Live link: Elon Musk has claimed that this event will be “historic” and potentially the most significant in the company’s history. Many are calling it Tesla’s “most important moment” since the launch of the Model 3, to which Musk positively responded: “yes.”This event was originally scheduled for August 8 but was postponed, creating a lot of buzz and anticipation. When the delay was announced, Tesla's stock took a significant hit, underscoring the market

Recently, both Hong Kong and U.S. stocks with Chinese assets have seen significant adjustments, with noticeable outflows of funds from individual stocks. Analysts from several fund companies noted that this rally has been quite sharp, with rapid volume expansion. This could lead to even greater market volatility going forward. Historically, after sharp gains across the board, the market often enters a cooling-off period.Market Volatility After Sharp RallyDespite the sharp drop in Chinese-related ETFs, the recent inflows of funds reflect strong optimism in the overseas market. The cost of short-term options for China-related ETFs in the U.S. also hit new highs on Monday, signaling strong bullish sentiment among investors. Some big traders have rolled their profit positions to higher prices,

Hong Kong stocks opened lower and kept falling. The $HSI(HSI)$ dropped over 2,000 points at one point, and the $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ tumbled by more than 14%.Two Main Reasons:First, the Fed's rate cut expectations have weakened significantly. Recently, the US dollar index and US Treasury yields have soared across the board. Yesterday, the 10-year Treasury yield hit above 4%. Today, non-US currencies rebounded across the board, especially the yen's rebound, leading to a sharp sell-off in Asia-Pacific markets.Second, Chinese assets have surged recently. Whether it's Hong Kong stocks, FTSE A50 futures, or ETFs of Chinese assets listed overseas, they've all seen high returns. Yesterday, A50 open interest hit an a

Last week, China announced an unexpectedly large stimulus package, driving Hong Kong stocks to their biggest weekly gain in nearly 13 years. This puts them in a strong position to become one of the best-performing markets globally in 2024. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index skyrocketed from 2,700 to the long-elusive 3,000-point mark.HSI 11-day rallyWhat’s really interesting is that market participants, especially foreign institutions, are aggressively chasing gains through call options. This has pushed the volatility hedging costs for Hong Kong stocks next month to a two-year high, showing that investors have increasing confidence in the mid-term. Unfortunately, this also means that those betting against Chinese stocks and seeking “neutral hedging” strategies have taken a serious hit,